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Can the Tricky Trees pull off a win against Leeds?
Nottingham Forest to Win (2-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2025-26 | Venue: City Ground, Nottingham
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Gameweek 11 features a crucial clash at the City Ground as newly promoted Leeds United take on hosts Nottingham Forest, with kickoff scheduled for 7:30 PM IST. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the table and in need of a turnaround.
For Leeds, it’s about regaining consistency after a mixed run of results, while for Forest, currently languishing in the relegation zone, this match carries even greater urgency as they look to claw their way back to safety.
Current Standings: Things aren’t looking great for Forest at the moment, sitting 19th in the table with just 6 points. Leeds, meanwhile, hold a slight advantage, placed 16th with 11 points to their name.
Head-to-Head Record: It’s been a closely fought rivalry, with Forest narrowly edging Leeds — five wins to four across their 12 meetings.
For all highs of last season, Forest have hit lowest of lows this season, with just 1 win in 10 games and currently placed at the 19th position in table. Not to mention, two coaches have already been axed. However, Sean Dyche, the new manager got a glim of hope last weekend after a sorry start to his campaign in the match prior. Facing an in-form Manchester United, the Tricky Trees produced a solid display and at one stage were in front with a 2-1 score thanks to the goals from Morgan Gibbs-White and Nicolo Savona.
Unfortunately, their struggles with defending set-pieces came to the fore once again and had to settle for a 2-2 draw in the end. Still, one can say that's indeed something for Dyche to work on and trigger into something that can get his side out of the relegation zone.
Stats that matter
1. Nottingham Forest are enduring a tough spell, going winless in their last nine Premier League games — the second-longest run without a victory in a Premier League season since 2023.
2. The Tricky Trees have now gone 18 Premier League games without a clean sheet.
3. Since Sean Dyche took charge, Forest have adopted a more direct approach — registering the second-highest number of long passes in the league with 131.
Team News
Sean Dyche faces a growing injury list ahead of the Leeds clash, with Douglas Luiz, Ola Aina, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Dilane Bakwa, and Chris Wood all likely to miss out. On the bright side, there’s optimism that Callum Hudson-Odoi will recover from his knock against Manchester United in time to feature.
Nottingham Forest Probable XI - Sels (GK); Savona, Milenkovic, Morato, Williams (Defenders); Sangare, Elliott Anderson, Gibbs-White (Midfielders); Hudson-Odoi, Dan Ndoye, Jesus (Forwards).
After their impressive win over West Ham in matchweek 9, Leeds fell flat against Brighton, suffering a heavy 3-0 defeat. It’s been a recurring theme for the Whites — flashes of promise followed by inconsistency, especially away from home.
Consistency has eluded them on the road, with their only road win so far came against bottom-placed Wolves (3-1), and with another away test at Forest this Sunday, Leeds will need to find that missing consistency fast.
Stats that matter
1. Leeds’ is only one of the two sides in the league to have conceded a goal in all five away league games this season.
2. The Whites had an xGA of 3.07 versus Brighton, which was their most in a single league game under Daniel Farke.
3. Noah Okafor is currently ranked third when it comes to dribbles (7.5) made per 90 minutes in the league this season.
Team News
Daniel Farke might have a full-strength squad available for the weekend clash. Wilfried Gnonto, who has been out since mid-September with a calf issue, has rejoined training, and there’s a good chance he’ll be included in the lineup against Forest on Sunday.
Leeds United Probable XI - Perri (GK); J Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, James Justin (Defenders); Anton Stach, E.Ampadu, Sean Longstaff (Midfielders); Okafor, Calvert-Lewin, Aaranson (Forwards).
Both teams couldn’t have asked for a better matchup to rediscover form, with each battling their own issues. Leeds’ away form remains their biggest concern, while Forest are still adjusting to Dyche’s methods.
That said, their spirited display against Manchester United suggests the players are starting to click under the new boss. Considering that and Leeds’ travel woes, Forest might just have the edge in this one. When it comes to the odds, most bookmakers are leaning towards a Forest victory. One such site lists the Tricky Trees as favourites at 2.26, while Leeds sit at 3.41 and a draw stands at 3.44.
Nottingham Forest to Win (2-1)
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