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CLAIM NOWArsenal Host Newcastle in Top-Four Battle
We predict a Draw (1-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Emirates Stadium
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In a crucial battle for Champions League qualification and second place, Arsenal welcomes Newcastle United to the Emirates. A win for either side would guarantee a spot in Europe's elite competition next season, with Arsenal currently holding a slender two-point lead over the Magpies.
However, the Gunners recent form has dipped with five games without a win, while Newcastle, despite a Carabao Cup triumph securing European football, are aiming for a coveted Champions League return. A victory for Newcastle would see them leapfrog Arsenal, making this encounter a high-stakes affair with significant implications for the Premier League's top four.
Head to Head Record - Across 41 past encounters, Arsenal have a strong historical advantage with a 66% win rate. However, they've struggled against Newcastle this season, failing to win in three meetings.
Arsenal's recent form has been concerning, with no wins in their last five matches across all competitions, including a Champions League semi-final exit to PSG. In the Premier League, they've drawn two and lost one of their last three, including a home defeat to Bournemouth, their second home league loss in six games.
Arsenal are currently on a three-game winless streak at the Emirates in the league. While a draw against champions Liverpool in their last outing showed resilience, Mikel Arteta was critical of their first-half performance, highlighting their inconsistency as they aim to secure a Champions League spot for next season.
Arsenal face injury concerns with Declan Rice (hamstring) a late decision after missing the Liverpool draw. Jurrien Timber, Leandro Trossard, and Gabriel Martinelli are also doubts, but all three participated in midweek training. Mikel Merino is suspended. However, Kai Havertz has recovered and is available. Gabriel, Takehiro Tomiyasu, and Gabriel Jesus remain sidelined.
Arsenal Probable Starting Lineup - Raya; Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Partey, Zinchenko; Saka, Martinelli, Nwaneri
Newcastle United are finishing the season strongly, having won seven of their last nine matches, including a recent 2-0 home victory over Chelsea. Their away form has been more inconsistent, with only two wins in their last six on the road, although both of their last two away games saw both teams score.
Notably, Newcastle have a strong recent record against Arsenal, having won all three of their encounters this season without conceding a goal. A win at the Emirates would secure their Champions League spot and potentially second place. With their attack firing, having scored in 11 consecutive matches, Newcastle will be aiming to make history by becoming the first team to beat Arsenal four times in a single campaign.
Newcastle have defensive worries with Botman (knee) a doubt after being subbed against Chelsea, and Trippier (calf) ruled out. Willock (thigh) has a slight chance of playing. Newcastle will rely on Isak and Gordon, who have both scored twice against Arsenal this season. Lascelles and Krafth are potential defensive replacements. Joelinton, Hall, and Targett remain sidelined.
Newcastle United Probable Starting Lineup - Pope (GK); Krafth, Schar, Burn; Murphy, Tonali, Guimaraes, Livramento; Barnes, Gordon; Isak
Given Arsenal's injury concerns and poor recent form, even at home, they aren't clear favorites. Newcastle also have defensive issues and inconsistent away results. Therefore, a draw seems the most likely outcome, with both teams finding the net as Arsenal cling to second place.
We predict a Draw (1-1)
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