Everton FC vs Chelsea FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Everton FC vs Chelsea FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Two sides carrying visible wounds arrive at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday, and yet the occasion itself demands something from both. Beyond the injuries and the patchy form, this fixture carries genuine mid-table consequences, with three points potentially separating the clubs, and that pressure alone should produce a fiercely contested afternoon. 

Ndiaye carries 5 goals and 3 assists across 23 league appearances this season, averaging a FotMob rating of 7.29, and against a Chelsea backline missing Colwill and James, his ability to receive under pressure and drive at defenders from wide areas gives Everton their clearest route to goal on Saturday. 

Cole Palmer: Palmer has scored 9 goals and registered 1 assist in just 1,336 league minutes this season, averaging a FotMob rating of 7.21, and with a fourth Premier League hat-trick already to his name this season, all three coming in the first half against Wolves in February, he remains Chelsea's most decisive individual and the player Everton must contain above all others.

Current Standings: Chelsea sit 6th on 48 points, while Everton occupy 8th on 43 points, just five points and two places separating the sides heading into Saturday's clash.

Head-to-Head Stats: Across 64 all-time meetings, Chelsea hold a commanding record with 32 wins against Everton's 12, while 20 matches have ended level, both sides averaging 2.48 goals per contest.

TEAMS PREVIEW

Everton FC Preview

Everton go into Saturday's home game against Chelsea sitting 8th in the Premier League table with 43 points from 30 matches, and their scoring output this season has been moderate at best, averaging just 1.13 goals per game in the league. 

Defensively, they have conceded at a rate of 1.52 goals per match across the campaign, a number that will concern David Moyes given they face a Chelsea side still carrying significant attacking quality despite their own recent wobble.

Looking at their last five games across all competitions, Everton scored 8 goals, a deceptively strong return that includes a fine 3-2 win at Newcastle and a 2-0 home victory over Burnley, yet conceded 6 in that same stretch, including a 2-0 defeat at Arsenal last weekend and a 2-1 loss to Bournemouth, which highlights a persistent defensive fragility at either end of their recent form. 

Their season-long league performance reflects exactly that inconsistency; 12 wins, 11 losses, and 7 draws tell the story of a side capable of beating good teams on their day, as their win at Newcastle showed, but one that drops points too often against teams they should be getting something from.

On the team news front, Everton arrive into this game with genuine injury concerns. James Tarkowski and Myles Branthwaite are both doubtful with knocks, robbing them of two of their most experienced centre-backs ahead of a game where defensive solidity will be at a premium. 

Everton (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford - James Garner, Jake O'Brien, Michael Keane, Vitaliy Mykolenko - Idrissa Gana Gueye, Tim Iroegbunam - Dwight McNeil, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Iliman Ndiaye - Beto.

Chelsea FC Preview

Chelsea travel to Hill Dickinson Stadium sitting 6th in the Premier League with 48 points from 30 games, and their attacking numbers this season reflect a side that scores with reasonable regularity, averaging 1.63 goals per game in the league, yet their defensive record tells a more troubling story, with 1.53 goals conceded per match pointing to a backline that has leaked far too often for a club with top-four ambitions.

Their last five games across all competitions produced just 9 goals scored against a steep 13 conceded, a run that includes a 5-2 hammering by PSG, a 0-3 home loss to PSG again, and a 0-1 defeat to Newcastle last Saturday. Though positive results against Wrexham (4-2) and Aston Villa (4-1) show the firepower still exists when things click.

Across the full league campaign, 13 wins, 8 losses, and 9 draws confirm they remain a side that drop too many winnable points, even as they carry enough quality to beat anyone on their day.

Team news, however, hands Liam Rosenior a significant selection headache. Badiashile is doubtful through illness, further weakening a central defensive unit already stretched by Levi Colwill's season-ending cruciate ligament injury (late April return at the earliest) and Reece James, out until mid-April with a hamstring problem. 

Malo Gusto's ankle injury rules him out until a similar timeframe, while Jamie Gittens misses out with a hamstring issue expected to keep him sidelined until late March. Mykhaylo Mudryk serves a suspension and plays no part, and Filip Jörgensen remains out until early April with a groin injury, leaving the squad threadbare in several key positions simultaneously. 

Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Robert Sánchez - Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Jorrel Hato, Marc Cucurella - Andrey Santos, Moisés Caicedo - Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernández, Alejandro Garnacho - João Pedro.

EVERTON FC vs CHELSEA FC
Winning Prediction

Chelsea arrive at Hill Dickinson on the back of three straight defeats yet still carry the stronger hand on paper, and their second-best away record in the league, seven wins, four draws, four losses, gives them a distinct edge over an Everton side that have won just once in their last eight home matches across all competitions. 

Furthermore, under 2.5 goals has occurred in eight of the last ten meetings between these two sides, which shapes the expected tempo considerably. 

Chelsea to win (2-1)

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