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Leeds United vs Chelsea FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Elland Road

Leeds Face Uphill Battle Against High-Flying Chelsea

  • Leeds United are winless in their last six meetings with Chelsea in all competitions.
  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in eight of Leeds's last nine Premier League games.
  • Chelsea's lowest win rate in away games (among teams they have faced at least 15 times) is against Leeds United (14%).

Chelsea to win (3-1)

Tournament: English Premier League 2025-26 | Venue: Elland Road

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Leeds United have a tough task as the 18th-place side takes on third-place Chelsea. Struggling at the back (25 goals conceded in 13 games) and with a low average SofaScore rating of 6.66, Leeds must find a way to contain Chelsea's superior attack (1.8 goals per game) if they want to get something from the game.

Current Standings: Leeds United find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 18th in the league table with just 11 points from 13 games. In contrast, Chelsea are doing well, positioned 3rd with a much healthier 24 points. The gap shows how differently their seasons have gone.

Head-To-Head stats: Over the years, Leeds United have had a slight overall advantage over Chelsea. Across 109 meetings in all competitions, Leeds have won 40 matches, Chelsea 39, and they have drawn 30 times. However, Chelsea have been stronger in recent games, remaining unbeaten in their last seven Premier League clashes. 

Leeds United Preview

Leeds United head into their upcoming clash against Chelsea seeking a response after a mixed start to the season. Currently positioned in the lower half of the Premier League table in 18th position with 11 points, the team has shown promise going forward but remains vulnerable defensively.

Across 13 matches, Leeds have scored 13 goals and conceded 25, averaging 1.0 goal per game with a rating of 6.66. They’ve managed 3.6 shots on target and 2.2 big chances per game, but wastefulness remains an issue with 1.5 big chances missed.

Possession sits at 47.5%, while their passing accuracy is respectable at 82.1% from 345.8 passes per match, although long ball accuracy drops to 46.5%. With just four assists so far, Leeds need more creativity and composure in the final third. Facing a sharper Chelsea attack, tightening their defensive shape will be crucial to getting a result. 

Leeds United's possible starting lineup (3-5-2): Perri; Rodon, Struijk, Bijol; Bogle, Gruev, Ampadu, Tanaka, Gudmundsson; Calvert-Lewin, Nmecha 

Chelsea FC Preview

Chelsea head into their next Premier League encounter against Leeds United sitting 3rd in the table with 24 points from 13 matches. Their season has mostly shown attacking efficiency and defensive discipline. They have scored 24 goals and conceded only 12, nearly double Leeds’ scoring rate while allowing less than half the goals.

Averaging 1.8 goals per game, Chelsea also manage around 5.5 shots on target and 3.1 big chances created each match, which makes them dangerous in the final third. Their average Sofascore rating stands at 6.91, slightly higher than Leeds.

They usually keep more of the ball at 57.8% possession, supported by 442.7 accurate passes per game at an 86.3% success rate. Even the Blues' long-ball accuracy of 50.7% shows they are willing to play forward. With 18 assists already this season, Chelsea enter the match as favourites and will likely try to control the game early with their usual style. 

Chelsea's possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; Gusto, Adarabioyo, Chalobah, Cucurella; Santos, Fernandez; Estevao, Pedro, Neto; Delap 

Leeds showed spirit against Manchester City, but their defensive issues remain. With Chelsea rotating fresh attackers under Maresca, the visitors look stronger and should edge the game despite Leeds’ effort. 

Chelsea to win (3-1)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy