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CLAIM NOWIpswich Faces Tough Test Against Tottenham
Tottenham Hotspur to win (3-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, North London
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Spurs are ever so deadly in attack. It’s synonymous to a Ferrari racing down the street. Under Ange Postecoglou, Spurs have scored 53 goals in 24 home games. Before him the only manager to hit 50 in 24 or fewer games was Antonio Conte (50 in 20 games). 65 million signing Dominic Solanke is looking like a bargain after he scored 2 goals against a prolific Aston Villa side. Last term this time, Spurs were top of the table.
Although they have been unable to emulate that feature, they are showing progress this season. By full time they had equalled the Premier League record for home wins when conceding first in a single year - with this the eight occasion. The scenario is very different in Europe. Spurs have spent 69.3% of their Europa League matches in the lead this season - only Lazio have led for a higher percentage of time (80%).
Unfortunately, despite being close to securing qualification in the Conference League, they suffered a 3-2 loss to Galatasaray. The Lilywhites will want to find some consistency now with captain Son returning to the squad.
Ipswich remain winless in 10 Premier League games - in their league history only 2009-10 (first 14) and 2018-19 (first 11) have they had a longer winless run from the start of a campaign. The Tractor Boys cannot make it a habit to drop points. So far, they’ve dropped 12 points from winning positions this season - the most of any team in the league this season.
They conceded in the last minute to Leicester, courtesy to Ayew’s 94th minute strike. Ipswich couldn’t hold on despite playing with 10 men for the last quarter of the game. Before the Leicester game, Ipswich had been ahead for the shortest amount of time in the Premier League (47 minutes, 9 seconds), and trailing for the longest amount of time so far (439 minutes, 26 seconds). McKenna has a task ahead of him, if he is to keep his side up in the most coveted league.
Head-to-Head Record : In 51 games played, Spurs have won 23 and Ipswich have had 20 shares of victory. 8 games have ended in a draw.
Current Standings : Spurs are 7th with 16 points. Ipswich are in 18th with 5 points.
Spurs have won just three of their 10 Premier League games against Ipswich (D3, L4). Excluding ever-present sides, it’s their lowest win rate against any opponent they’ve faced 10+ times in the competition. Spurs have won 32 of their last 36 Premier League home games against promoted sides (D2, L2), and haven’t failed to score in any of their last 42 such games since a 1-0 loss to Wolves in December 2009.
The Lilywhites have conceded the first goal in each of their last four Premier League home games, but have come back to win the last three. No team has ever conceded first but gone on to win four consecutive home games in the competition before. Spurs have also lost their last two Premier League games in the weekend (Saturday/Sunday) immediately following a European match, going down 3-2 at Brighton and 1-0 at Crystal Palace.
Only twice have they lost three consecutive such matches, doing so from December 2012 to March 2013 and from September to October 2019. None of Tottenham’s last 26 Premier League home games have finished in a draw (W18, L8). The last team to have a longer such run in the top-flight were Liverpool (28 between April 1963 and August 1964).
Striker Dominic Solanke has applied more pressure in the final third than any other player in the Premier League this season (212).
Injury list - Djed Spence, Son, Ogobert, Van de Ven, Romero, Richarlison.
Spurs Probable Starting Lineup - Gomes (GK), Mehta, Choudhari, Uvais, Cirkovic (DEF), Das, Khan, Hernandez, Tachikawa, Sanan (MID), Murray (FWD).
The Tractor Boys have won their last three Premier League games against Spurs, completing the double over them the last time they met in 2001-02. They’ve never won four consecutive league games against them. Ipswich have lost their last five Premier League away games against London sides, conceding at least two goals each time (16 in tota).
However, 33% of their Premier League wins in London have come against Spurs (2/6), including their last such victory in December 2001. McKenna’s boys remain winless in their 10 Premier League games this season (L5, D5), their longest run without a win from the start of a top-flight campaign.
They’ve lost their last 2 away games 4-1 against West Ham and 4-3 against Brentford, last conceding 4+ goals in three consecutive away league games.
Leif Davis has created more chances than any other defender in the Premier League so far this season (25). Meanwhile, Spurs’ Pedro Porro has had more shots than any other defender this term (19).
Injury list - Massimo Luogno, Axel Tuanzebe, Chiedozie Ogbene.
Ipswich Probable Starting Lineup - Mitra (GK), Renthlei, Edwards, Laldinpuia, Desai (DEF), Shields, Yadwad, Hnamte, Brambilla, Choudhary (MID), Gil (FWD).
Tottenham managed to secure victory in only three out of their ten Premier League encounters with Ipswich, resulting in three draws and four losses. Aside from the usual contenders, this marks their least successful win rate against any team they’ve encountered more than ten times in the tournament.
Ipswich secured victories in their last three Premier League encounters, achieving a double over Spurs during their last matchup in the 2001-02 season. But with the likes of Kulusevski, Son and Solanke, Ipswich will be under mounting pressure. Kieran McKenna will just have to wait another game for victory.
Tottenham Hotspur to win (3-1)
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