Southampton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Southampton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion Match Prediction & Analysis

Brighton, meandering in the top half of the table, have a golden opportunity to rack up crucial points as they take on rock-bottom Southampton in Round 26 of the Premier League. It may not be the headline clash of the weekend, but it’s a crucial game for Brighton as they look to cement their top-half status. They come in with a confidence-boosting win over Chelsea, a crucial response after the humbling setback against Nottingham Forest. For the hosts, it’s all about salvaging something from the game as they remain stuck at the bottom with no clear escape in sight. 

Current Standings: Currently Southampton finds itself at the last position in the table with just 9 points, while Brighton sits at the 10th position with 37 points.  

Head-to-Head Record: Both sides have faced each other 21 times in the Premier League. Southampton has secured 6 wins, Brighton has won 5 matches, and they have drawn 10 times.

TEAMS PREVIEW

Southampton FC Preview

The victory over Ipswich Town proved to be nothing more than a fleeting moment of success, as the Saints quickly slipped back into familiar struggles, suffering their 20th defeat of the season. Once again, the Saints found themselves on the wrong end of a heavy defeat, conceding three or more goals for the fourth time in five games. It’s no surprise they hold the unwanted record for the most goals conceded this season. 

Southampton's home form this season has been a major concern.  With just four points, they have the fewest points at home in the Premier League, managing only one win, one draw, and a staggering ten defeats. This dismal record includes a seven-match losing streak at home, highlighting the team's struggles to find any consistency on their own turf.  The Saints' defensive woes are evident in their league-high 57 goals conceded, while their lack of attacking potency is reflected in their league-low 19 goals scored. Joe Aribo leads the team in league scoring with three goals. Notably, 28% of Southampton's goals have been scored within the first 15 minutes of matches.

Team News

Southampton boss Juric delivered some good news in Thursday’s press conference, confirming Flynn Downes and Jack Stephens are fit for Brighton’s visit after overcoming minor injury scare. 

Southampton Probable XI - Ramsdale (GK); Bree, Bednarek, Stephens; Sugawara, Aribo, Ugochukwu, Walker-Peters; Fernandes; Sulemana, Onuachu

Brighton & Hove Albion Preview

Brighton’s recent form has been a wild ride. From the heartbreak of a crushing 7-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest to the sheer brilliance of back-to-back wins over Chelsea—first knocking them out of the FA Cup and then dismantling them 3-0 in the league—the Seagulls have shown resilience in style. With only six points between them and sixth-placed Chelsea, the Seagulls have a golden chance to close the gap and climb the table.  It’s indeed a golden opportunity to win three points, but the Seagulls have often stumbled against bottom-half teams.

The Seagulls have thrived against top teams this season, winning 46% of those clashes, yet they've managed just a 25% success rate against bottom-half sides. Their struggles were evident in November’s 1-1 home draw with Southampton. Regardless, it is highly unlikely that Southampton can pose them a challenge this time. 

Kaoru Mitoma has been Brighton’s key man on the road, scoring in two of their last three away games. With four away goals this season—more than any teammate—he’s hit form at the right time, netting three of his six league goals in the last five matches, including one against Chelsea. He also found the net in their FA Cup win over the Blues.

Team News 

Hürzeler faces an anxious wait on three key players ahead of the weekend, with Lewis Dunk (rib), Solly March (fitness), and Pervis Estupiñán (unspecified) all doubtful. 

Brighton Probable XI - Verbruggen (GK) ; Minteh, Van Hecke, Webster, Veltman, Lamptey; Rutter, Baleba, Hinshelwood, Mitoma; Welbeck

SOUTHAMPTON FC vs BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Winning Prediction

The Saints enter this clash on a dismal run, having lost their last seven home games—hardly ideal preparation against a confident Brighton side.  Adding to their woes, Brighton are unbeaten in their last six meetings, since a 2-1 defeat in 2020. Anything less than three points would be a disappointment for the Seagulls. As a result of all the above-mentioned statistics, some of the popular bookmakers have backed Brighton to win the upcoming clash, offering odds of 1.59 for a Brighton win, 5.40 for a Southampton upset, and 4.40 for a draw.

Brighton to Win (1-2)

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