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Netherlands vs England, UEFA Euro 2024, Today Match Prediction

Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Dutch Favored, But Can England Force Penalties?

  • Netherlands and England have played a total of 9 matches. Netherlands has won 4, England has won 1, and the remaining 4 matches ended in draws.
  • England are averaging 0.83 goals per game in the last six outings
  • In the head to head matches between both the teams the average goals per game is 2.56 goals

Netherlands to win 2-1

Tournament: UEFA Euro 2024 | Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

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The 2nd semi-final in Euro cup 2024 will feature two teams that came from behind in the quarterfinals to book a spot in the last four. England, the finalists from the last edition of Euros, will play the Netherlands in the second semi-final of Euro 2024 at the Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund. After falling behind in their quarterfinal matches, both sides staged comebacks to secure their spots in the semifinals.

Having finished third in their group, the Netherlands convincingly beat Romania in the round-of-16 and defeated the tenacious Turkey by 2-1 in the quarterfinal, despite falling behind 1-0 in the 35th minute of the match. On the other hand, England emerged as the winners of their group but had to work harder than the Dutch to get into the semis. 

En route to the semis, they endured a game that lasted 120 minutes against Slovakia and played out a penalty shootout against Switzerland in the quarterfinals, where they triumphed 5-3. The semi-final clash will be the fourth meeting between the teams in a major tournament; of those meetings, each team has won a game and drawn one.

Netherlands Preview

Coming into the tournament, the Netherlands weren't considered favorites, especially without their midfield mainstay, Frenkie de Jong. They even looked down and out after finishing 3rd in their group behind Austria and France. However, as the competition progressed, they've improved and the pieces of the puzzle are starting to fit together.

Cody Gakpo, with three goals and an assist, has been at the forefront of their resurgence. His menacing presence on the left flank and his ability to cut back inside and take on defenders have been instrumental in the Dutch scoring. Along with Depay (17 shots and 10 chances created), Gakpo (13 shots and 11 chances created) has contributed to six of their nine goals in the tournament. Meanwhile, with three assists, the 21-year-old Xavi Simons is another key piece of the puzzle for Koeman, having played a role in two of Gakpo's goals. 

From a tactical standpoint, one can expect Ronald Koeman to deploy the 4-2-3-1 formation with no changes to the starting 11. He has preferred the same lineup for both knockout games. Oranje has no injury or suspension concerns ahead of the semi-final. 

Netherlands  Probable Starting XI - Verbruggen (Goalkeeper); Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Ake (Defenders); Reijnders, Schouten, Simmons, Malen (Midfielders) ; Depay, Gakpo (Forwards)

England Preview

England enters Euro 2024 as one of the favourites, but they have yet to play a game till now that validates their status as ‘The Team’ in the competition. Though Southgate may disagree, to a neutral fan his side has appeared passive, clueless at times, and devoid of any plans thus far. So much so that fans are calling it ‘haramball’.The reality is that, had it not been for the individual brilliance of Jude Bellingham and Saka against Slovakia and Switzerland, England would have been knocked out by now. 

However, Southgate did try sorting out some of the issues against Switzerland, as he finally resorted back to his preferred formation of 3-4-2-1 with a back three and using left-footed Saka as a right wing-back. And it paid dividends, as the combination dealt with Switzerland's strengths by overloading men in the heart of the pitch and on the left side, while isolating Saka on the right flanks to exploit the opposition’s weakness on the other side. Against the Dutch, Southgate could use the similar tactics, but the problem is that Saka will have to contend with the quality of Gakpo and Ake on the right flanks rather than Vargas or Abeischer. 

So there lies the issue. Trippier, a natural right-back with his limited abilities will not trouble the Dutch on the left side, and someone like Dumfries (third highest number of crosses for Dutch in Euro 2024) may take advantage of this. Given the need to have a natural left-back, Southgate could well start Luke Shaw, who made a significant impact as a sub in the last game. Other than that, no change is expected for the semi-final clash. 

England Probable Starting XI - Pickford (Goalkeeper) ; Walker, Konsa, Stokes, Trippier/Luke Shaw(Defenders) ; Bellingham, Rice, Mainoo (Midfielders) ; Saka, Foden, Kane ( Forwards) 

We are in for a ‘classic’ as the Dutch go up against the three lions in the semis of Euro 2024. Interestingly, England are up against their Boogie team. In the last nine games played between the teams, England has won one and lost four. Of all the nations England have played, only against  Brazil do they have a lower win rate than the Dutch. And in all likelihood, the poor streak could continue for Southgate’s men, as unlike the teams they have played against, the Dutch do possess the firepower and bench strength to hurt them over a period of time. 

However, the Dutch have rotten luck when it comes to knockout matches. They have lost 4 of their last five semifinals of a European Championship, with the only win coming in their Euro Cup win in 1988. That being said, Koeman's side has peaked nicely, scoring 5 goals in the last 2 games and winning games more convincingly than England. This is a tough game to call, though the Dutch will be the slight favourites coming into the contest. Even so, it will be anybody's game if it goes to the shootouts. 

Netherlands to win 2-1


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Author: Vishnu Reddy