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Washington Freedom vs Seattle Orcas, MLC, Today Match Prediction
WAF vs SOR Win Probability
Toss Winner - Washington Freedom won the toss and choose to bowl first
Seattle Orcas beat Washington Freedom by 88 runs
Washington Freedom have won three of their previous four outings against Seattle Orcas.
- Washington Freedom's Mitchell Owen has been in breath-taking form, smashing 216 runs in the tournament including a monstrous top score of 155 off just 68 balls against MI New York.
- The first-innings average score at the Oakland Coliseum across the last five domestic T20s is 185 runs.
- Ottneil Baartman was the Player of the Match in the previous meeting between these sides. His figures of 4/33 triggered a stunning collapse.
Back Seattle Orcas as the winners of this game.
| Tournament: | Major League Cricket, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Oakland Coliseum, United States, United States |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 16.7°C|Partly cloudy |
WAF vs SOR Match Prediction & Analysis
Washington Freedom square off against Seattle Orcas in Match 9 of Major League Cricket 2026 at the high-scoring Oakland Coliseum. This encounter follows hot on the heels of their previous clash, giving it a thrilling back-to-back rivalry flavor. Currently, Washington Freedom occupy third place on the points table with one win and one loss from two games, while Seattle Orcas trail in fifth position after picking up one win and two losses from three matches. With both teams locked on two points, this game is a crucial opportunity to break away and climb up the ladder.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
WAF
W
L
L
W
W
WAF
219/5 in 17.4 12.4
216/10 in 20.0 10.8
113/4 in 15.0 7.53
112/8 in 18.0 6.22
SOR
L
W
L
L
L
SOR
219/5 in 17.4 12.4
216/10 in 20.0 10.8
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 4 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Washington Freedom Preview
Washington Freedom bounced back in their previous outing, securing a 30-run win over MI New York, successfully defending a massive score of 245. Washington hold onto third place overall in the standings with one win, one loss, and a net run rate of 0.003.
The batting department has shown astonishing explosive power, led by a sensational tournament run from Mitchell Owen. Owen has plundered 216 runs in just two innings at an average of 108.00 and a jaw-dropping strike rate of 232.25, including a masterclass knock of 155. Mark Chapman has provided exceptional support with 80 runs at a strike rate of 222.22, while the steady Steven Smith guides the top order. Over a larger stretch, Andries Gous remains a key threat, carrying a recent average of 35.00.
Their bowling unit has leaked runs. Ian Holland has been their most disciplined asset, picking up 3 wickets at an impressive average of 13.00 and an economy of 6.88. Saurabh Netravalkar has picked up 3 wickets as well, while the legendary Glenn Maxwell has claimed 2 scalps. Maxwell also brings exceptional class over a wider sample size, boasting 11 wickets in his last seven T20 matches.
Washington Freedom Predicted Playing XI:
Steven Smith (C), Andries Gous (WK), Mark Chapman, Glenn Maxwell, Jack Edwards, Obus Pienaar, Ian Holland, Mitchell Owen, Marco Jansen, Saurabh Netravalkar, Asif Mehmood
Washington Freedom Key Players From Previous Game Of Major League Cricket, 2026
Washington Freedom Actual Playing XI:
Mitchell Owen, Obus Pienaar, Glenn Maxwell, Mark Chapman, Amila Aponso, Andries Gous, Jack Edwards, Ian Holland, Saurabh Netravalkar, Steven Smith, Marco Jansen
Seattle Orcas Preview
Seattle Orcas have been involved in three of the tournament's highest-scoring contests. They posted 220/2 against Texas Super Kings, only for Faf du Plessis' 113 to chase it down. They then chased down 216 against the Freedom with 14 balls to spare, powered by Tim Seifert's 78 and Matthew Breetzke's 66. Their only defeat since came against Los Angeles Knight Riders, where they were bowled out for 115 while chasing 197.
The Orcas' batting unit looks menacing when their key stroke-makers hit their stride. Wicketkeeper-batsman Tim Seifert has been in sublime touch, amassing 187 runs at an average of 62.33 and a striking rate of 178.09, which includes a brilliant century (104). Shayan Jahangir has contributed 107 runs at an average of 35.66, while Matthew Breetzke has smashed 80 runs. Additionally, dynamic finisher Shimron Hetmyer remains a dangerous player to watch, averaging a massive 56.33 across his last ten T20 appearances.
The bowling department relies heavily on high pace and clever variations. South African seamer Ottneil Baartman has been their primary strike weapon, picking up 8 wickets at an outstanding average of 13.62. Jasdeep Singh has provided stellar support with 6 wickets at an average of 17.66, while Dasun Shanaka has added 5 scalps to the tally.
Seattle Orcas Predicted Playing XI:
Tim Seifert (WK), Shayan Jahangir, Shimron Hetmyer, Marcus Stoinis (C), Matthew Breetzke, Dasun Shanaka, Harmeet Singh, Ali Sheikh, Cameron Gannon, Jasdeep Singh, Ottniel Baartman
Seattle Orcas Key Players From Previous Game Of Major League Cricket, 2026
Seattle Orcas Actual Playing XI:
Harmeet Singh, Cameron Gannon, Shimron Hetmyer, Jasdeep Singh, Shayan Jahangir, Ali Sheikh, Dasun Shanaka, Tim Seifert, Matthew Breetzke, Marcus Stoinis, Ottneil Baartman
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The forecast for Oakland on Friday evening is for clear skies with a temperature of 16-18°C, humidity at 72% and light winds. There is no chance of rain, and a full 20-over contest is expected. The evening conditions are ideal for high-scoring cricket.
WAF vs SOR Pitch Report
The Oakland Coliseum has generally been a high-scoring venue in Major League Cricket, with the average first-innings score standing at 194 across nine domestic T20 matches. The trend has continued in recent games as well, with the last five first-innings totals reading 200, 208, 153, 182, and 181, producing an average of 185. Teams batting first have enjoyed greater success here, winning six of the nine matches played at the venue.
The surface has typically rewarded aggressive strokeplay, particularly once batters get through the new-ball phase. Four of the nine completed innings have produced scores above 190, while the highest total remains San Francisco Unicorns' massive 269/5. The death overs have often been the difference-maker, with teams regularly accelerating after the 15th over. That said, the venue has also shown some inconsistency, as reflected by Seattle Orcas' collapse to just 60 all out. A first-innings score of around 190 should once again be viewed as a competitive total.
Toss: To Bat
Out of the 9 domestic T20 matches played at the Oakland Coliseum, the team batting first has won 6 times compared to just 3 wins for the chasing side. Given the historical advantage of scoreboard pressure on this high-scoring ground, the captain winning the toss will heavily lean toward batting first.
WAF vs SOR
Winning Prediction
The Freedom have the most destructive batting lineup in the tournament, but their bowling has been a liability. They have conceded 215 and 216 in their two completed matches, which is something they need to sort. The Orcas have the firepower to chase down anything, as they have already chased down 216 against the Freedom and nearly chased down 221 against Texas. Ottneil Baartman's 4/33 in the last meeting was the difference, and the Freedom will need to find a way to counter him.
At the Oakland Coliseum, where the average score is 193, and the pitch favours batting, the team with the deeper batting lineup and the more effective bowling attack will prevail. Washington have the depth to make tactical adjustments. We are backing Washington Freedom's bowling unit to pull things back slightly and secure a close victory.
Back Seattle Orcas as the winners of this game.
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