Odisha FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan, Indian Super League 2024-2025, Today Match Prediction

Odisha FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan Match Prediction & Analysis

Odisha FC will be eager to shake off the sting of a 2-3 defeat to NorthEast United last week as they prepare for a high-stakes weekend clash against the formidable Mohun Bagan. The Kalinga stadium in Bhubaneswar will serve as the battlefield for the clash, with the match scheduled for Sunday at 7:30 p.m.

 Mohun Bagan, on the contrary, had a great time in Hyderabad as they beat the hosts 2-0 with goals from Manvir Singh and Subhasish Bose. The exact scoreline by which the Mariners defeated Odisha in the second leg of last season’s semi-final. 

Current Standings: With eight points from seven games, Odisha currently sits ninth in the league standings, while the Mariners, trailing Bengaluru by just one point, hold second place with 13 points.

Head-to-head record: Odisha and ATK Mohun Bagan have played 11 matches in the Indian Super League. Of these 11 games, Odisha has won one, while ATK Mohun Bagan has won five.

TEAMS PREVIEW

Odisha FC Preview

After a four-game unbeaten run that followed their initial two defeats, Odisha FC's momentum has been halted by a 2-3 loss to NorthEast United. Despite dominating possession (64%), Odisha failed to create significant chances and were frequently overwhelmed by NorthEast's high-pressure tactics. This weakness could be exploited by Mohun Bagan.

Hugo Boumous, who came on as a substitute in the previous match, injected energy and creativity, scoring a goal and creating late chances. Based on his performance, coach Anthony Fernandes should consider starting him against Mohun Bagan. To secure a victory, Odisha will need a strong performance from their attacking trio of Boumous, Roy Krishna (3 goals), and De Brito (4 goals).

Odisha has conceded goals in all seven of their matches, totaling 13. They have scored 12 goals, averaging an expected goals (xG) of 1.71 per game.

Odisha Probable XI - A Singh (GK); J Lalrinzuala, Thoiba Singh, M Fall, Ranawade (Defenders); I Vanlalruatfela, A Jahouh, H Boumous, L Khawlhring (MidFielders); R Krishna, Rahim Ali

ATK Mohun Bagan Preview

The Mariners secured a dominant 2-0 victory, marking their fourth win of the season with just one loss and one draw. However, the scoreline could have been even more emphatic, had it not been for Liston Colaco's missed opportunity from Jamie Maclaren's through ball in the 84th minute.

The Mariners' defensive solidity has been a key factor in their recent success. Led by goalkeeper Vishal Kaith, the team has kept three clean sheets in their last three matches, including two on the road. With an impressive xGA of just 1 per game, their defense has proven to be a significant factor in their victories.

Left-back Subhasish Bose has been a standout performer, combining defensive prowess with offensive flair. He has already scored three goals this season. Jamie Maclaren, with two goals and his ability to create chances, is also a key player to watch. The Mariners have scored 12 goals this season, with an xG of 1.71 per game. They have conceded only 7 goals, three of which came against Bengaluru FC. 

Mohun Bagan Probable XI - V. kaith, Bose, Rodriguez, Aldred, Rai, Samad, Tangri, Thapa, Singh, Stewart, Maclaren

ODISHA FC vs ATK MOHUN BAGAN
Winning Prediction

Over the years, the Mariners have dominated this rivalry, losing just once in eleven matches. Additionally, the visitors are riding a wave of three consecutive victories, two of which came on the road. However, Odisha has been formidable at home, remaining unbeaten in 16 of their last 17 home games, with their only loss coming against Chennaiyin FC in the season opener.

This match will be a clash between Odisha's offense and Bagan's defense. While both sides have their strengths, the Mariners' superior attacking form could be the deciding factor. As a result, we favor Mohun Bagan to win this match.

Given their dominant head-to-head record, most betting sites favor a Mariners victory. ATK Mohun Bagan is the favorite to win with odds of 2.10, while Odisha's odds are 3.10, and a draw is priced at 3.40. An expected goals (xG) total of 2.5-3 is anticipated for this match.

ATL Mohun Bagan to Win (0-2)

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