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Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings, National Basketball League (AUS), Today Match Prediction

Adelaide Entertainment Centre

Kings and 36ers battle out for the title

  • Adelaide 36ers has a 54.2% win rate against Sydney Kings.
  • Adelaide 36ers average 91.6 points at home while playing against the Sydney Kings.
  • In the last five matches, Sydney Kings has lost one and won four matches.

Tournament: National Basketball League (AUS) | Venue: Adelaide Entertainment Centre | Tip Off: 14:00:00

Live Streaming: NBL League Pass

Sydney Kings to win and cover the spread (-4.5)

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Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 2.70 1.46

Teams Preview

Adelaide 36ers

Adelaide 36ers fell 106-93 to Sydney Kings in Game 3 of the NBL Finals, and while the scoreline suggests competitiveness, the game slipped away late. Adelaide were in contention for three quarters but collapsed in the fourth, where Sydney exploded offensively to seal the game.

John Jenkins led the scoring with 22 points and Zylan Cheatham added 17 points and 10 rebounds. However, star guard Bryce Cotton was limited to just 15 points on 5/15 shooting, well below his usual output.

Offensively, Adelaide shot 53% from the field, including 46.7% from the perimeter, but struggled with efficiency and shot creation under pressure. Ball movement also dropped, grabbing 25 assists, compared to Sydney’s 32. Defensively, they got outrebounded 37-41, giving away second chance opportunities and committed 11 crucial turnovers and 24 fouls down the stretch.

Adelaide showed fight early, but poor fourth-quarter defense, limited offensive efficiency, and inability to control key matchups led to their downfall. Overall, the team averages 99.3 points per game, while dishing out 17.3 assists. Defensively, they record 39.3 rebounds and allow opponents to just 87.3 points per game. 

Sydney Kings

Sydney Kings delivered a statement performance in their 106-93 win over Adelaide 36ers, showcasing elite execution and control in a high-pressure finals setting. The game remained tight for three quarters, but Sydney took over in the fourth, exploding for a 33-point final period to turn a narrow lead into a decisive victory.

The standout was Kendric Davis, who produced a near perfect floor game with 34 points and 15 assists without a turnover, driving both scoring and playmaking efficiency. Players like Xavier Cooks added 18 points, Jaylin Galloway (17) and Tim Soares (12), providing balanced scoring support.

Offensively, Sydney shot a balanced 49.4% from the field, 43.8% from the perimeter and 60.9% from the free throw line, highlighted by their impressive ball movement (32 assists). Defensively, they controlled the boards 41-37, disrupted Adelaide’s primary scorers and forced them to commit 11 turnovers and 24 fouls.

It was a complete performance with balanced offense, disciplined defense, and clutch execution, firmly establishing Sydney as the dominant side in the series. Overall, the team averages 90.8 points per game, while dishing out 17.3 assists. Defensively, they record 38.3 rebounds, but allow opponents to score 94.5 points per game. 

Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Bryce Cotton
SG John Jenkins
SF Blake Jones
PF Zylan Cheatham
C Isaac Humphries
Position Player Name
PG Kendric Davis
SG Jaylin Galloway
SF Torrey Craig
PF Xavier Cooks
C Tim Soares

Sydney Kings lead 2-1 and can clinch the title on April 1 after their dominant Game 3 win. 

They hold the edge in defense, ball movement, and clutch execution. Adelaide 36ers, however, return home with momentum potential and must rely on strong shot-making and better control to force a decisive Game 5.

Head-to-Head Matches

In the NBL 2025-2026 Championship Series, Adelaide 36ers has won one match, while the Sydney Kings have won two matches and is now one game away from its sixth ring. 

Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Bryce Cotton 25.9 3.5 7.6 1.8/0.2
Kendric Davis 28.2 3 7.8 1.2/0

Sydney Kings have the edge with momentum, depth, and superior late-game execution. Adelaide 36ers will be competitive at home, but Sydney’s defensive pressure and composure should prevail. We are backing the Sydney Kings to win this matchup and cinch the series. 

Sydney Kings to win and cover the spread (-4.5)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy