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NorthEast United FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan, Indian Super League 2024-2025, Today Match Prediction

India Gandhi Athletic Stadium, Guwahati

Mariners Look to Extend Dominance Over Highlanders

  • North East United FC won one of their last five games against ATK Mohun Bagan
  • North East United FC won two of their last three home games and average 2.8 goals per game
  • ATK Mohun Bagan only lost one of their last four away games and average 1.3 goals per game

ATK Mohun Bagan to Win (0-1)

Tournament: Indian Super League 2024-2025 | Venue: India Gandhi Athletic Stadium, Guwahati

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NorthEast United face a daunting challenge this Sunday as they take on league leaders Mohun Bagan at the Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium (7:30 p.m. IST). Reeling from a shocking 0-1 loss to bottom-ranked East Bengal, the Highlanders must regroup quickly to counter a Mohun Bagan side brimming with confidence. The Mariners, unbeaten in their last eight games and fresh off a gritty 1-0 win over Chennaiyin, are poised to tighten their grip on the top spot. 

Stats That Matter

Northeast United are ranked 10th in ball possession with 44.2%. They average 14.6 shots and 5.4 corners per game. Allan de Souza Miranda and Andrei Alba are the top scorers with 2 goals apiece. On the defensive side, the team makes an average of 24.6 clearances and 3.7 saves per game, the 2nd best in the season. They have managed 17 tackles and 8.6 interceptions but conceded 16/10 goals per game

Mohun Bagan Super Giant are ranked 2nd in ball possession with 56.4%. They average 16.0 shots and 7.8 corners per game. Akash Sangwan and Iker Guarrotxena have scored 2 goals each this season. On the defensive side, the team makes an average of 16.8 clearances and 3.0 saves per game, the 6th best in the season. They have managed 16 tackles and 10.2 interceptions but conceded 8/9 goals per game.

Current Standings: At present, Mohun Bagan occupy the first position in the points table with 20 points, tied with Bengaluru FC, while NorthEast find themselves at the fifth position with 15 points.

Head-to-head Record:  NorthEast United and Mohun Bagan have faced each other in 10 matches in the Indian Super League. Out of these 10 games, NorthEast United have won 2 whereas Mohun Bagan have come out victorious on 7 occasions .

NorthEast United FC Preview

The game against East Bengal would have been a tough pill to swallow for the Highlanders. Despite dominating with 15 shots, 71 final-third entries, and creating four big chances, they could only muster a single shot on target. Coach Juan Pedro Benali didn’t hide his frustration, calling out the missed opportunities that cost them dearly.  "We had many chances, but we don't know how (to convert). We just want to go to the ball, send it inside, and we don't shoot well. Suddenly, when we do something good, we don't repeat it again.” 

Adding to their woes, captain Mohamed Ali Bemammer saw red in the 72nd minute, leaving the Highlanders further hamstrung. Nevertheless, the missed chances proved costly, as they squandered a golden opportunity to close the five-point gap on Bagan and Bengaluru in the standings.

Alaawddine Ajaraie has been a standout for the Highlanders, leading the league with 11 goals and 4 assists. Boasting the best xG/90 at 1.1 and the most shots (40) this season, his form is undeniable. However, he’ll be eager to convert more of those efforts into goals in the upcoming games to lift his team’s fortunes. 

The Highlanders have scored the second highest number of goals ( 21) this season, having played a game less compared to the leader Odisha FC (23). They have had back-to-back games now, and four in total. 

NorthEast United  Probable XI -  Gurmeet Singh (GK), Buanthanglun Samte, Oram, Akhtar, Regragui, Mayakkannan, Albiach, Parthib Gogoi, Subran, Phalguni Singh, Ajaraie

ATK Mohun Bagan Preview

After a rocky start to their 2024/25 campaign, with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss—plus a shaky defense conceding 7 goals—the Mariners have found their stride. They are now at the top of the table, having gone unbeaten the loss against Bengaluru FC (3-0) and in that process they have managed five clean sheets as we. 

Mohun Bagan continue to defy expectations. Even during early-season struggles, there was a sense they’d find their stride. Against Chennaiyin FC, who held firm for 85 minutes, that belief proved true. Jason Cummings broke the deadlock with a moment of sheer brilliance, reinforcing the Mariners’ aura of inevitability.

Lalengmawia Ralte has been a game-changer for the Mariners this season. Leading the team with 23 tackles and 17 interceptions, he’s been a defensive powerhouse, shielding the backline and breaking down opposition attacks with ease.

The Mariners have scored 17 goals this season, with 10 different goal scorers. Meanwhile, they have conceded only once in the last six matches. Greg Alexander with five has the most number of assists in the league. Mohun Bagan scores 35% of their goals between the period of 31-45.

Mohun Bagan Probable XI -  V. kaith(GK) , Bose, Rodriguez, Aldred,, Biswas, Ralte, Tangri, M. Singh, Petratos, Colaco, Maclaren

It will also be the second meeting between the teams this season, with the Mariners winning the last encounter by 3-2. On top of that, Bagan has an 8-3 head-to-head advantage in this rivalry. However, it has been close in the last five games, with Bagan winning 3 and NorthEast 2. Despite the Highlanders managing to run the Mariners close, it should be fair to say that the latter will enter this contest as favourites to win. 

ATK Mohun Bagan to Win (0-1)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy