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Can Qarabag Keep Their Knockout Hopes Alive in Baku?
Qarabag FK to Win (2-0)
Tournament: UEFA Champions League 2025-26 | Venue: Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium, Baku
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In what might be the least glamorous fixture of the week, Qarabag FK host Eintracht Frankfurt in Baku on January 21 at 11:15 PM IST. Frankfurt’s hopes of escaping the group look slim, while Qarabag still have a fighting chance at reaching the round-of-16 playoff, but only if they take all three points on Wednesday night.
Current Standings: Qarabag sit 22nd in the standings on seven points, while Frankfurt trail far behind in 30th with just four.
Head-to-Head Record: Frankfurt have won both the games played between the teams.
Qarabag’s noteworthy European run came in 2023–24 when they reached the Europa League round of 16, and Gurban Gurbanov’s men now have a chance to top that in the 2025–26 Champions League. To stay in the playoff race, they’ll need a win on Wednesday, something that feels realistic given Frankfurt’s struggles and the Horsemen’s own momentum.
They have already delivered some eye-catching results in this UCL campaign, including a thrilling 3–2 win over Benfica on opening night, a clinical 2–0 victory against Copenhagen, and a statement 2–2 draw with Chelsea. Given their formidable home form—having suffered just one defeat in their last ten matches across all competitions—they’ll fully back themselves to claim all three points in Baku.
Stats that matter
1. Qarabag have managed to win seven of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
2. The Azerbaijani club are winless in their previous ten matches against German teams (D2 L8).
3. Qarabag have scored at least twice in each of their last five home European games with Leandro Andrade being their top scorer.
Team News
For the Horsemen, Kady Borges remains out injured, while forward Ramil Sheydayev is set to miss the midweek clash through suspension.
Qarabag FK Probable XI - Kochalaski (GK) ; Jafarquliyev, Medina, Mustafazade, Silva, Jankovic, Bicalho, Addai, Zoubir, Andrade, Duran.
Eintracht Frankfurt have found winning hard as Eintracht Frankfurt have made life hard for themselves, and the numbers tell the story. Just one win in their last nine across competitions — a run that includes a 2-1 UCL defeat to Barcelona in the UCL— sums up their struggles.
Ironically, the Eagles kicked off their Champions League campaign in style with a 5-1 hammering of Galatasaray, but everything unraveled after that—four straight losses and a goalless draw, while conceding 14 goals.
It’s that leaky backline that has truly hurt them, conceding three or more goals in six of their recent outings. If that pattern reappears on Wednesday, Frankfurt’s Champions League adventure may just come to an abrupt end.
Stats that matter
1. The Last three matches featuring Frankfurt have produced five or more goals.
2. Frankfurt have managed just one win in their last eight UEFA fixtures (D2 L5) and none in five (D1 L4).
3. Ansgar Knauff and Jonathan Burkardt are the joint top scorers for the Eagles (2 goals) in the UCL this season.
Team News
Beyond their long-term casualties, the Eagles will be without Hugo Larsson and Mario Gotze due to illness, while Rasmus Kristensen is unlikely to feature after suffering a broken nose.
Eintracht Frankfurt Probable XI - Zetterer (GK) ; Baum, Koch, Theate, Brown, Hojlund, Skhiri, Chaibi, Bahoya, Doan, Knauff.
Qarabag enter the midweek clash in far better shape, but there’s a catch— they’ve played just one friendly in over a month. Eintracht could look to exploit that rust, especially with their ability to create chances, but their leaky backline and mounting absences remain a major worry. All things considered, the hosts look slight favorites for the clash.
Qarabag FK to Win (2-0)
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