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Canterbury Kings vs Wellington Firebirds, FT 2025-26, Today Match Prediction
CANT vs WELL Win Probability
Toss Winner - Canterbury Kings won the toss and choose to bowl first
Canterbury Kings beat Wellington Firebirds by 8 wickets
Will the Kings continue their winning run?
- Tom Latham has scored two consecutive hundreds in his last two innings
- Teams batting first have won one of the two games played at this venue this season
- Jesse Tashkoff has picked up 6 wickets in the last two innings for Wellington
Canterbury Kings to win
| Tournament: | The Ford Trophy, 2025-26 |
| Format: | odi |
| Venue: | Hagley Oval, Christchurch, New Zealand |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 19.3°C|Partly Cloudy |
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CANT vs WELL Match Prediction & Analysis
The table toppers, Canterbury Kings, have lost just one game this season, and that was against Wellington Firebirds, in their second game of the league stage, at an away venue in Wellington. Henry Nichols and Co. will take on the third-placed Firebirds in the return game at home.
The venue has hosted two games so far this season, and the Kings have won both of them. There is no clear advantage to either batting or bowling first on this ground. In the previous one-day games, the team bowling first won 60% of the matches, while this year, the team batting first won one of the two games.
Canterbury Kings have an in-form batting lineup with key players delivering consistent performances. They chased down 265 against the Central Stags quite comfortably while posting a 384-run total in the very next game in Auckland while batting first.
Wellington Firebirds are coming into this match on the back of two consecutive wins and will back themselves to beat the Kings for the second time this season. Nick Greenwood and Jesse Tashkoff will be the key players in the bowling attack to watch out for.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
CANT
W
W
L
W
L
CANT
162/2 in 30.0 5.4
158/10 in 42.5 3.69
124/10 in 19.3 6.36
384/5 in 50.0 7.68
173/5 in 17.5 9.7
SST20 2025-26
Northern Brave beat Canterbury Kings by 5 wickets171/5 in 20.0 8.55
106/10 in 18.4 5.68
SST20 2025-26
Canterbury Kings beat Auckland Aces by 9 wickets108/1 in 10.3 10.29
136/8 in 16.0 8.5
SST20 2025-26
Wellington Firebirds won by 13 runs (D/L) method178/5 in 20.0 8.9
WELL
W
W
L
W
W
WELL
240/8 in 50.0 4.8
243/5 in 43.5 5.54
213/10 in 45.5 4.65
FT 2025-26
Wellington Firebirds beat Otago Volts by 56 runs
269/9 in 50.0 5.38
289/8 in 36.0 8.03
307/4 in 36.0 8.53
136/8 in 16.0 8.5
SST20 2025-26
Wellington Firebirds won by 13 runs (D/L) method178/5 in 20.0 8.9
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 10 Matches
Show More Show Less
259/8 in 49.0
258/10 in 49.5
129/10 in 40.2
FT
Canterbury Kings beat Wellington Firebirds by 6 wickets
130/4 in 22.3
TEAMS PREVIEW
Canterbury Kings Preview
Canterbury Kings bowled out Northern Knights for 158 runs in their recent outing and chased it down in just 30.2 overs with 8 wickets in hand. Tom Latham led the run-chase with yet another hundred.
LLB Harper and Cole McConchie continued their bowling form, while Fraser Sheat also emerged as an impactful bowler with a highly economical spell. Canterbury Kings have bowled out the opposition for under 200 runs in their last two matches.
In their first home game of the season, they bowled out Otago Volts for 206 runs and chased it down with 6 wickets in hand. McConchie, Harper, and Michael Rae will be the key players to watch out for in this match.
The top order of this lineup features big guns like Henry Nicholls, Chad Bowes, and Tom Latham. Each of these players has scored a hundred in the last three innings.
Matthew Boyle, Mitchell Hay, and Cole McConchie are reliable middle-order batters who would step up in case the top order fails to get the Kings off to a strong start in this match.
Interesting Facts
Tom Latham has scored 103, 104, and 97 in his last three innings
There has been a 50+ runs partnership for the second wicket in each of the last three outings
Canterbury Kings Predicted Playing XI:
Henry Nicholls (c), Rhys Mariu, Tom Latham (wk), Matthew Boyle, Mitchell Hay, Cole McConchie, Leo Carter, LLB Harper, Sean Davey, Fraser Sheat, Michael Rae
Canterbury Kings Actual Playing XI:
Chad Bowes, Matthew Boyle, Mitchell Hay, Tom Latham, Angus McKenzie, Rhys Mariu, Henry Nicholls, Michael Rae, Fraser Sheat, Raunaq Kapur, LLB Harper
Wellington Firebirds Preview
Wellington Firebirds have won two matches in a row on the back of a strong bowling performance. They will pose a tough challenge to the table-toppers on this ground, where the wicket offers an even contest between bat and ball.
Nick Greenwood and Jesse Tashkoff are the in-form players in this bowling attack that features a great variety. The skipper used 8 bowling options in the last game, including wicket-keeper Tom Blundell, who picked up one wicket for 18 runs from his 5 overs.
James Hartshorn and Peter Younghusband were the top performers in their previous encounter against Canterbury. The latter is also handy with the bat in the lower order and is in good bowling rhythm at the moment.
And though Nathan Smith and Liam Dudding haven’t been on top of the game lately, they are also very reliable bowling options in this squad, while Muhammad Abbas is the one to watch out for in the middle order.
Tim Robinson and skipper Nick Kelly are the key players at numbers 4 and 5 who would come before Abbas and build good partnerships to take the Firebirds to a competitive total.
Interesting Stats
Tom Blundell is in fine touch lower down the order with scores of 49, 41, and 51 in his last 3 innings
Wellington’s middle order collapsed, going from 73 for 2 to 104 for 6 in 5 overs, the last time they played Canterbury
Oscar Jackson scored 57 off 27 balls at number 3 in the last game, and will be one to watch out for
Wellington Firebirds Predicted Playing XI:
Jesse Tashkoff, Nick Greenwood, Tim Robinson, Nick Kelly (c), Muhammad Abbas, Tom Blundell (wk), Nathan Smith, Oscar Jackson, Peter Younghusband, James Hartshorn, Liam Dudding
Wellington Firebirds Key Players From Previous Game Of The Ford Trophy, 2025-26
Wellington Firebirds Actual Playing XI:
Muhammad Arslan Abbas, Tom Blundell, Liam Dudding, Nick Greenwood, James Hartshorn, Oscar Jackson, Nick Kelly, Tim Robinson, Nathan Smith, Jesse Tashkoff, Peter Younghusband
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
It will be cloudy in Christchurch with a high of 23 degrees Celsius around the match time. The overcast conditions and considerable humidity in the weather will offer swing bowlers some movement through the air. There don’t seem to be any chances of heavy rain that would play spoilsport, and we expect a complete game.
CANT vs WELL Pitch Report
It is a balanced wicket at the Hagley Oval in Christchurch, where we expect an even contest between bat and ball. The average first innings score in the last 10 matches played here is 253 runs. Whereas, this year, the two games played here were on the extreme ends, with the team batting first scoring 206 and 337 runs. The team batting first should aim for something over 300 in this game to be in a competitive position, since both teams have a strong and deep batting lineup, and anything around 260 runs will not be safe.
Toss: To Bat
Though there is no clear advantage to either batting or bowling first on this ground, with teams batting first having won one of the two games played here this season, we reckon that having runs on the board will be a sound strategy in this game. Both teams have a strong and in-form bowling attack that can defend a competitive total on this wicket.
CANT vs WELL
Winning Prediction
Both teams are competing for a spot in the playoffs. While the Kings are trying to hold on to their position and ensure a direct spot in the Final, the Wellington Firebirds will be aiming to stay in the top 3 to reach the Eliminator stage. It will be a close contest between two well-matched teams. The visitors have a strong overall squad on paper. The hosts will have the upper hand going into this match with their strong top-order and in-form bowling attack. Canterbury Kings will start as favorites in our match prediction.
Canterbury Kings to win
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