Manchester City FC vs Newcastle United, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Manchester City FC vs Newcastle United Match Prediction & Analysis

The last time these two sides met in a 1-1 stalemate at St.James’ Park, Josko Gvardiol scored for the visiting team in the first half, only for Anthony Gordon to slot home a penalty and restore parity. This time round, things are very different. Manchester City are a shadow of what they used to be. As for the Magpies, unexpected losses against Bournemouth and Fulham bred inconsistency. Man City’s last outing in the Premier League ended in pure pity, as the Gunners ousted the reigning champions by 5 goals to 1. 

Between that game and this, City have only scraped through against Leyton Orient in the FA Cup, and lost face at the Etihad against Real Madrid in the Champions League first leg. Meanwhile, Newcastle missed out on occupying fourth spot, as Fulham mounted a late comeback at St.James’ Park to send the Cottagers flying. With the business end of the season slowly emerging, both clubs will look to solidify their spots in the Premier League.

Head to Head Record - This will be the 50th time that both sides meet. In 49 previous affairs, City have won 31, Newcastle have won 8, while 10 games ended in a draw. Man City have scored 102 goals against Newcastle. Newcastle responded with 46. In their last 6 fixtures, Man City have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1. Newcastle have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4. 

Current Standings- After 24 games in the Premier League, the reigning champions are 5th on the table with 41 points. City have won 12, drawn 5 and lost 7. Out of their previous 5, they’ve managed 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Newcastle are one position below Manchester City - boasting the same points, wins, draws, losses and goal difference (13). Of their previous 5 fixtures, Newcastle have won 3 and lost 2. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Manchester City FC Preview

Manchester City have an uphill challenge against Eddie Howe’s men on the weekend. The Gunners routed City by 5 goals at the Emirates. Newcastle routed the Gunners by 6 goals over two-legs in the Carabao Cup. Although the competition's motives differ, Man City will be wary of Newcastle’s threat. Against Arsenal, City were toothless in defence - gifting the ball cheaply only for Odegaard to net within the first few minutes of the game. Four second half goals drew a dent in City’s Premier League campaign. New signings Omar Marmoush, Nico Gonzalez and Abdukodir Khushanov will have to pull up their socks, for they have a pivotal part to play in this. 

Player to Watch Out

Erling Haaland has team-mate Savinho to thank for. The Brazilian has played provider for the two-time golden boot winner in 5 out of 6 of his Premier League assists. Savinho who was bought for 30 million pounds has been a bargain for Man City. Pep Guardiola will look to further extract potential from his player, with big games coming up against Real Madrid, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspurs. 

Stats That Matter

Manchester City’s top goalscorer this season is Erling Haaland. The Norwegian has scored 19 goals so far this season. Man City have scored 24 and conceded 19 goals in 11 home games this season. Away from home, they’ve scored 24 and conceded 20 in 13 games. City have a 50% overall win percentage - 64% at home and 38% away. 

The average goals per match is 3.46, which increases to 3.55 at the Etihad. In the past 5 games, Man City have scored 16 goals and conceded 9. City averages 1.08 goals in the first half which decreases to 0.92 in the second half. 

Injury - Rodri, Doku, Bobb are out injured. 

Man City probable XI - Ederson (GK), Ake, Akanji, Dias, Gvardiol (DEF), De Bruyne, Silva, Stones, Grealish, Savinho (MID), Haaland (FWD). 

Newcastle United Preview

If Manchester City suffered against a top English club in Arsenal. Then, Newcastle suffered a similar fate against Marco Silva’s Fulham. The Magpies only needed a point to overtake Pep’s club. But Raul Jimenez and Rodrigo Muniz had different plans when they turned things around in the 62nd minute of the game. In doing so, the Cottagers completed the double over Newcastle for the first time in 13 years. Defeats against Bournemouth and Fulham at home also meant, this was Newcastle’s first consecutive defeat in a year’s time. Eddie Howe was cut a dejected figure as his side went into the first half in complete control. Newcastle’s Carabao Cup hangover seemed to have caused Premier League complacency. Howe knows if he is to compete for honours, there is no room for complacency. 

Player to Watch Out For

Anthony Gordon could become only the second player to score three consecutive goals against Manchester City after Villa’s Watkins. The young Englishman has caused defenders all sorts of problems this season and will look to better his tally of 6 Premier League goals. To mix things up, Newcastle have Jacob Murphy who is in the form of his life - scoring 4 and assisting 6 in his last 10 appearances. 

Stats That Matter

Newcastle United’s top scorer this season is Alexander Isak. The Swede has scored 17 goals this season, and is third behind Mohamad Salah and Erling Haaland. Newcastle have scored 20 and conceded 14 goals in 12 home games this season. Away from home, they’ve scored 22 and conceded 15, in 12 games. 

The Magpies have a 50% overall win percentage, that is 50% at home and 50% away. Newcastle’s average goals per match is 2.96. At home it is 2.83, which increases to 3.08 in away fixtures. In their previous 5 Premier League fixtures, Newcastle have scored 10 goals and conceded 8. Newcastle average 0.88 goals in the first half, which is also maintained at 0.88 in the second half. 

Injury - Lascelles, and Barnes  are out injured. 

Newcastle probable XI - Pope (GK), Trippier, Botman, Burn, Schar, Hall (DEF), Murphy, Guimaraes, Tonali, Gordon (MID), Isak (FWD). 

MANCHESTER CITY FC vs NEWCASTLE UNITED
Winning Prediction

Manchester City have shocked everyone including themselves this season in the Premier League. No one would have expected this. Newcastle United have every opportunity to take advantage of City’s defensive frailties with the likes of Isak, Murphy and Gordon. Things could go from bad to worse for the reigning champions if they lose this - with games against Liverpool and Spurs to soon follow. Eddie Howe has only previously beaten Guardiola once. That could easily be compounded this weekend. We are backing Newcastle United to win. 

Newcastle United to Win (1-3)

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