Everton FC vs Sunderland, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Everton FC vs Sunderland Match Prediction & Analysis

Everton host Sunderland on Sunday (7:30 PM IST) for their final home game of the season, with pride and momentum still on the line despite little at stake in the standings. A victory could move the Toffees closer to their first top-10 Premier League finish since 2020-21, while also ending a frustrating five-match winless run. 

Sunderland, meanwhile, arrive with confidence after earning an impressive away draw against Manchester United and will be eager to finish their campaign on a positive note.

Current Standings: Just a point separates 10th-placed Everton (49 points) from 12th-placed Sunderland in the league standings after 36 rounds. 

Head-to-Head Record: Everton hold the upper hand in this fixture, boasting 17 wins from 33 meetings, while Sunderland have managed just 9 victories and 7 draws. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Everton FC Preview

Everton’s hopes of European qualification took a setback in MD36 after a 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace. The Toffees led twice through James Tarkowski’s early strike and another from Beto, but failed to hold on, extending their recent run of dropped points from winning positions to three games. 

David Moyes may look back on these results with frustration, yet he would be the first to admit that his side was second best on the night against the Eagles, finishing with the lower xG and creating fewer chances throughout the game. 

Meanwhile, there is still a glimmer of hope for the Toffees, with eighth place potentially enough to secure European football depending on the outcomes of this season’s continental competitions and the FA Cup final between Manchester City and Chelsea. And currently they sit just two points behind eighth-placed Brentford. 

Stats that matter

1. The Toffees have registered only one win in the last seven games in all competitions.
2. Everton have lost their final home league match only once in the last ten seasons (W8 D1).
3. The Toffees have gone without a win in the last five games in the league, which is the longest they have gone without a win this season. 

Team News

Idrissa Gueye remains Everton’s only notable injury concern ahead of the Sunderland clash, with the midfielder still facing a late fitness test after missing the last two matches.

Everton Probable XI - Pickford (GK); O'Brien, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko, Garner, Iroegbunam, McNeil, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye, Barry. 

Sunderland Preview

Like Everton, Sunderland also remain in the mix for an outside shot at European qualification, provided they can find wins in their final two fixtures. However, form has been a concern, with the Black Cats winless in their last four games, including heavy defeats to Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, and a stalemate against Wolves.

However, their recent trip to Manchester United offered encouragement, as they held their own defensively, limiting United to just one shot on target (xG 0.62) while registering four themselves and finishing with a higher xG (1.25). 

With their Premier League return already a success story, Sunderland will now look to finish strongly and will quietly fancy their chances against struggling Everton and an unpredictable Chelsea.

Stats that matter 

1. Sunderland have lost their final away league game in six of their last nine seasons.
2. The Black Cats have registered four goalless draws this season in the league, which is third highest they have managed, having achieved more in 2024-15 and 2011-12.
3. Only three other sides have kept more clean sheets than Sunderland this season in the league (11). 

Team News 

A major setback for the Black Cats sees centre-back Daniel Ballard ruled out for the remainder of the season due to a violent conduct suspension. On the brighter side, there are no fresh injury concerns apart from a few long-term absentees.

Sunderland Probable XI - Roefs (GK); Mukiele, Ballard, Alderete, Hume, Xhaka, Sadiki, Rigg, Diarra, Le Fee, Brobbey.  

EVERTON FC vs SUNDERLAND
Winning Prediction

Sunderland will take confidence into this fixture not only from their spirited display against Manchester United, but also from the fact that they are unbeaten in their last five away league games. While the Black Cats have lost eight of their previous ten visits to Everton, those meetings came at a different venue. 

Interestingly, both encounters between the sides this season across different competitions ended on level terms, and another closely fought draw could well be on the cards on Sunday.

Meanwhile, the bookmakers favour Everton to come out on top, with the Toffees priced at 1.82 for a win, while Sunderland are outsiders at 4.20 and the draw stands at 3.70. 

We predict a draw (1-1)

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