Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth Match Prediction & Analysis

It's a happy return to St. Mary's Stadium for the hosts as they finally broke their frustrating 13-match winless streak in the 2024/25 Premier League with a hard-fought 2-1 victory over fellow newcomers Ipswich Town. Next up, Southampton face a tough test against high-flying Bournemouth, who sit well ahead in the standings and will be eager to respond after their 2-0 defeat to Liverpool.A victory for the Cherries on Saturday will undoubtedly boost their position in the league table, keeping their ambitions on track for the spot in the European League. 

Current Standings: Currently or from a long while, Southampton finds itself at the last position in the table with just 9 points, while Bournemouth  is placed at the 7th position with 40  points.  

Head-to-Head Record: This has been a close rivalry as both games have a similar kind of stats, with Southampton just edging past Bournemouth with a 5-4 win-loss record in 13 matches. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Southampton FC Preview

The Saints enter their next match fresh off an FA Cup fourth-round exit at the hands of Championship side Burnley. While the defeat stings, it could be a blessing in disguise, allowing them to focus entirely on their Premier League campaign. And the Saints have momentum now, having snapped their 13-game Premier League winless streak with a crucial 2-1 victory over fellow newcomers Ipswich.

Southampton's home form this season has been dismal. With only four points, they have the league's worst home record, boasting just one win, one draw, and a staggering nine defeats. Their recent home performances have been equally concerning, with five losses in their last six matches. 

Offensively, they struggle significantly, scoring only 18 goals, the fewest in the league, while their defense has been porous, conceding a league-high 54 goals. Joe Aribo leads the team in league scoring with three goals. Notably, 28% of Southampton's goals are scored within the first 15 minutes of matches.

Team News

The Saints will be without the services of Jack Stephens, Ryan Fraser, Flynn Downes and Ross Stewart this weekend due to injury.

Southampton Probable XI - Ramsdale (GK), Bednarek, Bree, Walker-Peters, Harwood-Bellis, Wellington, Aribo, Ugochukwu, Gronbæk, Fernandes, Onuachu

AFC Bournemouth Preview

Unlike Southampton, Bournemouth bounced back from a recent league defeat in style, cruising into the FA Cup fifth round with a commanding 2-0 win over Everton at Goodison Park. In the Premier League, Bournemouth have a golden chance to break into the top four, sitting just three points behind fourth-placed Chelsea. With three of their next four games against Southampton and Wolves, the Cherries will back themselves to close the gap.

Bournemouth boasts an impressive unbeaten streak of seven away games.  This strong form carries across all competitions, as the Cherries have lost only one of their last 14 matches.  Defensively, they've been relatively solid, ranking fourth in the Premier League for fewest goals conceded this season (28).  For Bournemouth, Justin Kluivert leads their scoring efforts with nine league goals.  A notable trend for Bournemouth is their tendency to score late in games, with 39% of their goals coming between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Team News 

Bournemouth face a growing injury list ahead of the weekend, with Enes Unal, Francisco Evanilson, Marcos Senesi, Adam Smith, Julian Araujo, Alex Scott, James Hill, Luis Sinisterra, and Julio Soler all sidelined.

Bournemouth Probable XI - Kepa (GK), Zabarnyi, Kerkez, Huijsen, Christie, Cook, Brooks, Adams, Kluivert, Semenyo, Ouattara

SOUTHAMPTON FC vs AFC BOURNEMOUTH
Winning Prediction

While the head-to-head statistics suggest a closely contested match, recent form paints a different picture. Bournemouth has had the upper hand, winning two of the last three meetings, including back-to-back victories.  Adding to their confidence, they have also won their last two visits to St. Mary's Stadium. Furthermore, Southampton hasn't beaten Bournemouth at home since 2018, reinforcing the Cherries' status as favorites for this clash. The odds reflect this, with Bournemouth at 1.56 to win, Southampton at 5.60 for an upset, and a draw at 4.70.

AFC Bournemouth to Win (0-2)

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