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Manchester United FC vs Newcastle United, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Old Trafford, Manchester

Magpies Aiming to Outshine United

  • On average, Manchester United scores 2.15 goals per game at home, while Newcastle United scores 1.76 goals per game away.
  • Matches involving Manchester United and Newcastle United typically produce an average of 2.6 goals
  • More than 2.5 goals have been scored in six of Newcastle United's last eight league matches.

Newcastle United to Win (1-3)

Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester

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Manchester United were taken over by Ineos to bring back glory days at the club. Amorim was appointed to restore belief and the brand. But things are negatively affecting Manchester United, especially after Wolves inflicted a defeat on them at the Molineux. Fernandes lacks accountability for a captain - now being given marching orders for the third time this season. His red card dictated the narrative of the game. Amorim has a mountain to climb with this squad. 

United are only 8 points above the relegation zone. Amorim’s successor at Sporting Lisbon, Pereira has already been given the boot one month into his stint. This will surely prove worrisome for Amorim - knowing this has been one of the worst ever season’s in club history. After welcoming Newcastle, the Red Devils take on Liverpool in what may make or break this Manchester United team. 

Newcastle along with Liverpool have picked up the gears and are a class apart from the rest of the Premier League teams. Alexander Isak has been leading from the front and the Magpies have risen to 5th position on the table. Goals have been coming and will continue even against Manchester United’s 3 man defence. Eddie Howe has built an astute team with sharp mindsets and impeccable attacking know-how. It could be argued that he is simply the best manager that there is in England. 

When tested against Unai Emery’s team, the Magpies scored in the first 80 seconds. Anthony Gordon along with Murphy has been a delight to watch. The Magpies have only domestic duties to attend to, unlike last season where they had Europe to factor in. If things continue this way, they’ll be guaranteed a Champions League spot with the season only halfway through. St.James’ Park will gladly welcome those nights. 

Head to Head Record - Both teams have played each other 58 times. Newcastle have won 9, Man United have won 33, with 16 draws being played out. Newcastle has scored 60 goals against Man United. The Red Devils have scored 116 against Newcastle. 

Current Standings - Newcastle currently sit in 7th with 29 points. United are in 14th with 35 points. 

Manchester United FC Preview

Man United have a great track record against Newcastle having lost just once in 39 home league games - winning 28 and drawing 10. But this Newcastle team is beastly in its build up. The Reds Devils will go into this game knowing that they are going to suffer. Ruben Amorim’s men have lost 4 games since the start of December. That is more than any other team in the Premier League. The Red Devils have now consecutively lost games at Old Trafford. First was a drubbing by Nottingham Forest. Then Bournemouth followed with a steely display. The likelihood of United dropping points here is high, with belief and confidence hitting new lows. The club has not lost 3 consecutive league games at Old Trafford since 45 years. 

Problems to be solved

There are insurmountable issues surrounding the club right from the pitch to the presentation rooms. With the January transfer window soon to be opening -  questions regarding Marcus Rashford’s position will be raised. The forward has not featured in any of United’s recent games. The player who scored the first goal of Amorim’s United career has a lot of sorting out to do - since Man United was his childhood club. Garnacho has been given limited game time because of the new system. 

Onana has been a good purchase except for occasional blips which prove the team costly. Fernandes has contributed, but only in doses. The captain will be suspended for one game, after having picked up two yellow cards. Diallo has been the only standout player in United’s squad, running at defenders and giving his back three sufficient protection. 

Stats That Matter

Manchester United are ranked 7th in ball possession with 53.7% averaging 13.4 shots per game. The Red Devils score an average of 1.17 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 37%. Marcus Rashford and Bruno Fernandes are the top scorers with 4 goals each this season. The team has an average of 2.5 saves per game, the 17th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.33 goals per match.

Injury - Shaw, Mount and Lindelof are all out injured. 

Man United probable XI - Onana (GK), Maguire, Yoro, Martinez (DEF), Mazraoui, Dalot, Mainoo, Ugarte, Diallo, Garnacho (MID), Hojlund (FWD). 

Newcastle United Preview

The Magpies overall have not that good a track record. But with recent form it’s hard not picking Newcastle as favourites in this fixture. The club from the North East struggles to end the year on a good note. They’ve not won any of the final calendar year games in 7 years - drawing 5 and losing 2. Eddie Howe’s men have been rampant, scoring plenty and conceding none. From Newcastle’s last three games itself - they’ve scored 11 and kept clean sheets. The Magpies are a very difficult team to play with a very good manager who has a high understanding of the game. 

Players to watch out for

Anthony Gordon was sublime against Aston Villa curling a finish in the first 80 seconds. The young Englishman will look to threaten a disjointed United side. Last season, Gordon scored both in home and away fixtures against Ten Hag’s team. If he scores again, he will become the first Newcastle player to do so. His attacking ally, Isak scored in his previous 5 Premier League outings. 

Only Joe Willock has scored six in a row. Only Alan Shearer has netted more in a calendar year than Alexander Isak for the Magpies. Isak will look at adding a few more to his tally of 24 goals this calendar year against United and try equally or surpassing Shearer’s numbers. 

Stats That Matter

Newcastle United  are ranked 10th in ball possession with 50.6% averaging 14.2 shots per game. The Magpies score an average of 1.67 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 33%. Alexander Isak is the top scorer with 11 goals. Harvey Barnes has also scored 5 goals this season. The team has an average of 3.2 saves per game, the 8th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.17 goals per match.

Injury - Lascelles, Krafth, Wilson, Pope and Livramento are out injured. 

Newcastle probable XI - Dubravka (GK), Trippier, Burn, Hall, Schar (DEF), Guimaraes, Tonali, Joelinton (MID), Gordon, Isak, Murphy (FWD). 

Newcastle fans must be loving the way Gordon, Isak and Murphy combine with each other to find the back of the net. Tonali and Guimaraes have been equally clinical in finding passes. Dubravka has stepped in and done his job with Pope out injured. Man United only have Amad Diallo who does all the heavy lifting. Newcastle are a more complete team, with every piece properly fitting the puzzle. The Magpies have been impressive over the festive period and they can get one better if they beat United at the Theatre of Dreams. 

Newcastle United to Win (1-3)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy