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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury, WNBA 2026, Today Match Prediction

Target Center Minneapolis

Can Minnesota Lynx outclass Phoenix Mercury?

  • The Minnesota Lynx have a 66.3% win rate against the Phoenix Mercury.
  • The Minnesota Lynx averages 87.1 points at home while playing against the Phoenix Mercury.
  • In the last five matches, Phoenix Mercury has won two and lost three matches.

Tournament: WNBA 2026 | Venue: Target Center Minneapolis | Tip Off: 06:30:00

Live Streaming: Courtside 1891

Minnesota Lynx to win and cover the spread (-11.5).

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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 1.13 5.60

Teams Preview

Minnesota Lynx

The Minnesota Lynx strengthened their position in the WNBA standings with a hard fought 90-85 victory over the New York Liberty in a clash between two championship contenders.

Kayla McBride led the scoring with 25 points, while Olivia Miles added 23 points and Natasha Howard added 16 points. Courtney Monae Williams added 12 points and 12 rebounds, a double double.

Offensively, Minnesota shot 42% from the field, including an efficient 50% from the three point line. Defensively, they controlled the boards 40-34, made key defensive stops through 9 steals and forced the visitors to commit 14 turnovers. 

Beating one of the league’s elite teams underlined Minnesota’s championship credentials, extending its impressive run of form and reinforcing why the Lynx remain one of the WNBA’s most complete and dangerous teams this season. 

Overall, the team averages 79.3 points per game, while dishing out 18.3 assists. Defensively, they record 34.7 rebounds and allow opponents to just 70.3 points per game. 

Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix Mercury endured one of their toughest outings of the season, falling 106-58 to the Las Vegas Aces in a game where they struggled on both ends of the floor.

Monique Akoa Makani led the scoring for Phoenix with 13 points, while Lexi Held added 11 points, the only players from the team who managed to score in double figures. 

Offensively, Phoenix just shot 34.8% from the field, including an inefficient 22.6% from the perimeter and 62.5% from the free throw line. Defensively, they got outrebounded 47-29 on the boards, giving away multiple second chance opportunities. Their turnovers (17) and foul (16) issues also proved costly down the stretch. 

The 48 point defeat exposed the Mercury’s inconsistency against elite opposition and highlighted the need for better ball security, improved perimeter defense and more balanced offensive production as they continue their push for a playoff spot. 

Overall, the team averages 97 points per game, while dishing out 23 assists. Defensively, they record 38 rebounds and allow opponents to just 82 points per game. 

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Kayla McBride
SG Olivia Miles
SF Antonia Delaere
PF Natasha Howard
C Nia Coffey
Position Player Name
PG Lexi Held
SG Monique Akoa Makani
SF Noemie Brochant
PF Alyssa Thomas
C Valeriane Ayayi

Minnesota Lynx host the Phoenix Mercury on July 14 with momentum after defeating the New York Liberty. The Lynx will rely on momentum, elite defense and balanced scoring, while Phoenix looks to rebound from a heavy loss to Las Vegas. Controlling turnovers and the boards will likely determine the outcome of this crucial WNBA matchup.

Minnesota Lynx is currently 2nd in the Women’s National Basketball Association, with a 17-6 record, while the Phoenix Mercury is 12th in the standings with a 8-16 record.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, Minnesota Lynx has won two matches, while the Phoenix Mercury has won three matches. However, the Lynx is currently riding a two game winning streak against the Mercury. 

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Kayla McBride 16.2 3.8 2.5 1.6/0.2
Monique Akoa Makani 10.2 2.0 2.5 1.2/0.2

Minnesota enters as the clear favorite thanks to its elite defense, balanced offense and their two game winning momentum. We are backing the Minnesota Lynx to win this matchup. 

Minnesota Lynx to win and cover the spread (-11.5).

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Author: Vishnu Reddy