Serbia vs Latvia, FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifiers, Today Match Prediction

Serbia vs Latvia Match Prediction & Analysis

Serbia meet Latvia on 16th November 2025 at 10:30 PM at the Dubočica Stadium, and the hosts enter this contest with confidence, as their narrow 1-0 win in the previous qualifier on 6th September still lingers in memory. 

Latvia arrive with a clear need to correct that setback, and the visitors may push harder from the start, although Serbia usually grow into matches with control in midfield. Meanwhile, the setting adds more significance, since home supporters often lift Serbia in tense matches, and this encounter seems primed for another tight contest that could swing late if Serbia sustain pressure.

The only other competitive meeting between the two sides this season ended in a narrow away victory for Serbia. While Latvia have shown a slightly more respectable defensive record against opponents other than England, their attack has struggled significantly, failing to score in six of their last eight internationals. This final match of the qualification campaign holds no impact on either team’s chances of reaching the 2026 World Cup.

TEAMS PREVIEW

Serbia Preview

Serbia enter this fixture with a mixed profile, and the numbers paint a team that often stays in matches yet struggles to pull clear. They have played seven qualifiers so far, and they sit on ten points after three wins, one draw, and three defeats, which already shows how uneven their campaign has been. 

Their goal record stands at seven scored and nine conceded, leaving them with a goal difference of –2, and that figure mirrors their broader trend, as they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

Even so, Serbia keep a decent level of control in long stretches of play, and their average possession of 56.3% proves that they try to dictate the tempo, while their 5.3 corners per game and 4.3 shots on target per game underline their steady output in the final third. Their expected-goals tally sits at 8.6, which stays close to their actual return.

Meanwhile, their FotMob rating of 6.87 reflects a team that performs in patches without finding a full rhythm. Aleksandar Mitrović leads their scoring chart with four goals, and Dusan Vlahović tops the assist list with one.

Serbia's possible starting lineup: Rajkovic; Mimovic, Milenkovic, Pavlovic, Terzic; Gudelj, Lukic; Zivkovic, Samardzic, Kostic; Vlahovic

Latvia Preview

Latvia step into this stage with a record that reflects a side trying to improve itself, as seven matches have produced one win, two draws, and four defeats, which leaves them on five points. They have scored four goals and conceded thirteen, leaving them with a goal difference of minus nine, and this gap explains much of their current struggle. 

Even so, Dmitrijs Zelenkovs leads their scoring chart with one goal, while Andrej Ciganiks sits at the top for assists with one, which at least gives the side a pair of steady contributors.

Their broader numbers paint a similar picture, since they average 0.6 goals per match and concede 1.9, while their 2.0 shots on target per game show how rarely they threaten. Along the way, their corner count reaches twenty-three, their xG stands at 5.6, and their FotMob rating sits at 6.53, which captures a team that works hard but often falls short.

Latvia's possible starting lineup: Zviedris; Savalnieks, Balodis, Jagodinskis, Jurkovskis, Tonisevs; Ikaunieks, Zelenkovs, Vapne, Daskevics; Gutkovskis 

SERBIA vs LATVIA
Winning Prediction

Serbia look far better placed to take this match because their structure holds firm even under pressure, and they showed that with a brave effort at Wembley, where only two long-range hits beat them. Latvia, by contrast, rarely test defenders, and their limited threat should ease Serbia through long stretches of the game. 

Moreover, Serbia create steadier movements in the final third even without their main forward, and Paunovic appears set to collect his first win as he shapes the side with clear intent. Latvia may battle for moments, but Serbia carry the control, the rhythm, and the sharpness needed to finish the job.

Serbia to Win (1-0)

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