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Switzerland vs Italy, UEFA Euro 2024, Today Match Prediction

Olympiastadion, Berlin

Can Switzerland continue their dominance?

  • In their 60 head-to-head meetings, Italy dominates the rivalry with 29 wins to Switzerland's 7.
  • Switzerland scored 11 Goals in their last six apperances
  • In the head to head meetings the average goals per match between Switzerland and Italy is 1.71

Italy to Win (1-2)

Tournament: UEFA Euro 2024 | Venue: Olympiastadion, Berlin

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Aiming to build on their 2020 Euro Cup triumph and solidify their path to the World Cup, Italy face a determined Switzerland. The Swiss, having displayed collective growth over the past two editions, are hungry to secure a quarter-final berth.

Switzerland's confidence is super high after drawing with the all-time best European team, Germany, who had previously outscored opponents 7-1. Their red-hot streak continues, having only lost once since their round of 16 defeat to Portugal in the 2022 FIFA World Cup. They convincingly defeated most of their opponents, like Estonia (4-0) and Hungary (3-1) in their opening group stage game. 

Over the last five matches, the Swiss have scored 10 goals, which makes an average of 2 per game. Granit Xhaka will be a focal point of this, as his 2 goals with 2 assists in qualifiers will need to go hand in hand with his leadership strength.

The Italians come into this match after a dramatic finish, where Mattia Zaccagni struck a goal in the last minute to tie them with Croatia and qualify with enough points. Although they did have a tough 1-0 loss to Spain; the Italy team has been on quite a run of themselves, having won or drawn in eight of their past nine matches. This includes a victory over the strong contender Ecuador and drawing with the biggest sleepers in Ukraine. 

The Italy team has scored 12 goals in the past seven matches, making their average 1.72 goals per match over that time. In this game, David Frattesi, with 5 goals in 18 caps, will be crucial in supporting Nicolo Barella (10 goals) and other midfielders, as he both creates space for them and attracts defensive attention.

Switzerland Preview

Heading into a crucial game for a potential top-four finish, Switzerland is highly motivated after a thrilling 1-1 draw against host nation Germany. The exuberant Ricardo Rodriguez, with his 118 international caps, should continue showcasing his abilities alongside the ever-reliable Fabian Schar, a Newcastle United starter with 83 games for Switzerland. This defensive duo has the potential to dominate against any frontline. 

With Yann Sommer in net, boasting 19 clean sheets for Inter Milan this season and allowing a mere 0.65 goals per game, creating a scoring opportunity will be a significant challenge. The experienced Manuel Akanji further solidifies the defense. Switzerland can move the ball forward with ease thanks to a solid defense protecting striker Breel Embolo. Embolo, with 14 goals in 67 international matches and a stellar season at Monaco (12 goals and 2 assists two years ago), can form a formidable attacking partnership with Ruben Vargas, who contributed 3 goals and an assist in qualifying matches. 

Both players are not only skillful but also tactically sound, making them a nightmare for any defense. Remo Freuler adds another layer of difficulty for opponents with his improved vision, having assisted on 2 goals in just 3 matches. With Granit Xhaka expected to lead the team, especially after helping his club Bayern Leverkusen secure a surprise Bundesliga title, and youngsters like Dan N'Yeoffo continuing their high-powered attacking style, Switzerland has a genuine chance to win it all. 

Switzerland Projected Lineup - Yann Sommer(Goalkeeper), Ricardo Rodriguez, Fabian Schar, Manuel Akanji(Defenders), Remo Freuler, Michel Aebischer, Granit Xhaha, Silvan Widmer, Ruben Vargas, Dan Ndoye(Midfielders), Breel Embolo(Forward)

Injuries - Denis Zakaria(Thigh), Steven Zuber(Calf)

Italy Preview

After a dramatic last-minute goal against Croatia secured a crucial 1-1 draw, the Italians enter this match determined to silence their critics who questioned their performance in the group stage. Aiming to dominate from the outset, Italy will continue to rely on the brilliance of their goalkeeper and captain, Gianluigi Donnarumma. With an impressive 11 clean sheets for PSG this year, conceding only 19 goals in 25 matches, Donnarumma is a vital wall between the Italians and their opponents.

Shoring up the defense in front of Donnarumma are two formidable defenders: Alessandro Bastoni, with 26 caps for Italy, and Matteo Darmian, a veteran of 45 international games. This duo played a crucial role in Italy's 2021 European Cup victory, shutting down the likes of Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka. Their defensive prowess has remained consistent over the past four years, providing a solid foundation for the midfield.

In the midfield, Nicolo Barella continues his dominance, having contributed a goal and three assists in Italy's last ten games. He is joined by David Frattesi, who emerged as a key player during the qualifiers, scoring three goals in just five appearances. Giovanni Di Lorenzo, a threat with both scoring (one goal) and creating (six assists for Napoli), will look to build a strong attacking partnership with Mateo Retegui, the favored striker with two goals in three European Qualifier games. If Italy can maintain a competent attack that utilizes Giacomo Raspadori's shot creation skills, their well-established defense will ensure they remain a formidable opponent.

Italy Projected Lineup - Gianluigi Donnarumma(Goalkeeper), Alessandro Bastoni, Alessandro Buongiorno, Matteo Darmian(Defenders), Federico Dimarco, David Frattesi, Nicolo Barella, Jorginho, Giovanni Di Lorenzo(Midfielders), Giacomo Raspadori, Mateo Retegui(Forwards)

Injuries - Riccardo Calafiori(Suspension) 

While the Swiss team appears primed to win and has been one of the tournament's sharpest squads, Italy's historical dominance over them is a clear concern. In their 60 meetings, Italy has emerged victorious on 7 occasions. Italy returns many key players from their previous tournament success, including Gianluigi Donnarumma, Alessandro Bastoni, and David Frattesi.

For Switzerland to overcome Italy's tough defense, led by the formidable Bastoni and Donnarumma, they will need electrifying attackers with exceptional speed. These attackers must consistently outrun the Italian defense by at least two to three steps. 

Additionally, Switzerland's lack of strong defensive midfielders could be exploited by Italy's creative midfielders like Nicolo Barella and Giovanni Di Lorenzo, who excel at ball control and nurturing new attacking talent. While Yann Sommer provides a reliable presence in goal for Switzerland, the backline's vulnerability to elite dribblers could lead to frequent Italian breakaways and ultimately, goals.

Italy to Win (1-2)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy