Newcastle United vs Athletic Bilbao, UEFA Champions League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Newcastle United vs Athletic Bilbao Match Prediction & Analysis

Newcastle United host Athletic Club in a UEFA Champions League phase clash on Wednesday, November 6, 2025, at St. James' Park. The match kicks off at 1:30 AM IST. Newcastle sit eighth in the league phase table after recovering from an opening defeat with two straight wins.

Athletic Club stand 21st, having earned their only win last time out after losing their first two matches. The teams have met only once before, in the 1994/95 UEFA Cup, when Athletic advanced on away goals despite losing 3-2 at St. James' Park. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Newcastle United Preview

After a 3-1 loss to West Ham in the Premier League, Newcastle aim to bounce back and maintain their strong home form in the Champions League. At St. James' Park, the Magpies are on a four-game winning streak and have scored in nine straight matches across all competitions.

Newcastle scored an average of 1.45 goals per game and conceded 1.30. They average 10.35 corners per game. The team’s top scorer this season remains unclear, as Nick Woltemade has scored seven goals in the Premier League, but full data across competitions is unavailable.

Kieran Trippier’s fitness is uncertain due to illness, and Anthony Gordon is struggling with a hip problem. Harvey Barnes could step in for Gordon. Yoane Wissa, Tino Livramento, and Harrison Ashby remain sidelined with injuries.

Stats That Matter

1. Newcastle are on a four-game home winning streak across all competitions.
2. The Magpies have scored in nine consecutive home matches.
3. Newcastle have lost only four of their last 33 European fixtures at home. 

Newcastle United Probable Starting Lineup: Pope; Trippier, Schar, Thiaw, Burn; Miley, Guimaraes, Joelinton; Barnes, Woltemade, Murphy

Athletic Bilbao Preview

Athletic Club’s European campaign has been inconsistent, and their domestic form is poor following a 3-2 derby loss to Real Sociedad. Their away record is troubling, with no wins in their last five matches in all competitions. Athletic Club lost two of the three matches played in the Champions League so far, with the losses coming against Dortmund and Arsenal, where they conceded a total of six goals.

After two early setbacks, they bounced back with a 3-1 win over Qarabag FK, thanks to Gorka Guruzeta's two goals and Robert Navarro Muñoz's game-closing goal in the 70th minute. This win gives them some rejuvenation as they enter this must-win contest against a strong, in-form Newcastle side. The biggest setback for the team is a serious adductor injury to veteran forward Iñaki Williams, who will not return until 2026. Nico Williams is also dealing with pubalgia but could still feature.

Stats That Matter

1. Athletic Club have lost four of their last five away matches in all competitions.
2. They have won only one of their last 10 European away games against English clubs.
3. Athletic conceded an average of 1.71 goals per game, showing clear defensive issues. 

Athletic Club's Probable Starting Lineup: Simon; Gorosabel, Paredes, Laporte, Berchiche; Rego, Jauregizar; N. Williams, Sancet, Navarro; Guruzeta

NEWCASTLE UNITED vs ATHLETIC BILBAO
Winning Prediction

Newcastle United enter this match as favourites due to their dominant home form, with four straight wins at St. James' Park. Athletic Club’s poor away record, including four defeats in their last five road games, makes them vulnerable. With Iñaki Williams unavailable, Newcastle’s attack should overpower Athletic’s shaky defence. 

Newcastle United to Win (3-1)

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