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Southampton FC vs Everton FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Can Southampton End Their Losing Streak?

  • Both teams scored in five straight Southampton games before their loss at Manchester City.
  • Both teams have scored in 11 of the last 14 meetings, including the League Cup this season.
  • Both teams have scored in six of Everton's last eight games.

We Predict a Draw (1-1)

Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

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Relegation battle beckons us on the weekend as the bottom dwellers on the points table, Southampton and Everton, go up against one another in what promises to be an intriguing battle at the St Mary's Stadium. 

Southampton, yet to register a win in the league, are coming off a much-needed win in the EFL Cup against Stoke City (3-2), whereas Everton, with two wins in the last five games, have formed a nice bit of a streak, having gone undefeated in those games. 

Current Standings: Currently Southampton find themselves at the last position in the table, while Everton are placed at the 16th position. 

Head-to-Head Record: With 21 wins in 48 games, it's Everton who holds the advantage in this rivalry, which has produced 12 draws. 

Southampton FC Preview

Contrary to the expectations of many, Southampton put up a dogged fight against Manchester City as they went down by just one goal. Not only that, they almost had a good deal of possession against the Champions, and got praised for that from none other than Pep Guardiola. In the end, the lack of real opportunities in the game cost them and that will need to change against Everton on Sunday. 

So far in the competition, the Saints have had an average possession percentage  of 54.43%, but they have only 6 goals to show for it with an xG of 10.7. That's 0.67 per game and it was 0.21 against City. That stat needs improvement, if they are to get out of that relegation zone. 

Ryan Fraser was suspended for Southampton's trip to Etihad but will be expected to return on Saturday. Meanwhile, Ross Stewart, Will Smallbone and Gavin Bazunu are all out with Flynn Downes. 

Southampton Probable XI - Ramsdale; Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Manning, Walker-Peters; Dibling, Aribo, Downes, Mateus Fernandes; Archer

Everton FC Preview

Not long ago, Everton met Southampton in an EFL Cup game, only to be knocked out by the Toffees in penalties. Come Saturday, Dyche, on his first visit to Southampton, will be eager for a payback and change of record of having lost seven of their last ten matches at the St. Mary's stadium. 

When it comes to defending set-pieces, along with Wolves, Southampton have got the worst record this season by conceding 7 goals. Add to that, they have conceded six via errors and three from headed goals. Crosses into the box and utilising the weakness of set pieces will be the way to go for Everton in this contest. 

Good news for Everton as Jarrad Branthwaite is fit and ready to make a comeback. However, there's some doubt regarding the participation of Dwight McNeil, who limped off late in the Fulham game. 

Everton Probable XI - Pickford; Young, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Gueye, Doucoure; Harrison, Lindstrom, Ndiaye; Calvert-Lewin

Southampton need to win. However, the fact that the Saints have won five of their past seven home games against Everton will give them hope. However, Everton won the most recent meeting between the teams at St Mary's Stadium, defeating Saints 2-1. Furthermore, Southampton has not won any of their last 22 Premier League games.

Everton  are the favourites to win the contest with odds of 2.60 to Southampton's 2.63 and odds of a draw of 3.40. In the meantime, we expect an xG of 2.5.  If we go by recent form, it's hard to overlook Everton’s chances of winning but, if we go by recent history, Southampton do have a chance. In this scenario, we believe that, more or less, it's likely to end in a draw.  

We Predict a Draw (1-1)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy