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Tottenham Hotspur FC vs West Ham United FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, North London

The North London Derby: Who Will Reign Supreme?

  • Tottenham won five of their last six meetings against West Ham
  • Tottenham have been prolific at home, scoring at least twice in 80% of their last 15 league matches.
  • On average, Tottenham Hotspur score 1.92 goals per game at home, while West Ham United score 1.21 goals per away game.

Tottenham Hotspur to Win (4-1)

Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, North London

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Following a brief international break, the Premier League 2024/25 season resumes on Saturday, October 19th, with hosts Tottenham Hotspur facing West Ham United at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. 

Spurs went into the break after losing to Brighton (2-3). Madison and Brennan Johnson were the goal scorers for the Spurs. West Ham, on the other side, won their final match before the break, defeating Ipswich Town 4-1, thereby ending their four-match winless record. 

Current Standings: Tottenham are currently placed 9th in the league standings with 3 wins and 3 losses in seven games, whereas the Hammers occupy the 12th position with 2 wins and 2 defeats in seven games. 

Head-to-Head Record: With a 26-18 win-loss record in 56 matches, the Spurs have the advantage in this rivalry.

Tottenham Hotspur FC Preview

The game against Brighton reflected how the Spurs fared last season, when they were unable to handle the demands of both the European League and the Premier League. Spurs, coming off an away game against Ferencvaros, lacked intensity against Brighton, wasting a 2-0 lead in the second half and eventually losing 2-3. Interestingly, coach Ange Postecoglou termed the loss as probably the worst defeat since he took charge of the club.

Tactics 

Despite his side's defeat against Brighton, Postecoglou knows better than anyone else that the loss was due to a lack of intensity from his players, particularly in the second half, rather than failed tactics. So expect Postecoglou to line up his team to push West Ham as high as possible on the pitch, putting pressure on them to commit mistakes. Furthermore, they will attempt to take advantage of the Hammers' weakness of allowing goals early in games. 

Team News

Spurs will be missing Richarlison, Wilson Odobert, and Son Heung-min for this encounter due to injuries. Regarding the XI, no changes are expected for the game, and Timo Werner, who made an assist in the last match, is expected to start in place of Son. 

Stats That Matter

Tottenham Hotspurs are ranked 2nd in ball possession with 62.9% averaging 17.6 shots per game. The Spurs score an average of 2 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 39%. Brennan Johnson is the top scorer with 3 goals. James Maddison and Dominic Solanke have also scored 2 goals each this season. The team has an average of 2.1 saves per game, the worst in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.14 goals per match.

Tottenham Hotspur Probable Starting Lineup - Vicario (Goalkeeper): Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Udogie (Defenders); Maddison, Kulisevski, Bentancur (Midfielders); Solanke, Werner, Johnson (Forwards)

West Ham United FC Preview

The win over Ipswich Town would have come as a relief to newly recruited manager Julen Lopetegui, especially given that it was their first home win of the season. Yet, one can't overly criticise Lopetegui for the defeats as it came against teams like Manchester City, Aston Villa and Chelsea. Nonetheless, he will need to solve some concerns if the Hammers are to pick some points against Tottenham on Saturday. 

The issues

Conceding early goals, especially in the first 10 minutes of the game has been the biggest issue for the Hammers this season. In five out seven games this far, they have conceded a goal that early. It was no different in the Ipswich game as they conceded in the sixth minute of the game.

Tactics and changes

To overcome Tottenham, the Hammers must frustrate and play some boring football. They need to hold onto possession whenever possible and build patiently, as they did against Ipswich Town. More crucially, the Hammers can take advantage of the Spurs' vulnerability in defending set pieces. Spurs have conceded three goals from set pieces this season, with an xGA of 2.86, ranking among the worst. As far as changes are concerned, expect none. 

Stats That Matter

West Ham are ranked 15th in ball possession with 45.4% averaging 15.7 shots per game. The Hammers score an average of 1.43 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 31%. Tomas Soucek, Jarrod Bowen and Lucas Paqueta are the top scorers with 2 goals each this season. The team has an average of 2.6 saves per game, the fifth worst in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.57 goals per match.

West Ham Probable Starting Lineup - A.  Areola (GK); A. Wan-Bissaka, M. Kilman, Todilbo, Emerson (Defenders); Kudus, G. Rodriguez, J. Bowen, T. Soucek, Paqueta (Mid-fielders); M. Antonio (Forward)

Tottenham are overwhelming favourites for the meeting on Saturday. Spurs have won 17 of their last 20 games against West Ham. Furthermore, West Ham's away form has been poor recently, with the Hammers winning only one of their past eight Premier League away games. Though the Hammers can take confidence from the fact that they won the previous game played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last season.

However, when it comes to odds from the major betting sites, Tottenham is tipped to win over the Hammers, with odds of 1.50 to 5.75 and odds of a draw of 5. In the meantime, an xG of 3.5 is predicted for the match. 

Tottenham Hotspur to Win (4-1)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy