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Sydney Thunder Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women, WBBLT20, Today Match Prediction 23 November 2025
STW vs MRW Win Probability
Toss Winner - Melbourne Renegades Women won the toss and choose to bowl first
Melbourne Renegades Women beat Sydney Thunder Women by 8 wickets
Melbourne Renegades Women have won their last two encounters against Sydney Thunder Women.
- A score of around 145-150 will be highly competitive at Drummoyne Oval.
- The Renegades will rely on Georgia Wareham, Courtney Webb, and Alice Capsey to do the bulk of the scoring.
- For Sydney Thunder, Tahlia Wilson, Phoebe Litchfield, and Georgia Voll will be the key players.
Melbourne Renegades Women are our picks for the winners of this match.
| Tournament: | Womens Big Bash League, 2025 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Drummoyne Oval, Drummoyne, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 21.1°C|Partly cloudy |
STW vs MRW Match Prediction & Analysis
Sydney Thunder Women face Melbourne Renegades Women in the 21st match of the 2025 Women's Big Bash League. The Renegades now occupy second place having collected six points from their opening five fixtures, and another positive result appears within reach. The Thunder find themselves fourth with four points from the same number of matches. Current form suggests a Renegades victory is on the cards, though the Thunder arrive fresh from success and will bring plenty of confidence into this contest.
STW vs MRW Betting News
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RECENT PERFORMANCE
STW
W
W
L
L
L
STW
154/1 in 18.2 8.4
150/7 in 20.0 7.5
118/8 in 20.0 5.9
142/9 in 20.0 7.1
151/6 in 18.1 8.31
148/7 in 20.0 7.4
181/8 in 20.0 9.05
182/4 in 19.3 9.33
MRW
L
W
L
W
W
MRW
106/4 in 12.0 8.83
155/10 in 19.3 7.95
141/7 in 20.0 7.05
145/6 in 18.5 7.7
143/3 in 17.4 8.09
141/9 in 20.0 7.05
151/6 in 18.1 8.31
148/7 in 20.0 7.4
133/10 in 20.0 6.65
66/3 in 7.3 8.8
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 4 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Sydney Thunder Women Preview
Sydney Thunder Women have made a steady start to their 2025 Women’s Big Bash League campaign, sitting fourth after collecting two victories from their opening five matches. Their most recent outing brought a convincing 41-run result against Brisbane Heat Women, a performance that should leave them feeling far more assured heading into this fixture.
Tahlia Wilson has been the driving force in their batting effort, putting together 193 runs in five attempts at an average of 48.25 and a strike rate of 127. Her form has been reliable, producing two half-centuries already, and she will look to add another thirty or so to help shape the innings again.
Captain Phoebe Litchfield has added strong support as well, striking 117 runs in five games at 136. Heather Knight and Georgia Voll have delivered frequently, both crossing the 100-run mark this season and giving the side genuine depth across all phases of the innings.
In the bowling unit, Shabnim Ismail has been the most effective option so far, taking eight wickets in five matches while keeping her economy to 7.93 per over. Samantha Bates and Georgia Voll have collected a combined 13 wickets, giving the attack balance and enough variety to trouble the Renegades.
Sydney Thunder Women Predicted Playing XI:
Georgia Voll, Tahlia Wilson (wk), Phoebe Litchfield (c), Heather Knight, Anika Learoyd, Laura Harris, Em Arlott, Lucy Finn, Taneale Peschel, Shabnim Ismail, Samantha Bates
Sydney Thunder Women Key Players From Previous Game Of Womens Big Bash League, 2025
Sydney Thunder Women Actual Playing XI:
Laura May Harris, Shabnim Ismail, Heather Knight, Anika Learoyd, Taneale Peschel, Georgia Voll, Tahlia Wilson, Phoebe Litchfield, Samantha Bates, Hasrat Gill, Emily Arlott
Melbourne Renegades Women Preview
Melbourne Renegades Women have looked assured through this campaign and hold second place after taking three wins in five matches. Their approach has had a steady rhythm, and they will try to carry the same confidence into the next outing.
Georgia Wareham has carried much of their batting load, scoring 164 across five games at an average of 41 with a strike rate of 152. Courtney Webb has given steady support near the top, adding 122 from four innings at 117.
Alice Capsey has chipped in with 95 at a strike rate of 134, and Nicole Faltum has supplied another 60, which has given the batting order a firmer base and a calmer middle phase.
Their bowlers have worked with good structure too. Georgia Wareham has steered the attack and holds nine wickets with an economy of 5.38. Tess Flintoff and Deandra Dottin have shared 12 wickets between them, and Alice Capsey has taken four more, rounding off an attack that has delivered in most situations.
Melbourne Renegades Women Predicted Playing XI:
Courtney Webb, Sophie Molineux (c), Alice Capsey, Emma de Broughe, Deandra Dottin, Georgia Wareham, Tess Flintoff, Nicole Faltum (wk), Sarah Coyte, Milly Illingworth, Charis Bekker
Melbourne Renegades Women Key Players From Previous Game Of Womens Big Bash League, 2025
Melbourne Renegades Women Actual Playing XI:
Courtney Webb, Emma De Broughe, Alice Capsey, Deandra Dottin, Georgia Wareham, Sophie Molineux, Nicole Faltum, Milly Hall Illingworth, Sarah Coyte, Charis Bekker, Issy Wong
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The first few overs with the new ball at Drummoyne Oval in Sydney tend to favor bowlers, especially pacers, because of a fair bit of seam and bounce early on. As the innings wears on, batting becomes slightly easier. Spinners can be useful later on, though not dominant. Teams chasing may have an edge if they rotate well and pick their moments.
The weather in Sydney will be partly sunny and humid, but there’s no threat of rain.
STW vs MRW Pitch Report
Scores remain modest at Drummoyne Oval: WBBL matches here average around 120 in the first innings. For this fixture, a score of around 140 will challenge the chasing side.
Toss: To Bowl
Batting second usually works better at Drummoyne Oval as 16 of the 26 women’s T20 games here have been won by the chasing side. Hence, we reckon the toss-winning captain will look to bowl first here.
STW vs MRW
Winning Prediction
Sydney Thunder Women have gained some momentum after winning two in a row and will look to build on that as they meet Melbourne Renegades Women next, who are coming off a loss. However, when you compare the overall depth of the two squads, the Renegades look slightly stronger and hence have a 55-45 advantage in this game.
Melbourne Renegades Women are our picks for the winners of this match.
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