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Netherlands vs Turkey, UEFA Euro 2024, Today Match Prediction

Olympiastadion, Berlin

Can Turkey Upset in Euro 2024 Quarterfinals?

  • Netherlands and Turkey have met in 8 matches with Netherlands winning 4, Turkey winning 2, and 2 draws. Their games average 2.88 goals per match.
  • Netherlands are averaging 2.53 goals per game in their last six outings
  • Turkey scored 8 goals in their last six matches

Netherlands to win (2-1)

Tournament: UEFA Euro 2024 | Venue: Olympiastadion, Berlin

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The Netherlands will face Turkey to conclude the quarter-final stages of Euro 2024. It will undoubtedly be the least-hyped quarter-final, but it has the potential to be one of the tournament's most intriguing games.

Ranked 7th in the world, the Netherlands' route to the quarterfinals has been far from impressive. On their way to the last 8, they defeated a struggling Poland with a late goal, played a dull goalless draw with France, lost 3-2 to Austria, and ultimately defeated Romania in the last 16. In the process, they advanced to the Euro Cup quarterfinals for the first time since 2008.

In the meantime, Turkey finished second in Group F, behind Portugal, with two wins and one loss. However, on their way to the quarterfinals, they defeated an Austrian side that had topped Group D ahead of France and the Netherlands, and to many, they were the dark horses of Euro 2024. Saturday's quarterfinal clash will be Turkey's first in a major tournament since Euro 2008.

Netherlands Preview

Ahead of his team's quarterfinal, Ronald Koeman will likely be relieved [or grateful] that they got the easier side of the draw by avoiding teams like Portugal, France, Spain, and Germany. The Dutch will fancy their chances of making it to the finals now, as a win on Saturday means a potential matchup against a struggling England in the semis. However, Koeman will need to address some issues before the tie.

One of the issues they have had in this tournament is their inefficiency in converting chances. They attempted shots 23 times against Romania but only managed to hit the target 6 times. Overall, they have conceded an expected 3.84 goals across four matches but have only scored 7, with 3 goals coming against a mediocre Romanian side. While the defense looked shaky early in the tournament, they seemed more solid in the last game. With the experience of de Vrij, Ake, and captain van Dijk at the back, the Dutch will have a clear advantage against Turkey, who tend to be more attacking throughout a game.

However, the focus will be on the front line with the impressive Gakpo (3 goals and 1 assist), Depay (3 assists), and Rejinders, the player who loves to carry the ball forward into the opponent's box. As far as changes are concerned, Malen, with his brace in the last game, is expected to replace the injured Bergwijn in a 4-2-3-1 formation.

Netherlands  Probable Starting XI - Verbruggen (Goalkeeper); Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Ake (Defenders); Reijinders, Schouten, Simmons, Malen (Midfielders) ; Depay, Gakpo (Forwards)

Turkey Preview

Turkey may not be favored in their quarterfinal clash against the Dutch, but Montella's men shouldn't be underestimated. Despite missing their influential captain, Hakan Calhanoglu, in the last 16 game against Austria, they still managed to win 2-1. This speaks volumes about the mental toughness of the Turkish side.

They may not have the squad strength of some established teams, but they do have some game-changers. Hakan Calhanoglu, with a goal already in the tournament, is one such player. The rising Real Madrid forward, Adra Guler, is another name to watch. With an assist, a goal, and 6 key passes, Guler possesses the skills to trouble the Dutch defense and create chances.

However, the key names that could decide the game could be Ferdi Kadioglu. The Dutch-born player has the most key passes (11), most tackles (14), and most interceptions for Turkey in this competition. Montella's tactics will likely be simple: absorb pressure and make the most of their attacks. Similar to the Austria game, where they had a lower expected goals (0.92) compared to their opponents (3.16) but converted their 3 chances into 2 goals. Expect Montella to field a 4-2-3-1 formation with Calhanoglu and Yokuslu replacing Kokcu and Yuksek.

Turkey Probable Starting XI - Gunok (Goalkeeper) ; Muldur, Demiral, Bardakci, Kadioglu (Defenders) ; Ayhan, Yokuslu, Calhanoglu (Midfielders) ; Yildiz, Guler, Yilmaz (Forwards) 

Having won only three knockout games in their last nine Euros appearances, the Dutch will have an opportunity to achieve consecutive knockout wins for the first time since Euro 1988. Incidentally, Ronald Koeman was also part of that championship-winning team. They expect to beat a side they have dominated in recent history, winning 6 out of the last 15 encounters. 

However, they face a side that will be high on confidence after winning their last 16 match and reaching their first quarter-finals since the 2008 Euro Cup. In terms of excitement, this match promises to be one of the most exciting matches of the tournament. In their last two encounters, a whopping 13 goals were scored, so expect a high-scoring affair. Despite the potential for a goalfest, the Dutch are favorites. 

Netherlands to win (2-1)


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Author: Vishnu Reddy