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West Ham United FC vs Manchester City FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

London Stadium, Stratford

City's Dominance to Continue: Hammers Face Uphill Battle

  • Manchester City has scored at least two goals in their last six away league matches.
  • In six of West Ham's last seven league matches, there have been at least three goals.
  • The average goals per game in the last five head to head matches is three goals.

Manchester City FC to win (4-0)

Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: London Stadium, Stratford

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After defeating Ipswich Town 4-1 at home, the defending Champions are back on the road, facing West Ham United at the London Stadium. Manchester City will probably also remember last season's Premier League final, when they defeated the Hammers 3-1 to win the trophy for the fourth time in a row.

 West Ham will also remember that day fondly, as the club bid farewell to David Moyes, one of its most successful managers. Regardless, Julen Lopetegui has led West Ham into a new era.  Julen's season got off to a bad start when his team lost 1-2 against Aston Villa in the opener.They did, however, respond strongly, defeating Crystal Palace 2-0. 

Head to Head Record - In the 46 head-to-head matches played between West Ham and Manchester City in the Premier League, West Ham won 9 matches (7 at home, 2 away), Manchester City won 29 matches (19 at home, 10 away), and 8 matches ended in draws.

Current Standings - With a win and a loss in two games, West Ham are now placed tenth in the points standings. While Manchester City are placed at the top of the table with two wins in two games. 

West Ham United FC Preview

The Hammers have secured their first win of the season, and more significantly, a clean sheet. For a team that prioritizes defense, this shutout will be instrumental in building their identity. However, the victory wasn't entirely convincing, as Crystal Palace missed a few opportunities to take the lead. While poor finishing was a factor, it’s unlikely to persist when the Hammers face City on Saturday.

West Ham fans might want to avert their eyes from the following statistics. The Hammers have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 Premier League home games, with the longest period without a clean sheet dating back to April-December 2009. 

Additionally, City has scored more away goals against West Ham than any other Premier League team (42). To make matters worse, the Hammers' xGA (expected goals against) of 4.05 after two rounds is the fifth worst in the league.

Defensive Dominance Meets Offensive Ineptitude

Despite generating an xG of 4.34, the Hammers have only scored two goals. This discrepancy is highlighted by their low number of shots on target (6 out of 32 attempts). Only Everton, Southampton, and Ipswich Town have had fewer attempts on target.

When the Hammers face City, they’ll demand more from their defense, and there’s no better leader than Max Kilman. Kilman dominated his duels against Palace, winning 89% of them. Offensively, all eyes will be on Bowen and Antonio. While Antonio has contributed five goals and assists against City, he has yet to score one.

West Ham Starting Lineup - Areola (Goalkeeper); Wan-Bissaka, Todibo, Kilman, Emerson (Defenders); Rodriguez, Bowen, Paqueta, Soucek, Kudus (Midfielders) ; Antonio (Forward) 

Manchester City FC Preview

The Champions have started their title defense with two victories, the latest against Ipswich. Employing a traditional pressing approach, they overwhelmed the Tractor Boys, forcing numerous errors. While a similar strategy is expected against West Ham, City will be cautious, having observed Bissaka and Bowen's counter-attacking prowess against Palace.

Pep Guardiola's City has hit the ground running. They've scored six goals in two matches, with Haaland netting four, including a hat-trick against Ipswich. West Ham faces an added challenge as Haaland excels in August, having scored 16 goals in ten games. Additionally, Kevin De Bruyne's goal-scoring and assist contributions suggest a strong season ahead.

Savinho's Promising Debut and City's Tactical Flexibility

New signing Savinho has made a significant impact. His electric performance on the right flank against Ipswich, where he evaded full-backs with his dribbling and determination, was impressive. Notably, he started on the left against Chelsea. However, in City's 3-2-4-1 system against West Ham, Savinho is likely to feature on the flanks.

Manchester City Starting Lineup -  Ederson (Goalkeeper) ; Akanji, Dias, Gvardiol, Lewis (Defeders); Kovacic, Silva, De Bruyne (Midfielders); Doku, Haaland, Savinho (Forwards) 

It's becoming increasingly clear that opponents are treating City as a force of nature, content to simply avoid a humiliating defeat. The champions' 21-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League this year is a testament to their dominance. Saturday's match against West Ham is going to be no exception. We are predicting a comfortable City win, and anything less than a comprehensive victory would be a significant upset.

Manchester City FC to win (4-0)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy