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Newcastle United vs West Ham United FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

St James' Park stadium, Newcastle

In-Form Newcastle Look to Dominate Struggling West Ham

  • Newcastle and West Ham average 4.2 goals per match
  • Newcastle and West Ham have drawn 2-2 seven times
  • Newcastle won two of the last five matches, with three draws

Newcastle United to Win 2-0

Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: St James' Park stadium, Newcastle

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Before the International break, Howe celebrated his three year anniversary with a win against emerging Nottingham Forest. The Magpies’ prospects are looking up again after a slight slump. Goals from Harvey Barnes, Joelinton and Isak sealed the deal to put Newcastle up and running for a European berth. The table is getting congested in the middle. Only league leaders seem to be opening a gap. Eddie Howe will need to keep his talisman Isak fit and fired up. The Swede has now scored 4 goals in 4 games. He scored 25 goals for Newcastle last season and has had a relatively slower start to life this season. Going into that game, plenty of comparisons were made of Isak with Chris Wood. But the swede put any talk of that away once the final whistle blew. 

Julian Lopetegui is in a precarious position as his side failed to get anything out of the Everton game at the London stadium last time out. The Hammers showed lack of commitment and looked horribly disjointed in the final third. West Ham would’ve taken all 3 points if it hadn’t been for England No.1 Jordan Pickford’s brilliant save. 

The only positive for West ham was the clean sheet that they managed to keep, their first since January, and only a second shutout in 29 top-flight encounters. West Ham have conceded 15 goals in the opening 15 minutes of Premier League games so far in 2024, the most such goals any side have conceded in a single calendar year in the competition. Five of those have come so far this season, a joint-league high, along with Ipswich.

Head to Head -  Both teams have played each other 113 times. Newcastle has won 48 of those affairs. West Ham has won 36. 29 games ended in a draw.

Standings - Newcastle are 9th with 18 points. West Ham are in 14th with 12 points. 

Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle have lost just one of their last 10 Premier League games against West Ham (W5 D4) and are unbeaten in all five against the Hammers under Eddie Howe (W2 D3). The Magpies have won their last two Premier League games, and are looking to win three in a row for the first time since September 2023 – this is the sixth occasion since that they have won twice in a row in the league. Along with Liverpool, Newcastle are one of two clubs yet to drop a single point from a winning position in the Premier League this season. 

The Magpies have won each of the last 10 matches in which they have led at any point in the Premier League, their longest such run since winning 11 in a row from February to August 2006. Newcastle have used fewer players (19) than any other side in the Premier League this season, while only Crystal Palace (4) have seen fewer players score for them (excl. own goals) in the division this term than the Magpies (5).

Stats That Matter

Newcastle United are ranked 11th in ball possession with 48.8% averaging 12.6 shots per game. The Magpies score an average of 1.18 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 33%. Alexander Isak and Harvey Barnes are the top scorers with 4 goals each this season. Joelinton has also scored 2 goals this season. The team has an average of 3.8 saves per game, the 6th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1 goal per match.

Players to watch out for

Newcastle’s Alexander Isak has scored in all three of his Premier League games against West Ham, netting a brace in both meetings with the Hammers last term. No Newcastle player has scored multiple goals in three consecutive Premier League meetings with an opponent before, while no player has ever done so against West Ham either. 

Only against Aston Villa (9) has Newcastle’s Harvey Barnes been directly involved in more Premier League goals than he has against West Ham (8 – 6 goals, 2 assists). He’s either scored or assisted in each of his last four against the Hammers (4 goals, 1 assist), finding the net in each of the last three.

Injury - Sven Botman, Jamaal Lascelles, Callum Wilson, Emil Krafth and Kieran Trippier will all miss out. 

Newcastle probable 11 - Pope (GK), Livramento, Burn, Hall, Schar (DEF), Longstaff, Guimaraes, Willock (MID), Gordon, Isak, Joelinton (FWD).

West Ham United FC Preview

West Ham haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 10 Premier League games against Newcastle, though they’ve only failed to score themselves in one of the last 13, with both teams finding the net in each of the last seven meetings between them. West Ham have kept just two clean sheets in their last 28 Premier League away games, conceding 66 goals (2.4 per game). Indeed, in 2024, they have conceded more away goals in the top-flight (35) than any side.

West Ham have failed to score in their last two league games, as many as their previous 14 beforehand. Only once since the start of last season have they gone three league matches without a goal, doing so in February. 

Stats That Matter

West Ham are ranked 15th in ball possession with 45.5% averaging 13.5 shots per game. The Hammers score an average of 1.18 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 33%. Jarrod Bowen is the top scorer with 3 goals. Tomas Souek and Mohammed Kudus have also scored 2 goals each this season. The team has an average of 3 saves per game, the 13th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.73 goals per match.

Player to watch out for

Only Jørgen Strand Larsen (16) has made more hold-ups while retaining possession in the Premier League this season than West Ham’s Michail Antonio (15). Antonio is retaining possession with 71% of his hold-ups in the competition this term (15/21), the highest ratio of any player to attempt 10+.

Injury - Niclas Fullkrug is out with an achilles injury. 

West Ham probable 11 - Fabianski (GK), Wan-Bissaka, Todibo, Kilman, Emerson (DEF), Rodriguez, Bowen, Soucek, Paqueta, Summerville (MID), Antonio (FWD).

Newcastle have picked up great momentum after slicing their opponents in style. West Ham still haven’t had a proper run in this campaign. The visitors have not yet found their feet, as pressure mounts on the Spanish boss. The Geordie crowd will back their team and expect them to seal the 3 points.

Newcastle United to Win 2-0

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Author: Vishnu Reddy