Philippines vs Iran, Fiba Basketball World Cup, 2027 Asian Qualifiers, Today Match Prediction

Philippines vs Iran Basteball Odds

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Philippines

The Philippines come into this home game full of confidence after a dramatic 82-81 overtime win over Jordan in their last match. In that game, Gilas Pilipinas came back from an 18-point deficit, led by a strong performance from Kai Sotto, who finished with 18 points, 14 rebounds, and 2 assists. Kevin Quiambao added 9.9 points per game and made important late shots, while Dwight Ramos and CJ Perez also made key plays from outside.

So far in the tournament, the Philippines averages 78.1 points per game on 39.9% shooting and records 20.1 assists per contest. Their biggest strength is rebounding, as they collect 44.7 boards per game compared with Iran's 38.4. 

However, they need to improve their defence after allowing 79.7 points per game and also reduce their 13 turnovers. With the home crowd behind them at Mall of Asia Arena, Gilas Pilipinas will look to play at a fast pace and use their strength on the boards to claim another important win.

Iran

Iran will travel to Manila, hoping to return to winning ways after a close 93-91 overtime loss to New Zealand in their last game. In that match, Iran made a strong comeback but could not finish the job in extra time. Matin Aghajanpour led the team with 19 points, while Mohammad Amini scored 16 and Seyed Mahdi Jafari added 14.

With a 5-2 record in Group E, Iran has been strong on defence, allowing just 67.7 points per game. They average 77.6 points per game on 40.9% shooting and record 19.9 assists. Matin Aghajanpour leads the scoring with 12.9 points per game, followed by Petr Girgoorian at 9.9, while Seyed Mahdi Jafari and veteran Arsalan Kazemi also play important roles. 

Another strength is ball control, as Iran averages only 10.3 turnovers per game. To win on the road, Iran must box out the Philippines' tall players, control the defensive boards, and move the ball well in the half court.

Philippines vs Iran Starting Lineups

Philippines vs Iran Match Prediction & Analysis

The Philippines and Iran prepare to clash in a critical FIBA World Cup 2027 Asian Qualifiers Round 2 match at the Mall of Asia Arena. The Philippines are 5th in Group E with a 3-4 record and come into this match after an 82-81 overtime win over Jordan. 

Led by Kai Sotto, who had 18 points and 14 rebounds in their last game, along with Dwight Ramos and Kevin Quiambao, the Philippines will look to lean on their strong rebounding. They average 44.7 rebounds per game, so controlling the paint and improving their 39.9% shooting will be important.

Iran is looking to bounce back after a close 93-91 overtime loss to New Zealand. As a result, they remain 3rd in the group with a 5-2 record. Their biggest strength is their defence, allowing only 67.7 points per game, while they also average just 10.3 turnovers. 

Matin Aghajanpour, Petr Girgoorian, and Arsalan Kazemi will lead the team as Iran looks to slow the game down and play more in the half court. However, the Philippines has a major advantage on the boards and strong home support, which could help them secure the win.

Iran sit 3rd in Group E standings with a 5-2 record (0.714 PCT, +69 DIFF). Philippines sit 5th in Group E with a 3-4 record (0.429 PCT, -11 DIFF).

Head-to-head encounters between these two nations have been evenly matched, with Iran holding a slight 6-4 advantage over the Philippines across their last 10 meetings. In their most recent official meeting at the Asian Games on October 3, 2023, the Philippines secured a narrow 84-83 victory over Iran. Over their last 10 head-to-head games, Iran averages 78 points per game, compared to the Philippines' 76.

Philippines vs Iran Player Stats

PHILIPPINES vs IRAN
Winning Prediction

Iran brings better defensive numbers (67.7 PPG allowed), higher group standings (5-2), and cleaner ball security (10.3 turnovers per game). However, the Philippines holds a massive rebounding advantage (44.7 RPG) and powerful home momentum following their overtime win against Jordan. If Gilas Pilipinas win the rebounding battle and attacks the paint early, they have the edge to pull off the win.

Philippines to win

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