Manchester City FC vs Burnley FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Manchester City FC vs Burnley FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Manchester City host newly promoted Burnley at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday with kickoff set for 7:30 p.m. The champions were held to a 1-1 draw by Arsenal in their previous outing, while Burnley also shared the spoils with a 1-1 result against Nottingham Forest. Though the Clarets arrive as clear underdogs for this clash, they will be eager to test themselves against one of the league’s toughest sides at their den. 

Current Standings: With just a single point from their last outing, City have slipped down to 9th in the table with 7 points, while Burnley sit much further behind in 16th place on 4 points. 

Head-to-Head Record: Manchester City have completely dominated this fixture, boasting a commanding 14-1 record over Burnley, with just three encounters ending in draws.

TEAMS PREVIEW

Manchester City FC Preview

Pep Guardiola’s boys have shown flashes of quality but are yet to find consistency, with back-to-back league wins still missing this season. Their round five meeting with Arsenal was unlike the City we know, as they grabbed an early lead through Erling Haaland but then chose to sit back, defending deep for much of the game. That approach backfired when they conceded a stoppage-time equalizer, leaving them to settle for just a point. 

The draw has widened the gap to eight points behind leaders Liverpool, and with the season still in its early stages, City will be desperate to return to winning ways against Burnley in round six to avoid falling further adrift.

Stats that matter 

1. Against Arsenal, City registered just 32.8% possession — the lowest ever in Pep Guardiola’s managerial career.
2. City’s tally of just seven points from five games marks their poorest Premier League start since the 2006/07 season.
3. Manchester City have gone unbeaten in 18 of their last 21 matches at home. 

Team News 

On top of their growing injury list, City now face fresh concerns with Erling Haaland, Nico O’Reilly, and Abdukodir Khusanov all emerging as doubtful starters for the clash against Burnley.

Manchester City Probable XI - Donnarumma (GK); Khusanov/Rico Lewis, Gvardiol, Ruben Dias, Ake (Defenders); Rodri, Reijnders, Oscar Bobb/Bernardo Silva(Midfielders); Phil Foden, Silva/Haaland Doku (Forwards).

Burnley FC Preview

Burnley approach the weekend clash licking their wounds after a disappointing Carabao Cup exit, where Cardiff City sent them packing with a 2-1 defeat in the third round. In the league, Burnley bounced back from an early setback to snatch a draw against Nottingham Forest, thanks to Jaiden Anthony’s equaliser. The result ended a two-game losing streak for the Clarets in the league and lifted them just two spots above the relegation zone.

Stats that matter 

1. Burnley have gone 26 home league games without conceding more than once.
2. Jaidon Anthony leads Burnley’s charge this season, contributing 3 goals and 1 assist—already the highest goal involvement for any Clarets player after five Premier League games.
3. The Clarlets are conceding an average 3.00 goals in their away games across all competitions. 

Team News 

Jacob Larsen participation is in doubt for Saturday, while Zeki Amdouni faces a lengthy layoff, sidelined until mid-January with a cruciate ligament injury.

Burnley Probable XI - Dubravka (GK); Kyle Walker, M Esteve, H Ekdal, Hartman, Ekdal (Defenders); L Tchaouna, Josh Cullen, F. Luis,J Anthony (Midfielders); L Foster (Forward). 

MANCHESTER CITY FC vs BURNLEY FC
Winning Prediction

The hosts may not be at their peak form, but their record against Burnley is formidable—they’ve gone unbeaten in their last 18 meetings across all competitions. For the Clarets, a realistic aim would be to sit deep, defend resolutely, and hope to snatch a point—a task made slightly easier if Haaland misses the game.

Manchester City to Win (3-0)

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