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Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Villa Park, Birmingham

Can Villa Tame the Foxes on Home Turf?

  • On average, Aston Villa score 1.85 goals per game at home, while Leicester City score 1.36 goals per game away.
  • On average, there are 2 goals scored in the first half when Aston Villa and Leicester City play each other.
  • The last three matches between Leicester and Villa have seen over 2.5 goals scored.

Aston Villa to Win (3-1)

Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham

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Aston Villa faces a pivotal clash against Leicester City this Saturday in Premier League matchweek 20. For Villa, it's a chance to halt their recent slide, having dropped points in a 2-2 draw with Brighton and suffered a 3-0 thrashing by Newcastle. On the other side, Leicester, rooted at the bottom, are fighting for survival, desperate to end a dismal run of four straight defeats, including a 2-0 loss to Manchester City to close out 2024. Both teams will come out swinging at Villa Park on Saturday, each desperate to claim those invaluable three points.

Current Standings: With 29 points (8 wins, 5 draws & 6 losses), Villa is currently placed 9th in the league standings, while Leicester City is placed 19th with 14 points (3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats).

Head-to-Head Record: In 29 matches that have been played between the teams, Leicester City holds an advantage in this rivalry with an 11-8 win record.

Aston Villa FC Preview

The 2-2 draw against Brighton felt like a golden opportunity slipping through Villans’  fingers—a chance to secure three crucial points that went begging. Aston Villa dominated for much of the game, firing 19 shots—matching their season-high—and squandering key chances, including Ollie Watkins' late opportunity. However, Monday night highlighted a concerning tactical shift, which led to their downfall.  After Brighton's triple substitution on the hour, Villa’s back line retreated nervously while the forwards pressed high, leaving dangerous gaps between the lines that invited pressure. 

Though the year didn’t end as hoped, Unai Emery’s side aims to kick off the new year with confidence. Facing Leicester at home, they’ll bank on their solid record—19 points from 10 games (5W, 4D, 1L)—bettered only by Liverpool, Brentford, and Arsenal.

Aston Villa face suspension woes ahead of their clash with Leicester, as Jhon Duran remains banned for two more matches after his Boxing Day incident with Fabian Schar. Adding to their troubles, Monday’s goalscorer Rogers is suspended after collecting his fifth yellow card of the season. To compound matters, Pau Torres suffered a worrying foot injury, forcing Diego Carlos to find a new defensive partner—likely Tyrone Mings.

Stats that matter

1. The Villans have conceded the highest number of goals (31) for a team in the top 10 this season.
2. Villa have seen eight of their last 10 games produce over 2.5 goals.
3. Ollie Watkins  is Aston Villa’s top scorer with 8 goals.
4. They score 21% of their goals in the period of 32-45.

Aston Villa Probable XI - Martinez; Konsa, Carlos, Mings, Digne; Kamara, Tielemans; Bailey, McGinn, Ramsey; Watkins

Leicester City Preview

Leicester City faced a daunting last couple of matches as they went up against Liverpool and Manchester City, suffering defeats as expected. However, there were glimmers of hope in their spirited performances. If Ruud van Nistelrooy can harness that fighting spirit, the Foxes might turn a corner in their season.

Leicester delivered their best performance under Ruud van Nistelrooy, showcasing a style more Enzo Maresca than Steve Cooper. Completing 561 passes with 90.8% accuracy—season highs—the Foxes combined bravery in possession with incisive midfield play that tore through Man City, especially in the first half. Van Nistelrooy's box midfield setup allowed Harry Winks and Boubakary Soumare to dominate at the base, seamlessly feeding Bilal El Khannouss and Facundo Buonanotte between the lines. A display of progressive football that signals exciting times ahead.

Aston Villa face suspension woes ahead of their clash with Leicester, as Jhon Duran remains banned for two more matches after his Boxing Day incident with Fabian Schar. Adding to their troubles, Monday’s goalscorer Rogers is suspended after collecting his fifth yellow card of the season. To compound matters, Pau Torres suffered a worrying foot injury, forcing Diego Carlos to find a new defensive partner—likely Tyrone Mings.

Stats that matter

1. The Foxes are tied with the Wolves in conceding  the highest number of goals (42) in the Premier League  this season.
2. They have conceded 10 goals in the last three games.
3. They conceded in each of their last 12 matches.
4. Away from home, Leicester have managed only 5 points with just one win.
5. The Foxes have been on a four match winless streak away from home. 

Leicester City Probable XI - Stolarczyk; Justin, Coady, Vestergaard, Kristiansen; Soumare, Winks, Buonanotte, El Khannouss, Ayew; Vardy

Aston Villa will be frustrated by their recent home result, but their home form this season remains solid. Unbeaten at Villa Park since August, they will be aiming for a league double after their 2-1 win at Leicester earlier this season. However, Leicester will be buoyed by their strong away record at Villa Park, having won three of the last four visits, including a memorable 4-2 victory last time out.

This clash promises excitement, regardless of the stats. Villa's strong home record is up against a Leicester side showing signs of improvement. Meanwhile, Aston Villa are overwhelming favorites to win the match, with odds of 1.33 against Leicester's 8.60 and odds of 5.50 for a draw. Meanwhile, an xG of 3 is predicted.

Aston Villa to Win (3-1)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy