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Sri Lanka vs New Zealand, ICC WCT20 2026, Today Match Prediction
SL vs NZ Win Probability
Toss Winner - Sri Lanka won the toss and choose to bowl first
New Zealand beat Sri Lanka by 61 runs
Can Sri Lanka bounce back against the mighty Kiwi's?
- Kusal Perera has scored 417 runs vs New Zealand and 464 runs at the R Premadasa Stadium in T20Is.
- New Zealand's opening batters Tim Seifert and Finn Allen have hit 15 sixes so far in this tournament.
- New Zealand have beaten Sri Lanka 5 times in Sri Lanka in T20I cricket.
New Zealand to Win.
| Tournament: | ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | R. Premadasa International Cricket Stadium, Colombo, Sri Lanka |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 30.2°C|Sunny |
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SL vs NZ Live Prediction
SL vs NZ Match Prediction & Analysis
The match number 46 of the T20 World Cup 2026 will be a Super 8 Group 2 clash between co-hosts Sri Lanka and New Zealand. The match will be played on 25 February, on Wednesday at the R Premadasa Stadium in Colombo. Both sides finished 2nd in their respective group during the group stage of the 2026 T20 World Cup.
In the Super 8 round, Sri Lanka lost their opening match against 2010 champions England as they failed to chase a below par total of 147 runs. Their spinners have been in dominant form in this competition, and batters have fired despite getting all-out for 95 runs in the last match.
New Zealand on the other hand have had their first Super 8 clash against Pakistan washed away due to rain as both teams have had to share a point each. New Zealand's biggest highlight of the campaign so far has been their opening duo’s performance.
Finn Allen and Tim Seifert have been the most destructive opening partnership in the tournament, having hit more than a dozen sixes. They have a squad full of power-packed hitters and quality bowlers.
SL vs NZ Betting News
Sri Lanka vs New Zealand, 46th T20 Match, Men's T20 World Cup 2026 Special Bets
Bet on the Sri Lanka vs New Zealand, 46th T20 Match, Men’s T20 World Cup 2026, with our special bet offers. Expert analysis for SL vs NZ, betting today.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
SL
L
L
W
W
W
SL
NZ
W
L
W
W
W
NZ
175/0 in 15.2 11.41
ICC WCT20 2026
New Zealand beat United Arab Emirates by 10 wickets173/6 in 20.0 8.65
183/5 in 17.5 10.26
ICC WCT20 2026
New Zealand beat Afghanistan by 5 wickets182/6 in 20.0 9.1
208/7 in 20.0 10.4
201/8 in 20.0 10.05
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 5 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Sri Lanka Preview
Sri Lanka got off to a tough start in the Super 8, suffering a disappointing 51-run loss to England. Chasing 147, they collapsed to 95 all out after losing 5 wickets in the powerplay, despite chasing what is claimed by many as below par score by the Three Lions.
Pathum Nissanka (208 runs in 5 innings in this tournament) had his worst knock of the tournament, managing only 9 runs off 8 balls. His opening partner Kamil Mishara scored just 6 runs. The middle order also crumbled quickly, Kusal Mendis (186 runs in 5 innings) and Pavan Rathnayake (137 runs in 5 innings) couldn't even survive the powerplay.
Captain Dasun Shanaka showed some fight with a gritty 30 runs off 24 balls down the order, but it was too big a task. Dunith Wellalage (10 runs off 10 balls), Kamindu Mendis (13 runs off 11 balls), and Maheesh Theekshana (10 runs off 8) were the only other batters to score in double figures.
Bowling was the bright spot earlier as they restricted England to 146/9, a below-par total. Sri Lanka's spinners remain the tournament's best spin bowling unit overall.
Dunith Wellalage took 3/26 (now 7 wickets total in the competition), Maheesh Theekshana is the side’s top wicket-taker with 8 wickets, including his 2/21 vs England. Pace bowler Dilshan Madushanka, who replaced injured Matheesha Pathirana bagged 2/25, and Dushmantha Chameera picked up 1 wicket.
SL Over/Under Betting Tips
Kusal Mendis Total Runs Over 22.5 @ 1.85
After scoring three back to back half centuries to begin the tournament, Kusal Mendis failed to score past 15 runs in the last two matches. In 5 matches, he has scored 186 runs, averaging 46.5. At Premadasa Stadium he has scored 308 runs in 15 matches, averaging 22. With this being a must win match for Sri Lanka to stay in contention for a semi final spot, we back Mendis to step up and predict his score to be over 22 runs.
Pathum Nissanka Total Runs Over 23.5 @ 1.85
Pathum Nissanka has recorded scores of 9, 62, 100, 13, and 24 in this T20 World Cup, surpassing the 23-run mark on three occasions. Overall, he has amassed 208 runs across five matches at an impressive average of 52. His record at R. Premadasa Stadium is also solid; in nine T20I matches at the venue, he has scored 213 runs at an average of 30.42. Additionally, he maintains a steady track record against New Zealand, totaling 246 runs in nine matches for an average of 27.33.
Sri Lanka Predicted Playing XI:
Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Perera, Kusal Mendis (WK), Pavan Rathnayake, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka (C), Dunith Wellalage, Dushmantha Hemantha, Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Dilshan Madushanka.
Sri Lanka Key Players From Previous Game Of ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026
Sri Lanka Actual Playing XI:
Charith Asalanka, Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Mendis, Pavan Rathnayake, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka, Dushan Hemantha, Dunith Wellalage, Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Dilshan Madushanka
New Zealand Preview
New Zealand picked up a shared point after rain washed out their first Super 8 Group 2 match against Pakistan in Colombo. In the group stage, they finished second in Group D behind South Africa with 3 wins and 1 loss, solid form heading into the knockout phase.
The biggest highlight has been the explosive opening pair of Tim Seifert and Finn Allen. Seifert has smashed 173 runs in 4 innings at a strike rate of 167.96, while Allen has scored 137 runs at 177.92 strike rate. Together, they have cleared the ropes 15 times for maximum. They are the biggest example of modern-day T20 cricket, fearless and aggressive cricket from ball one.
The middle order brings more power, wicketkeeper-batter Glenn Phillips has been electric with 119 runs in 3 innings at a blistering strike rate of 185.94. Mark Chapman scored 76 runs in 2 innings, and all-rounders Rachin Ravindra (72 runs in 3) and Daryl Mitchell (57 runs in 2) have chipped in nicely.
Bowling has been a real team effort with no single star dominating. Lockie Ferguson and Matt Henry are the joint-top wicket-takers with 4 wickets each while Jacob Duffy has taken 3 wickets.
All-rounders Rachin Ravindra and James Neesham have taken 2 wickets apiece. Captain Mitchell Santner’s performance though has been a huge let down as he has only 1 wicket in 3 matches so far. Expectations are high for him to step up with his experience in the Super 8.
NZ Over/Under Betting Tips
Rachin Ravindra Total Runs Over 18.5 @ 1.85
After starting the tournament with a duck and a 13-run score against South Africa, Rachin Ravindra managed to bounce back with a half-century against Canada, where he scored 59 runs. On a turning track where technical skill against spin will be key, Ravindra’s technique is perfectly suited for the Premadasa pitch. We are banking on Ravindra to play a vital role with the bat in today's contest and predict his score to be over 18.5 runs.
New Zealand Predicted Playing XI:
Tim Seifert, Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips (WK), Daryl Mitchell, Mark Chapman, James Neesham, Mitchell Santner (C), Jacob Duffy, Matt Henry, Lockie Ferguson.
New Zealand Actual Playing XI:
Ish Sodhi, Mitchell Santner, Lockie Ferguson, Tim Seifert, Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Cole McConchie, Matt Henry
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The weather forecast for R Premadasa Stadium and surrounding area on matchday is set to be sunny and hot with clear skies throughout the day. The temperature will be a high of 29°C and low of 26°C. There will be light winds blowing at 16 kmph and 0% chance of any rain.
SL vs NZ Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
High Turn
R Premadasa Stadium is mostly known for its balanced pitch surface, but it tends to favour the spin bowlers a bit more as the surface continues to get slower, offering more grip and turn. Batters will have to be careful and try not to play any risky shots. Once the batter is set, they could score runs at the ground.
There have been 5 matches played at the venue in the T20 World Cup 2026 and the average first inning score is 173. Zimbabwe's 182 is the highest total at the venue in this competition while 114 is the lowest by Pakistan.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Sri Lanka to win the coin toss @ 1.90
We back the home team Sri Lanka to win the coin toss in today's match against New Zealand.
Toss: To Bat
The captain that wins the toss, might prefer to bat first at the ground. The surface is at its best for batting during the 1st innings, after which we see more grip and turn for the spinners. Also 4 out of 5 matches at this venue have been won by the batting first side in this tournament.
SL vs NZ
Winning Prediction
This is a must win match for both the teams, where the wash out for New Zealand against Pakistan put's them in a tough spot, while Sri Lanka's loss to England means they have no other option but to win this fixture. But if you look at the balance of both the teams, New Zealand look a much better side and we back them to win this fixture.
New Zealand to Win.
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