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Will Zhejiang Guangsha Lions topple Shenzhen Leopards?
Tournament: CBA 2025-26 | Venue: Zhuji Jiyang Sports Center Gymnasium | Tip Off: 17:05:00
Live Streaming: Courtside 1891
Zhejiang Guangsha Lions to win and cover the spread (-8.5).
| Bookmaker | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 3.40 |
Zhejiang Guangsha Lions head into semifinal Game 1 against Shenzhen Leopards with strong momentum after finishing near the top of the CBA standings with a 33-9 record. Guangsha has been one of the league’s best defensive teams, allowing just 82.4 points per game.
In their recent quarter-final matchup, Zhejiang Guangsha Lions delivered a defensive masterclass in their 91-67 win over Shanxi Loongs, controlling the game from start to finish. Barry Brown Jr led the scoring with 32 points, while Hu Jinqiu added 15 points and 7 rebounds. JaKarr Sampson and Rayjon Tucker added 13 points each.
Offensively, Guangsha shot an efficient 46.2% from the field while holding Shanxi to just 38.7%, a gap that defined the contest. Guangsha also moved the ball sharply with 20 assists. Defensively, they got outrebounded 35-34 on the boards, but recorded 11 steals, causing key momentum swings and forcing Shanxi to commit 16 crucial turnovers.
Game 1 will likely come down to pace and rebounding. Guangsha thrives in half-court execution and physical interior play. Guangsha’s home form and defensive consistency give them a slight edge entering the series opener.
Overall, the team averages 91.7 points per game, while dishing out 19.9 assists. Defensively, they record 40.4 rebounds and allow opponents to just 82.4 points per game.
Shenzhen Leopards enter semifinal Game 1 against Zhejiang Guangsha Lions in strong form after winning nine of their last ten games and finishing the regular season with a 30-12 record. Their biggest statement came in April when they dominated Guangsha 109-94, showing how dangerous they can be when their transition offense clicks.
Shenzhen Leopards completed a commanding quarterfinal sweep over Zhejiang Golden Bulls, sealing the series with a gritty 95-91 victory after already taking the opener. He Xining led the scoring with 23 points, while Terquavion Smith added 14 points, 13 assists and 12 rebounds, a triple-double.
Offensively, Shenzhen shot efficiently, hitting 53.1% from the field, including 38.1% from the perimeter and 63.3% from the free throw line, supported by their strong ball movement (24 assists). Defensively, they controlled the boards 39-34, limiting second chance opportunities and recorded 11 steals, causing multiple momentum swings.
Against Guangsha, Shenzhen’s key will be maintaining pace and limiting Hu Jinqiu inside. If they can replicate the defensive pressure and ball movement from their earlier win, the Leopards have a real chance to steal Game 1 away from home.
Overall, the team averages 99.3 points per game, while dishing out 22.1 assists. Defensively, they record 38.7 rebounds and allow opponents to just 94.2 points per game.
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Barry Brown Jr |
| SG | Rayjon Tucker |
| SF | JaKarr Sampson |
| PF | Hu Jinqiu |
| C | Josh Carlton |
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Terquavion Smith |
| SG | Josh Christopher |
| SF | He Xining |
| PF | Wang Haoran |
| C | Li Muhao |
Zhejiang Guangsha Lions enter semifinal Game 1 with the advantage of home court and one of the league’s strongest defenses. Guangsha thrives in half court basketball, using interior scoring and rebounding to control games, especially through Hu Jinqiu. Shenzhen Leopards, however, are dangerous in transition and already proved they can beat Guangsha after a 109-94 win in April. The matchup will likely depend on tempo where Guangsha wants a slower, physical game, while Shenzhen prefers fast breaks and perimeter scoring. Guangsha’s 20-1 home record gives them a slight edge, but Shenzhen’s recent form and offensive firepower make this a competitive opener.
In the last five head-to-head matchups, Shenzhen Leopards has won two matches, while the Zhejiang Guangsha Lions has won three matches. However, the Shenzhen Leopards are currently riding a one game winning streak against the Guangsha Lions.
| Player Name | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals/Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Brown Jr | 21.6 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 1.9/0.1 |
| Terquavion Smith | 24.4 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 1.4/0.4 |
Zhejiang Guangsha Lions should have the edge in Game 1 because of their elite home form, defensive consistency, and ability to control the pace in half court situations. Shenzhen Leopards have the offensive firepower to keep it close, especially if they speed the game up, but Guangsha’s rebounding and interior presence give them the stronger playoff setup. We are backing the Zhejiang Guangsha Lions to win this matchup.
Zhejiang Guangsha Lions to win and cover the spread (-8.5).
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