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Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Mumbai Indians, IPLT20, Today Match Prediction
RCB vs MI Win Probability
Toss Winner - Royal Challengers Bengaluru won the toss and choose to bowl first
Royal Challengers Bengaluru beat Mumbai Indians by 2 wickets
Royal Challengers Bengaluru have won their last two encounters against Mumbai Indians, including once this season. Will they make it three out of three?
- Rohit Sharma top-scored for MI in the last game, smashing 84 off 44.
- RCB need four out of four wins to confirm top four finish without depending on other results.
- Krunal Pandya has an economy of just 7.69 against MI, with nine wickets in seven innings.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru are expected to win this match.
| Tournament: | Indian Premier League, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Cricket Stadium, Raipur, Raipur, India |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 39.1°C|Sunny |
RCB vs MI Live Prediction
RCB vs MI Match Prediction & Analysis
The fight for a playoff spot in IPL 2026 is heating up as Royal Challengers Bengaluru face Mumbai Indians in Match 54 at Raipur. RCB have been one of the best sides this season, winning six of their ten matches and losing only four. That run has taken them to third place on the points table with an NRR of 1.234. One foot is already in the playoffs, but they will now push for a top-two finish, which would give them two chances to qualify for the final.
Mumbai Indians, on the other hand, have had a disappointing campaign so far. They have managed only three wins while losing seven matches and are sitting down in ninth place on the table. While they are not officially out of the playoff race, they need plenty of results to go their way from here. At this point, Mumbai Indians will mainly look to finish the season strongly and give their fans something positive in the final stretch.
MI come into this game after a solid win in their previous match, while RCB have lost two in a row. Even then, RCB look far more settled and have been far more consistent across departments this season. They also defeated MI comfortably earlier in the tournament, which should give them extra belief ahead of this clash.
Looking at current form and the points table, RCB will start as favourites in this match. Mumbai Indians do have match winners in their batting line-up, though, and if some of their senior batters fire early, they could make things interesting and push RCB much harder than many expect in this contest.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
RCB
L
L
W
W
L
RCB
158/6 in 15.5 9.98
155/10 in 19.2 8.02
75/10 in 16.3 4.55
77/1 in 6.3 11.85
206/5 in 18.5 10.94
205/3 in 20.0 10.25
MI
W
L
L
L
W
MI
229/4 in 18.4 12.27
228/5 in 20.0 11.4
160/2 in 18.1 8.81
159/7 in 20.0 7.95
104/10 in 19.0 5.47
207/6 in 20.0 10.35
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 5 Matches
Show More Show Less
199/3 in 15.3
196/8 in 20.0
200/4 in 16.3
IPL 2023
Mumbai won by 6 wickets
199/6 in 20.0
172/2 in 16.2
IPL 2023
Royal Challengers Bangalore won by 8 wickets
171/7 in 20.0
TEAMS PREVIEW
Royal Challengers Bengaluru Preview
Defending champions Royal Challengers Bengaluru have been strong this season, winning six and losing four to sit first on the table with 12 points. In their latest fixture, they went down to Lucknow Super Giants by 9 runs, failing to surpass a target of 210.
RCB have now lost two in a row, but despite that they have been one of the stronger batting sides in IPL 2026 and are still firmly in the playoff race. Their season has largely been built around aggressive starts from Philip Salt and stability from Virat Kohli.
Their batting has been particularly effective in the powerplay, where they average around 58-65 runs in the first six overs at close to 10 runs per over, while losing only around one wicket on average. The middle overs have also been highly productive, with RCB scoring roughly 72-80 runs between overs 7-15, before accelerating further at the death, where they add another 52-60 runs regularly. When batting first, they have generally posted totals in the 175-185 range this season. Out of their six wins, four have come while chasing, so batting second is clearly their stronger suit.
With the ball, RCB’s strongest phase has been the powerplay, conceding only around 45-50 runs while taking close to two wickets on average through Josh Hazlewood and Bhuvneshwar Kumar. Their middle-over bowling has also been steady, allowing around 68-74 runs, with spin playing a key role, where Krunal Pandya dominates. However, the death overs remain their weakest phase, as they have conceded 50-58 runs consistently in the final five overs on flatter surfaces.
Match Facts:
* Virat Kohli leads the batting charts for RCB this season with 379 runs in 10 games at an average of 47.37 and a strike rate of 164.
* Krunal Pandya has been their main middle-order controller and has an economy of just 8.70 this season.
* Bhuvneshwar Kumar has impressive numbers against MI: 23 wickets at an economy of 7.24.
Key Players: Josh Hazlewood, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Rajat Patidar
RCB Over/Under Betting Tips
Rajat Patidar Total Runs Over 24.5 @ 1.85
Patidar scored 61 runs in the last match against LSG but got out at the wrong time. The last time he played against Mumbai Indians earlier in the season he scored 53 runs in 20 balls. Expect Patidar to carry his good run of form and score over 24 runs in today's match.
Devdutt Padikkal Total Runs Over 23.5 @ 1.85
Padikkal has scores of 34, 40, 34, 55 and 18 in the last five matches. He is the 2nd highest run-scorer for RCB this season and play's a key role at the top of the order. Given his current run of form, we back Padikkal to score over 23 runs in today's match.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru Predicted Playing XI:
Jacob Bethell/ Phil Salt, Virat Kohli, Devdutt Padikkal, Rajat Patidar(c), Jitesh Sharma(w), Krunal Pandya, Romario Shepherd, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Suyash Sharma, Rasikh Salam Dar, Josh Hazlewood Impact subs: Jordan Cox, Tim David
Royal Challengers Bengaluru Key Players From Previous Game Of Indian Premier League, 2026
Royal Challengers Bengaluru Actual Playing XI:
Rajat Patidar, Tim David, Virat Kohli, Jacob Bethell, Krunal Pandya, Romario Shepherd, Jitesh Sharma, Josh Hazlewood, Rasikh Salam Dar, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Suyash Sharma
Mumbai Indians Preview
Mumbai Indians have had a poor IPL 2026 season so far, sitting at number nine with just three wins and seven defeats and an NRR of -0.649. They are coming into this game on the back of a confidence-boosting win against Lucknow Super Giants at home, where they chased down a target of 229 in 18.4 overs with six wickets remaining. They are still in the playoff race mathematically, but MI’s season is pretty much done, and they will only be looking to end it with a few good wins.
Their batting has remained dangerous, particularly when Rohit Sharma and Ryan Rickelton provide quick starts, but inconsistency with the ball has hurt them badly in several matches. Despite posting big totals, MI have struggled at times to defend scores, especially on flat batting surfaces.
Their powerplay batting has remained aggressive, averaging around 54-61 runs in the first six overs at close to 10 runs per over while losing just over one wicket on average. The middle overs have also been productive, bringing roughly 70-77 runs through the stability of Suryakumar Yadav and Tilak Varma, before MI accelerate strongly at the death, where they regularly score 50-58 runs in the final five overs. When batting first, they have generally posted totals in the 172-182 range this season.
As for the bowling, MI have been decent in the powerplay, conceding around 48-54 runs while taking roughly one to two wickets, but their bowling has become increasingly vulnerable later in the innings. The middle overs have lacked consistent control, while the death overs have been a major concern as they have regularly conceded 55-66 runs in the final phase, even struggling to defend totals above 240 on batting-friendly surfaces.
Match Facts:
* Hardik Pandya is not travelling with the MI squad to Raipur, so he is unlikely to feature in this clash.
* MI failed to defend 243 against SRH this season, despite having Bumrah in the attack. This just shows how poorly they have defended.
* AM Ghazanfar has been the team’s best bowler this year, taking 12 wickets in eight games at an economy of 9.91.
Key Players: Ryan Rickelton, Will Jacks, AM Ghazanfar
MI Over/Under Betting Tips
Rohit Sharma Total Runs Over 25.5 @ 1.85
Rohit Sharma on his comeback to the side scored a match winning knock of 84 runs in 44 balls against LSG. He has a good record against RCB (867 runs in 34 matches, averaging 27). Expect another impactful knock at the top of the order for Hitman and we predict him to score over 25 runs in today's match.
Naman Dhir Total Runs Over 21.5 @ 1.85
Naman Dhir has scored past 21 runs in each of the last three matches for Mumbai Indians. He has adapted and played according to the match situation every time. He is likely to come in at number 3 against RCB and will be a key batter to watch out for.
Ryan Rickelton Total Runs Over 25.5 @ 1.85
The southpaw is in sublime form this season and has scores of 83, 37 and 123 in the last three matches. He is currently the leading run-scorer for Mumbai Indians this season with 380 runs in 8 matches. We back him to carry his good run of form and predict his score to be over 25.
Mumbai Indians Predicted Playing XI:
Ryan Rickelton(w), Naman Dhir, Suryakumar Yadav(c), Tilak Varma, Will Jacks, Raj Bawa, Corbin Bosch, Deepak Chahar, Jasprit Bumrah, AM Ghazanfar, Raghu Sharma Impact Subs: Rohit Sharma, Mayank Rawat, Robin Minz, Shardul Thakur, Trent Boult
Mumbai Indians Key Players From Previous Game Of Indian Premier League, 2026
Mumbai Indians Actual Playing XI:
Ryan Rickelton, Corbin Bosch, Allah Ghazanfar, Will Jacks, Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Jasprit Bumrah, Rohit Sharma, Deepak Chahar, Raj Bawa, Naman Dhir
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Clear skies are expected in Raipur for the evening game, with temperatures likely to hover around 32-34°C at the start before gradually dropping later in the night. Humidity is expected to stay on the lower side, and there is no significant threat of rain, meaning uninterrupted cricket conditions are likely throughout the match.
RCB vs MI Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium returns as an IPL venue for the first time since 2016, making this one of the more unfamiliar surfaces of the 2026 season. The last five IPL first-innings totals here were 177, 159, 137, 146, and 119, producing an average first-innings score of 147.6 runs.
Historically, Raipur has played as a more balanced venue rather than an outright batting paradise, with slower bowlers often becoming effective through the middle overs. The death overs have also been relatively controlled compared to flatter IPL venues, with teams generally adding around 40-50 runs in the final five overs instead of the 60-plus totals regularly seen elsewhere.
While chasing sides have enjoyed some success under lights historically, the long gap since the last IPL game here means teams may still need a match or two to fully understand how the surface behaves in modern T20 conditions.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
RCB to win the coin toss @ 1.90
We back RCB to win the coin toss in today's match against MI
Toss: To Bowl
With two of Mumbai Indians’ three wins this season coming while chasing, they are expected to bowl first if they win the toss here. RCB have followed a similar pattern as well, with four of their six wins coming while batting second, so they too should opt to field first if the toss goes their way. This has been a common trend across venues during the tournament, with captains choosing to bowl first in close to 90% of the night matches after winning the toss.
The reason behind that approach is simple. Teams have generally looked more comfortable chasing under lights, especially once dew starts settling in during the second innings. Batting conditions have often improved later in the game, making it harder for bowlers to defend totals. Both MI and RCB have looked far more settled while chasing targets, and neither side would want to move away from that formula here.
As a result, the toss could end up playing a major role in deciding the outcome of this contest. The captain winning the toss is expected to field first, and going by how this season has unfolded so far, that side could gain a strong advantage before a ball is even bowled.
RCB vs MI
Winning Prediction
Royal Challengers Bengaluru will be aiming for a top-two finish, which makes this a very important game for them, especially as they head into this game after having lost two in a row. With the race at the top of the table getting tighter, another defeat could hurt their chances. RCB have been among the more reliable sides this season and already have a comfortable win over Mumbai Indians earlier in the tournament.
MI, meanwhile, have struggled badly this season and are now left fighting for a sixth or seventh-place finish at best. They did register an impressive win in their previous outing, so there is a chance they can dominate this game, especially if their top-order gets going. Their batting has looked far better than their bowling for most parts of the season.
The bigger concern for MI has been their bowling attack, which has leaked runs regularly and failed to control games during important stages. Against a batting-heavy RCB line-up filled with aggressive players, that problem could once again hurt them badly. RCB’s top-order has been in good touch, and on a batting-friendly surface, Mumbai’s bowlers could find themselves under pressure from the start.
Looking at the overall form of both sides this season, RCB head into this contest as favourites. Their batting looks more settled, the side has played better cricket across departments, and they also carry stronger momentum into this game compared to Mumbai Indians.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru are expected to win this match.
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