Newcastle United vs Arsenal FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Newcastle United vs Arsenal FC Match Prediction & Analysis

The Magpies have taken just 12 points from a possible 27 this season in the Premier League, but the home crowd was in deep appreciation of their team at St.James's Park against Chelsea in the Carabao Cup. Goals from Alexander Isak and Axel Disasi sent the men in black and white through to the quarter finals of the Carabao. Newcastle now face Brentford in the last eight and have a good chance at adding silverware. 

Newcastle played Chelsea twice within the span of 72 hours. Unfortunately, they lost 2-1 in the Premier League. Their performance in the league has been slightly worrying as they are winless in five, since beating Wolves on the 15th of September. The North Londoners won’t be an easy test which may potentially add up to a winless run. 

The Gunners easily breezed past Preston North End, in the tournament that they last won in 1993. 17-year old Ethan Nwaneri caught the eye with a dazzling display as he curled Arsenal’s second of the night. What felt like a midweek win, felt like a Premier League loss when they led Liverpool on two occasions last week at the Emirates. If Arsenal are to compete for the title, they will have to return to winning ways at St.James’.

Head-to-Head Record : Out of all the games played Newcastle has won 33% of the games, while Arsenal have won 50%, and 17% of the games have ended in draws. 

Current Standings : Newcastle sit on 9th with 12 points having drawn 2 and lost 3 of their past 5 games. Arsenal are third on the table with 18 points from 9 games. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Newcastle United Preview

A year on, Newcastle United find themselves in a slightly different position. While they were in the sixth spot with 16 points last year, they're currently 12th with 12 points. A common theme in Newcastle's home matches against Arsenal is a 0-1 scoreline, which has occurred six times at St. James' Park.

The Magpies have historically been strong starters, winning the first half in 37% of their matches. When they manage to secure a 1-0 lead at home, they've historically converted that advantage into a win 75% of the time. However, when they find themselves trailing 0-1 at home, their chances of a comeback are slim, with a success rate of only 16%.

Key Players - Jacob Murphy has assisted the most goals for Newcastle United with 2. Harvey Barnes is Newcastle’s top scorer with 3 goals. 

Injury list - Sven Botman, Jamaal Lascelles, Callum Wilson, Matt Targett, Martin Dubravka, Kieran Trippier and Anthony Gordon are all plagued by injury. 

Newcastle United Probable Starting Lineup -  Pope (GK), Krafth, Schar, Kelly, Hall (DEF), Longstaff, Tonali, Joelinton (MID), Isak, Willock, Disasi (FWD).

Arsenal FC Preview

Arsenal's historical performance against Newcastle United has been characterized by a consistent scoring rate of 1.2 goals per match. Their away record, particularly when trailing 1-0, is stark: a 0% win rate. Conversely, when they take an early lead, their success rate soars to 80%. Their recent dominance, including a 3-goal victory in their last encounter, underscores their current form.

Half-time statistics favor Arsenal, with a 55% win rate. However, the Gunners have also faced disciplinary challenges, accumulating the highest number of red cards this season.

Key injuries will impact their lineup, with Kieran Tierney, Martin Odegaard, Riccardo Calafiori, and Gabriel Magalhaes all ruled out for the trip to the North East. These absences could potentially disrupt Arsenal's rhythm and tactical plans.

Arsenal Probable Starting Lineup - David Raya (GK), Partey, White, Kiwior, Timber, (DEF), Saka, Rice, Merino, Martinelli, (MID), Havertz, Trossard (FWD). 

NEWCASTLE UNITED vs ARSENAL FC
Winning Prediction

Newcastle did win their last home game, albeit in a different competition. It hasn’t been since Steve Bruce’s managerial tenure that the Magpies have not scored in consecutive home games. Arsenal have a considerable amount of injuries, but Bukayo Saka’s return is a big positive. Knowing both teams have a midweek fixture there are bound to be some tired legs.  

We predict a Draw (1-1)

1xBet

330% up to ₹65,000 on your 1st Deposit with Reg Code: TOPBK

BET NOW