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Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, PAK T20 TRIS 2025, Today Match Prediction 27 November 2025
PAK vs SL Win Probability
Toss Winner - Pakistan won the toss and choose to bowl first
Sri Lanka beat Pakistan by 6 runs
Knockout Pressure on Sri Lanka as Pakistan Tune Up for Saturday’s Final
- Sahibzada Farhan has 159 runs in three games at a strike rate of 157.43 for Pakistan.
- Wanindu Hasaranga has claimed 16 wickets in 7 T20Is played against Pakistan at an economy of 6.50.
- Pakistan has two wins in the last three T20Is against Sri Lanka.
We predict that Pakistan will win against Sri Lanka.
| Tournament: | Pakistan T20I Tri-Series 2025 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi, Pakistan |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 15.7°C|Clear |
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PAK vs SL Live Prediction
PAK vs SL Match Prediction & Analysis
The ongoing T20I tri-series featuring Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Zimbabwe has kept fans on the edge of their seats, with the second finalist still undecided. Pakistan has dominated the tournament so far, convincingly defeating all opponents to secure its place in the final. Meanwhile, the battle for the remaining spot is wide open between Sri Lanka and Zimbabwe. The equation is clear: Sri Lanka must produce a big win to boost their NRR and leapfrog Zimbabwe into second place. With everything to play for, Sri Lanka face a high-stakes showdown against the hosts at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium on 27th November, starting at 6:30 PM IST.
Pakistan cruised into the finals with three dominant wins, including a comprehensive victory over Zimbabwe in their last outing. Batting first, Sahibzada Farhan and Saim Ayub gave them a flying start, with Farhan smashing his second consecutive fifty and Babar Azam returning to form with a fluent half-century. Despite a brief slowdown, Fakhar Zaman’s explosive 25-run final over propelled Pakistan beyond 190. With a big total on the board, Pakistan’s bowlers dismantled Zimbabwe early, reducing them to 43/3 inside the powerplay. Usman Tariq stole the show with a remarkable hat-trick and a four-wicket haul as Zimbabwe collapsed to 82/9. Ryan Burl’s unbeaten 67 only delayed the inevitable, but his knock helped limit the NRR damage for Zimbabwe.
Sri Lanka kept their tri-series final hopes alive with a commanding nine-wicket win over Zimbabwe, avenging last week’s defeat. Their bowlers set the tone early, with Maheesh Theekshana and Wanindu Hasaranga picking up two wickets each to restrict Zimbabwe to a modest 146/5. Chasing a tricky NRR target, Sri Lanka couldn’t finish the job inside the PowerPlay, but Pathum Nissanka ensured the win was never in doubt. The opener delivered a breathtaking unbeaten 98 off 58 balls, dominating the chase with clean hitting and composure. Even after Kamil Mishara's dismissal, Nissanka continued to punish the bowling, as Sri Lanka wrapped up the chase with 3.4 overs to spare.
Both teams played at the same stadium on 22nd November. Once Sri Lanka were restricted to just 128, the task was always going to be difficult—and the lack of early wickets only made it tougher. Sahibzada Farhan and Saim Ayub effectively sealed the chase inside the power play with a commanding 47-run opening stand. Farhan, in particular, was ruthless, punishing every loose delivery on his way to a brutal unbeaten 80 off just 45 balls. Although Babar Azam and Salman Agha fell off successive deliveries to Dushmantha Chameera, it proved to be just a minor hiccup. Pakistan comfortably crossed the line soon after.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
PAK
W
W
W
W
W
PAK
140/6 in 19.0 7.37
PAK vs SA 2025
Pakistan beat South Africa by 4 wickets139/9 in 20.0 6.95
112/1 in 13.1 8.51
PAK vs SA 2025
Pakistan beat South Africa by 9 wickets110/10 in 19.2 5.69
SL
W
L
L
L
L
SL
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 2 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Pakistan Preview
Sahibzada Farhan will open the innings alongside Saim Ayub. Farhan has been the standout performer of the series, emerging as the leading run-scorer with 159 runs at a strike rate of 157.42. He has smashed the most sixes (8) and notched up two half-centuries, making him the batter to watch out for. In contrast, Saim Ayub has struggled for consistency, managing 200 runs at a strike rate of 126.58 across his last 10 T20Is. At number three, Babar Azam will look to continue his strong form. He was Pakistan’s top scorer in the previous game against Zimbabwe, making a fluent 74 at a strike rate of 142.31.
Faheem Ashraf will be joined in the middle order by Mohammad Nawaz, skipper Salman Agha, and Fakhar Zaman. Ashraf has been a weak link so far, managing just 3 runs from his lone innings. Nawaz, with 25 runs in two outings, offers some stability through the middle overs. Skipper Salman Agha, however, is under pressure, having scored only 2 runs across three innings and yet to reach double figures in the series. Fakhar Zaman has been the standout among this group, scoring 71 runs in two innings at a blistering strike rate of 169.04 — the highest among all Pakistan batters in the tournament.
Mohammad Nawaz will spearhead the bowling attack alongside Usman Tariq, Naseem Shah, and Mohammad Wasim Jr. Nawaz has been outstanding with the ball, emerging as Pakistan’s leading wicket-taker with 7 wickets in three matches at an impressive economy of 4.91. Usman Tariq, who has played just one game so far, delivered a sensational spell of 4 for 18 that included a hat-trick, making him a key bowler to watch out for. Naseem Shah and Mohammad Wasim Jr. have chipped in with a wicket each, and Pakistan will hope for stronger contributions from the pace duo in this crucial encounter.
Key Players: Sahibzada Farhan, Mohammad Nawaz, Usman Tariq.
Pakistan Predicted Playing XI:
Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, Babar Azam, Salman Agha (c), Usman Khan (wk), Fakhar Zaman, Mohammad Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Mohammad Wasim Jr, Naseem Shah, Usman Tariq.
Pakistan Key Players From Previous Game Of Pakistan T20I Tri-Series 2025
Pakistan Actual Playing XI:
Mohammad Wasim Jr, Salman Mirza, Saim Ayub, Sahibzada Farhan, Babar Azam, Agha Salman, Usman Khan, Mohammad Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Abrar Ahmad, Fakhar Zaman
Sri Lanka Preview
It is a do-or-die game for Sri Lanka, but their batting unit has struggled throughout the series, with the lone exception of Pathum Nissanka. He will open the innings alongside Kamil Mishara. Nissanka has been Sri Lanka’s standout performer, scoring 115 runs at a strike rate of 133.72, including a superb unbeaten 98 in the previous match. His overall form has also been impressive, with 409 runs at a strike rate of 152.04 in his last 10 T20Is. However, the lack of support around him is evident. Mishara and Kusal Mendis, who are expected to bat at number three, have managed just 34 runs each in the series. This stark contrast highlights the significant gap between the two teams’ batting line-ups.
Kusal Perera, Janith Liyanage, and skipper Dasun Shanaka will form Sri Lanka’s middle order. Perera has struggled to make an impact, scoring just 29 runs across three games, while Shanaka has fared slightly better with 34 runs. Liyanage has had only one opportunity in the series so far, which came against Pakistan, where he scored a steady 41 at a strike rate of 107. With the ball, Shanaka has contributed two wickets, but his economy rate of 9.00 is the highest among Sri Lanka’s bowlers, highlighting the challenges he has faced in this tri-series.
Wanindu Hasaranga will spearhead the bowling attack alongside Dushmantha Chameera, Eshan Malinga, and Maheesh Theekshana. Hasaranga has been Sri Lanka’s standout performer with the ball, taking 5 wickets at an economy of 6.91 in the series. His record against Pakistan is exceptional as well, with 16 wickets in just 7 T20Is, making him the key bowler to watch out for. Chameera and Theekshana have picked up three wickets each, with Theekshana operating more economically than any other Sri Lankan bowler. Malinga has contributed two wickets but has been on the expensive side with an economy of 8.38.
Key Players: Pathum Nissanka, Wanindu Hasaranga, Dasun Shanaka.
Sri Lanka Predicted Playing XI:
Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Mendis (wk), Kamil Mishara, Kusal Perera, Dasun Shanaka (c), Janith Liyanage, Kamindu Mendis, Wanindu Hasaranga, Dushmantha Chameera, Eshan Malinga, Theeksana.
Sri Lanka Key Players From Previous Game Of Pakistan T20I Tri-Series 2025
Sri Lanka Actual Playing XI:
Dasun Shanaka, Janith Liyanage, Wanidu Hasaranga, Kusal Mendis, Kusal Perera, Kamil Mishara, Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Eshan Malinga, Pathum Nissanka, Pavan Rathnayake
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The weather in Rawalpindi is expected to be cloudy on match day, with temperatures ranging from 8 to 20 degrees Celsius. Winds will blow from the southeast at 6-10 km/h. It is a balanced pitch. The stadium traditionally offers favourable conditions for batsmen. Its dry surface, combined with relatively short boundaries, makes it easier for batters to clear the ropes, contributing to high-scoring contests. Length balls can travel the distance quickly, putting bowlers under pressure from the start. As the match progresses, spinners do come into play with some turn and assistance on offer, but overall, it remains a venue where stroke-making and aggressive batting thrive.
PAK vs SL Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
The game will be played at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium on 27th November, starting at 6:30 PM IST. The stadium has a capacity of 15000 spectators. The stadium has hosted 17 Tests, 30 ODIs, and 14 T20Is.
Toss: To Bowl
In the 14 games played here team that bowls first has won on 9 occasions. The team winning the toss should bowl first. The average first innings score is 144.
PAK vs SL
Winning Prediction
Sahibzada Farhan has been in exceptional form, scoring 373 runs in his last 10 T20Is at a strike rate of 141.82. In contrast, Sri Lanka’s main hope, Pathum Nissanka, has struggled against Pakistan, operating at a strike rate of below 100. The difference in both sides’ bowling effectiveness is equally stark. Pakistan’s bowlers have picked up 70% of the opposition wickets across the first three games, whereas Sri Lanka has managed to claim only 50%, further highlighting the gap between the two teams.
We predict that Pakistan will win against Sri Lanka.
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