New Zealand vs India, NZ vs IND 2026, Today Match Prediction

NZ vs IND Match Prediction & Analysis

After suffering a humiliating 244-run defeat in the fourth ODI, India will take on New Zealand in the fifth and final ODI at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, on 15th November, from 7:30 am IST onwards. India still lead the five-match series 2-1, but New Zealand have an opportunity to level the series after producing their most convincing performance of the tour.

India will be looking to secure their first bilateral ODI series victory in New Zealand since 2018-19. New Zealand completely outplayed India in the fourth ODI, posting 333 in 50 overs before bowling the visitors out for just 89 in 26.4 overs. India, who had dominated the opening two ODIs with their pace attack, struggled in both departments. Their decision to bowl first backfired as New Zealand crossed 300 for the first time in the series. 

During the chase, India's top order collapsed against Henry's swing bowling, with Ishan Kishan's 27 being their highest individual score. Axar Patel and Naman Dhir contributed 21 each, but India never recovered from their disastrous start. The defeat has raised serious concerns about India's batting ahead of the series decider, particularly with Shubman Gill and KL Rahul unavailable for the final two matches.

RECENT PERFORMANCE

NZ

W L L L W

NZ

333/10 in 50.0 6.66

NZ vs IND 2026

New Zealand beat India by 244 runs 13 Nov 2026

IND

89/10 in 26.4 3.34

NZ

134/10 in 41.0 3.27

NZ vs IND 2026

India won by 4 runs (DLS method) 07 Nov 2026

IND

113/7 in 26.0 4.35

NZ

185/10 in 40.2 4.59

NZ vs IND 2026

India beat New Zealand by 5 wickets (D/L) method 04 Nov 2026

IND

143/5 in 22.4 6.31

WI

269/8 in 47.3 5.66

WI vs NZ 2026

West Indies won by 2 wickets 22 Jul 2026

NZ

268/9 in 50.0 5.36

WI

188/10 in 44.4 4.21

WI vs NZ 2026

New Zealand beat West Indies by 1 wickets 19 Jul 2026

NZ

189/9 in 44.1 4.28

IND

L W W L W

NZ

333/10 in 50.0 6.66

NZ vs IND 2026

New Zealand beat India by 244 runs 13 Nov 2026

IND

89/10 in 26.4 3.34

NZ

134/10 in 41.0 3.27

NZ vs IND 2026

India won by 4 runs (DLS method) 07 Nov 2026

IND

113/7 in 26.0 4.35

NZ

185/10 in 40.2 4.59

NZ vs IND 2026

India beat New Zealand by 5 wickets (D/L) method 04 Nov 2026

IND

143/5 in 22.4 6.31

IND

351/7 in 50.0 7.02

IND vs WI

West Indies beat India by 5 wickets 03 Oct 2026

WI

352/5 in 48.2 7.28

IND

406/2 in 43.3 9.33

IND vs WI

India won by 8 wickets 30 Sep 2026

WI

405/7 in 50.0 8.1

HEAD TO HEAD

TEAMS PREVIEW

New Zealand Preview

New Zealand will enter the final ODI with renewed confidence after registering a massive 244-run victory over India. Will Young and Tim Seifert gave the hosts an excellent start in the fourth game, adding 85 runs for the opening wicket. Young scored 125 off 108 balls at a strike rate of 115.74, including 14 fours and four sixes, while Seifert smashed 58 off 48 balls at a strike rate of 120.83. The hosts will be hoping for another aggressive start from their top order.

Finn Allen scored 41 off just 30 balls with five fours and two sixes. He added 90 runs with Young for the fourth wicket, helping New Zealand reach 215/4 in the 31st over. Michael Bracewell and Mitchell Santner will provide experience in the middle order, while Nick Kelly and Dean Foxcroft will be looking to make better use of their opportunities. Santner scored 24 in the fourth ODI after contributing 31 in Wellington. New Zealand's batting looks considerably stronger following their 333-run performance. 

New Zealand's bowling attack completely dominated India in the fourth ODI. Matt Henry produced match-winning figures of 6/27 in 9.4 overs, dismissing Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli and Shreyas Iyer for ducks in the opening over. Matthew Fisher picked up three wickets as India, while Jamieson picked up the remaining wicket. Jacob Duffy, who picked up six wickets in the opening two ODIs, could return to lead the pace attack instead of Henry.

Key Players: Will Young, Tim Seifert, Jacob Duffy.

New Zealand Predicted Playing XI:

Will Young, Tim Seifert (wk), Finn Allen, Nick Kelly, Dean Foxcroft, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (c), Kristian Clarke, Matthew Fisher, Jacob Duffy, Blair Tickner.

New Zealand Actual Playing XI:

Blair Tickner, Will Young, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner, Jacob Duffy, Tim Seifert, Matthew Fisher, Nick Kelly, Kristian Clarke, Finn Allen, Dean Foxcroft

India Preview

India will be under considerable pressure after being bowled out for just 89 in the fourth ODI, their lowest ODI total against New Zealand. The visitors lost Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli and Shreyas Iyer in the opening over, leaving them struggling at 0/3. Ruturaj Gaikwad managed just 5 runs, while Ishan Kishan top-scored with 27 off 53 balls. Axar Patel and Naman Dhir contributed 21 runs each, but India were dismissed in just 26.4 overs. 

Rohit Sharma and Ruturaj Gaikwad are expected to open the innings, with Virat Kohli coming in at number three. Rohit has scored 627 runs in 15 ODIs this year, while Kohli entered the fourth ODI with 1,009 runs in his previous 14 matches, including four centuries and five half-centuries. However, both batters were dismissed for ducks in Mount Maunganui. Kohli had scored a match-winning 74 off 51 balls in the series opener, but has managed just seven runs across his last two innings.

Shreyas Iyer will come in the middle with Ishan Kishan, Axar Patel, and Naman Dhir. Iyer scored 30 in the second ODI. Kishan has played 6 ODIs in this year, scoring 201 runs at a strike rate of 130. 

India's bowling attack also struggled in the fourth ODI after dominating the first two matches. Gurnoor Brar, who had taken seven wickets in the opening two ODIs, conceded 69 runs in 10 overs while picking up two wickets. He will be the bowler to watch out for. Axar Patel was India's most economical bowler, returning figures of 2/39 in 10 overs, while Auqib Nabi also took two wickets. Kuldeep Yadav had a difficult outing, conceding 73 runs in eight overs without taking a wicket. Arshdeep Singh finished with 1/55 in his 10 overs. India could consider bringing Mohammed Siraj into the playing XI for the final match.

Key Players: Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, Gurnoor Brar.

India Predicted Playing XI:

Rohit Sharma, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer (c), Ishan Kishan (wk), Naman Dhir, Axar Patel, Auqib Nabi, Gurnoor Brar, Arshdeep Singh, Siraj.

India Actual Playing XI:

Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Ishan Kishan, Mohammed Siraj, Shreyas Iyer, Naman Dhir, Axar Patel, Arshdeep Singh, Auqib Nabi, Yash Thakur

PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS

Weather Conditions

The early forecast for Mount Maunganui on 15th November suggests temperatures between 17 and 20 degrees Celsius, with the possibility of rain during the afternoon. Some forecasts indicate a rain chance of around 50% during the early stages of the match. 

Bay Oval has generally provided a good batting surface, although fast bowlers can find assistance with the new ball. The ground has witnessed totals as high as 371, suggesting that batters can score heavily once they settle in. However, the conditions in the first two ODIs have favoured seam bowling, and both teams will be hoping for a more balanced surface at Mount Maunganui.

NZ vs IND Pitch Report

The match will be played at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, on 15th November, from 7:30 am IST onwards. The venue's combined ODI records list 32 matches, with an average first-innings score of 235, compared to 215 in the second innings. New Zealand have now posted the two highest totals at the venue mentioned in this preview, scoring 371/7 against Sri Lanka and 333 against India in the fourth ODI. The hosts have also successfully chased 300/5 against India at this ground.

Toss: To Bowl

Across 33 ODIs at Bay Oval, teams batting first have won 16 matches, while teams bowling first have won 17. Four of the last six games have been won by the team chasing the target. The team winning the toss should bowl first.