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Slovakia vs Romania, UEFA Euro 2024, Today Match Prediction

Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt, Heese

Romania Eyes Draw in Euro 16 Quest

  • Slovakia and Romania have played 4 matches with Slovakia winning 0, Romania winning 1, and 3 matches ending in draws,
  • The average goals per game in the head to head encounters is 2.25 goals per match.
  • Slovakia has scored 11 Goals in their last 6 appearances

Slovakia to Win (1-0)

Tournament: UEFA Euro 2024 | Venue: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt, Heese

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In the most competitive group of Euro 2024, Slovakia and Romania will lock horns at the Deutsche Bank Park on Wednesday, for a place in the round of 16. Both teams currently share points along with the other two teams in the group. Interestingly, it's the first time in Euros that all the teams in a group share equal points going into their final games. 

Having lost to Ukraine by two goals to one in their last game, Slovakia are currently placed in the 3rd position in the table. A win on Wednesday and a loss to Ukraine against Belgium will ensure a top-2 finish for the Falcons and a passage to the round of 16. However, a loss would mean curtains to their campaign, provided Belgium doesn't lose their last group game. So, at the very least, they would want a draw against the Romanians to stand a chance to progress into the next round.

On the other hand, coming off a 2-0 loss to Belgium, a draw would be enough for Romania to progress to the round of 16. However, a win on Wednesday and a loss to Belgium against Ukraine will see the Romanians progress to the round of 16 as the table toppers. Seeing the requirements of both teams, one thing is certain: the Slovakians will go all out for the win, while the Romanians can sit back and wait for those fast counters. 

Slovakia Preview

Slovakia had a dream start to their Euro campaign as they triumphed over the much fancier Belgium side in their opening game on the back of an early goal from Schranz. Their following game followed a similar pattern, with Schranz scoring early and them sitting back, defending the lead in the first half.

However, the overly defensive shift backfired, and Ukraine walked away with a win by 2 goals. They only managed one shot in the 2nd half. For a side that likes to score goals—28 goals in the last two years at an average of 1.8 per game; this sudden change in tactics may come as a surprise to many. With them needing a win in their final game, they will have no choice but to resort to their old attacking style. In this situation, Lukas Haraslin becomes the key player for the Falcons. 

The 28-year-old winger has created two chances and had two shots against Belgium, while he had an assist and two shots on target against Ukraine. The bulk of Slovakia's attack goes through the winger, helped by the adventurous left back David Hanko. The other side is manned by Schranz, who already has two goals to his name. In short, if Slovakia has to have a good game, the partnership of Haraslin-Hanko and Schranz-Pekarik will have to come good. 

Slovakia Probable Starting XI: Martin Dubravka (Goalkeeper); Peter Pekarik, Denis Vavro, Milan Skrinar, David Hancko (Defenders); Juraj Kuka, Stanislav Lobotka, Ondrej Duda (Midfielders); Ivan Schranz, Robert Bozenik, Lukas Haraslin (Forwards) 

SLK Over/Under Betting Tips

Slovakia Ball Possession over 54.5% 1.85

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With Slovakia averaging a near-50% share of possession (47.5%) compared to Romania's 36.5%, expect the Slovaks to dominate midfield play and potentially possess the ball for more than half (over 54.5%) of the game.

Romania Preview

After impressing one and all with their skills and fluidity in their opening game, Romania failed to replicate it against a much-fancied Belgium side. There was a stark difference in quality between the sides. However, ranked 45th and 47th in the world, the Romanians wouldn't be expected to be outplayed by Slovakia in their final match. 

Given they only need a draw to progress, one can expect them to prioritize the defence, which conceded only 5 goals in the last 10 qualifying games. They had already shown in the game against Ukraine that they are comfortable playing without the ball. So far, they are among the teams that have completed among the fewest passes in the tournament, with an average possession of less than 37%.

Even though attention might fall upon the defence, one shouldn't forget the impact they had going forward when they had the ball. Dennis Man, with two assists, was the catalyst of those attacks. Not to mention their ability to score from outside the box, as it was demonstrated against Ukraine. Given they only need to draw the game to progress, quick counterattacks with staunch defence will be the order of the day.

Romania Probable Starting XI: Florin Nita(Goalkeeper); Bancu, Burca, Dragusin, Ratiu(Defenders); Dennis Man, M Marin, R Marin, Stanciu, Mihalia (Midfielders); D Dragus (Striker) 

Over/Under Goals Total Tips

Both Teams To Score 1.95

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It's a crucial match for both Slovakia and Romania, as all teams in Group E are tied on points. Expect a close battle between the two sides. Their head-to-head encounters average 2.25 goals per game, so we predict both teams will find the net in today's match.

Ever since the dissolution of Czechoslovakia, Slovakia hasn't defeated Romania in 8 matches. Clearly, this match will be difficult to predict, given no real recent history between the teams. However, if you go by their current form, Slovakia were unbeaten in four games leading up to the match against the Ukrainians. And in the lead up to the tournament, they had beaten teams by a margin of 4-0 three times in seven games. That goal-scoring ability of theirs is likely to come in handy on Wednesday.

On the contrary, Romania has only conceded 9 goals in their last 15 games and been beaten only once. They'll be aware of the fact that the Slovakians haven't lost two consecutive games since September 2022. Despite their impressive defensive record, Romanians still have a good chance to walk away with a draw in their last game, which is all they need to see them through to the next round.

It's possible the game might end up being a 0-0 draw, given Romania's defensive record. However, Slovakia do possess aerial threats to counter the low block of the Romanians. If they manage to score, they have a strong defence to fall upon, led by their captain Skriniar. So we predict a 1-0 win for Slovakia. 

Slovakia to Win (1-0)


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Author: Neev Chopra