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Netherlands vs France, UEFA Euro 2024, Today Match Prediction

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Can France Prevail in the absence of Kylian Mbappe?

  • Netherlands and France have met in 11 matches (Netherlands 3 wins, France 7 wins, 1 draw) averaging 3.09 goals per game.
  • Netherlands scored 21 goals in their last six matches averaging 3.50 goals per game.
  • France scored 9 goals in their last six matches averaging 1.50 goals per game.

France to Win (2-3)

Tournament: UEFA Euro 2024 | Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

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Two of the biggest footballing nations, renowned for their global talent and success, Netherlands and France, will face off in a crucial group stage match.  This encounter could be a potential preview of a thrilling finals or semi-final clash later in the tournament. Both teams are hungry for victory, aiming to secure a spot in the round of 16.

France holds the upper hand historically, having not lost to the Netherlands in the Euro Cup since 2008. They even extended this dominance with a win in the 2018 UEFA Nations League.  Looking at their head-to-head record, France boasts a commanding lead of 16 victories to the Netherlands' 11.  Both teams secured narrow wins in their opening matches, so expect a fierce and aggressive battle for dominance from the get-go.

Olivier Giroud, with his impressive 15 goals for AC Milan, will be France's key player. His continued dominance as a striker will help to mitigate the loss of Kylian Mbappé.  For the Netherlands, Memphis Depay's return from injury offers a crucial boost. During the previous World Cup Qualifiers, he showcased his talent with 6 goals and 7 assists. Additionally, he found the net 12 times for Barcelona in his last healthy season. 

Netherlands Preview

One of the world's strongest footballing nations, the Netherlands, currently sits at number 7 in the rankings, and for good reason. A very strong offense, led by Atlético Madrid striker Memphis Depay, has remained a constant threat despite battling injuries. 

Though he only managed 5 goals this season, his 45 international goals in 93 matches speak volumes about his impact. Depay's presence at the top of the formation elevates the entire attacking line, starting with rising superstar Cody Gakpo. Gakpo has netted 7 goals for Liverpool this season and has contributed 10 goals for the Netherlands since 2021.

In midfield, the combination of Gakpo and Jeremie Frimpong, who played a pivotal role in Bayer Leverkusen's surprising 1st place finish with 9 goals, has formed one of the most exciting young duos in football. Georginio Wijnaldum, the 33-year-old leader of the midfield, boasts 94 appearances and 28 goals for the Dutch. He seamlessly bridges the gap between two generations of strikers, replicating the success he enjoyed with Arjen Robben and Robin van Persie earlier in his career while also integrating Tijjani Reijnders, who has only 10 caps, into the offensive scheme.

While the offense is impressive, the Dutch defense is even more iconic. Virgil van Dijk, one of the most legendary players of this generation, leads a backline that includes Nathan Aké. Their formidable partnership has made goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen look exceptional.

Netherlands Probable Starting XI: Bart Verbruggen(Goalkeeper); Nathan Ake, Stefan de Vrij, Virgil Van Dijk, Denzel Dumfries (Defenders); Jerdy Schouten, Georginio Wijnaldum, Cody Gakpo, Tijjani Reijnders, Jeremie Frimpong (Midfielders); Memphis Depay (Forward)

NED Over/Under Betting Tips

Netherlands to score the last goal of the game 2.41

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Netherlands off-late has been in red hot form on offense scoring 21 goals in their last six matches. In their last game Netherlands scored the final goal of the game. It is expected to be a close game against France which could go down the final few minutes and we are backing Netherlands to score the last goal in the game.

France Preview

France, arguably the best team in the world, is riding high after two World Cup final appearances. They hope to translate that success into the European Cup. Despite boasting two previous Euro titles, France hasn't returned to the final since their 2016 loss to Portugal. However, a recent blow came with Kylian Mbappé's broken nose sustained in a narrow 1-0 win over Austria, adding to the disappointment of his hat-trick in a losing World Cup final.

But fear not, French fans. Despite Mbappé's absence, France possesses the depth to dominate. Olivier Giroud, a veteran with 57 goals in 134 caps, and Antoine Griezmann, with 44 goals in 130 appearances, are more than capable of leading the attack. Ousmane Dembélé adds another dimension with his success at PSG - 3 goals and 8 assists. His experience and ability to create for his teammates further strengthens the midfield.

Many consider N'Golo Kanté to be France's second-best player, and his top form is crucial. He excels at disrupting opposing dribblers and winning back possession, propelling the team forward. If the offense continues to click and the defense holds strong with the likes of William Saliba, Theo Hernandez, and goalkeeper Mike Maignan, France will be a force to be reckoned with 

France Probable Starting XI - Mike Maignan (Goalkeeper), Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, Wilson Saliba, Theo Hernandez (Defenders); N’Golo Kante, Adrien Rabiot, Ousmane Dembele, Antoine Griezmann, Khephren Thuram (Midfielders); Olivier Giroud (Forward)

Injuries - Aurelien Tchouameni (Foot), Kylian Mbappe(Nose)

FRA Over/Under Betting Tips

%Ball Possession France Under 52.5 1.75

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Holding the ball more throughout 2024 (61.20% average possession), Netherlands enjoyed a dominant 66% possession in their last match. In contrast, France averaged 59.31% possession this year, with a concerning 48% against Austria. Based on this trend, we predict France will struggle to maintain possession again, holding less than 52.5% against the Netherlands.

Over/Under Goals Total Tips

Total Goals Over 2.5 2.03

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In the four of their last five head to head encounters the total goals per game has been over 2.5 goals. We are backing it to be a high goal scoring game and predict the total goals to be be over 2.5.

In this battle for dominance, both teams will be desperate to avoid mistakes in the closing minutes. Historically, France has proven more successful in big games, while the Netherlands can sometimes falter under pressure. Despite Mbappé's absence, France boasts a wealth of attacking talent who were part of their previous Euro Cup final and World Cup runs. 

With players like Antoine Griezmann, Olivier Giroud, and Ousmane Dembélé, they pose a serious threat to the aging Dutch defensive duo of Virgil van Dijk and Stefan de Vrij. While the Netherlands boasts strong goal scorers, the French defense remains formidable. Jules Koundé and William Saliba are still young and playing at the peak of their careers.

France to Win (2-3)


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Author: Neev Chopra