Canada vs New Zealand, FIBA Women's Olympic Pre-Qualifying Tournament, 2026, Today Match Prediction

Canada vs New Zealand Basteball Odds

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Canada

Canada Women closed the group phase of the FIBA Women’s Olympic Pre-Qualifying Tournament with a hard fought 70-64 victory over hosts Mexico, finishing Group B unbeaten at 3-0.

Jasmine Bascoe and Syla Swords led Canada with 17 points each, while Yvonne Ejim added 7 points and dominated the glass through 11 rebounds. 

The Canadians shot 40% from the field, including 31% from the three point range, 48.4% from the two point range and 68.4% from the free throw line, while dishing out 17 assists. Defensively, they dominated the boards 45-32, limiting second chance opportunities and limited Mexico to just 38% shooting overall.

Canada’s ability to maintain its lead through a competitive second half proved decisive. The victory secured first place in Group B and set up a semifinal against New Zealand, keeping Canada on course in the Olympic qualification pathway.

Overall, the team averages 75.7 points per game, while dishing out 21.3 assists. Defensively, they record 50.7 rebounds, 8.7 steals and 2.7 blocks per game.

New Zealand

New Zealand Women produced a superb comeback to defeat South Sudan 82-74 in the FIBA Women’s Olympic Pre-Qualifying Tournament, securing second place in Group A and a semifinal berth.

Emilia Shearer was outstanding, exploding for 32 points, including 17 in the fourth quarter. She shot 7-of-14 from the field and a perfect 16-of-16 from the free-throw line, while also adding 4 rebounds and a steal.

Offensively, New Zealand shot 38% from the field, including 40% from the field, 34.5% from the perimeter and 80% from the free throw line, supported by their efficient ball movement (25 assists). Defensively, they edged South Sudan 49-46 on the boards, made key defensive stops and forced 10 crucial turnovers. 

The victory capped a strong group campaign for New Zealand, who finished 2-1 and advanced to the semifinals. Overall, the team averages 64 points per game, while dishing out 18.7 assists. Defensively, they record 47.3 rebounds, 5 steals and 0.7 blocks. 

Canada vs New Zealand Starting Lineups

Canada vs New Zealand Match Prediction & Analysis

Canada Women enter the semifinal unbeaten at 3-0 after edging Mexico 70-64, while New Zealand rallied past South Sudan 82-74. Emilia Shearer’s 32 point explosion makes her New Zealand’s biggest threat, but Canada’s depth, defensive discipline and tournament consistency give them the advantage. Expect a competitive contest, with Canada’s physicality likely proving decisive late in the game.

Canada vs New Zealand Player Stats

CANADA vs NEW ZEALAND
Winning Prediction

Canada gets the edge after finishing the group stage 3-0 and averaging 75.7 points, 50.7 rebounds and 21.3 assists per game. New Zealand’s 36.5% three point shooting and Emilia Shearer’s scoring threat make them dangerous, but Canada’s superior rebounding and overall depth should decide the semifinal. We are backing Canada Women to win this matchup.

Canada Women to win.

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