Bangladesh vs New Zealand, BAN vs NZ 2026, Today Match Prediction

BAN vs NZ Match Prediction & Analysis

Bangladesh beat Pakistan 2-1 in the recently concluded ODI series at home. All the matches were played at the Shere Bangla Stadium in Dhaka, the same venue where they lost two in a row to New Zealand back in 2023.

An in-form bowling attack couple with great bowling conditions at the venue make a perfect recipe for a comeback. Can Mehidy Hasan Miraz lead the attack on a Kiwi batting order that’s missing their star players like Rachin Ravindra, Kane Williamson, and Devon Conway?

Or will the newfound NZ talent Muhammad Abbas put Bangladesh on the back foot with his aggressive brand of cricket? He’s got the support of experienced players like Henry Nicholls and skipper Tom Latham. New Zealand’s bowling attack also looks completely different from their previous tour.

Michael Bracewell is a huge miss. Ben Sears and Blaire Tickner must lead the attack against a quality batting lineup that features Litton Das, Soumya Sarkar, and the in-form Tanzid Hasan. The hosts look stronger on paper, with an in-form, more experienced squad overall.

RECENT PERFORMANCE

BAN

W L W W W

BAN

290/5 in 50.0 5.8

BAN vs PAK 2026

Bangladesh beat Pakistan by 11 runs 15 Mar 2026

PAK

279/10 in 50.0 5.58

BAN

114/10 in 23.3 4.85

BAN vs PAK 2026

Pakistan beat Bangladesh by 128 runs (D/L) method 13 Mar 2026

PAK

274/10 in 47.3 5.77

BAN

115/2 in 15.1 7.58

BAN vs PAK 2026

Bangladesh beat Pakistan by 8 wickets 11 Mar 2026

PAK

114/10 in 30.4 3.72

BAN

296/8 in 50.0 5.92

BAN vs WI 2025

Bangladesh beat West Indies by 179 runs 23 Oct 2025

WI

117/10 in 30.1 3.88

BAN

207/10 in 49.4 4.17

BAN vs WI 2025

Bangladesh beat West Indies by 74 runs 18 Oct 2025

WI

133/10 in 39.0 3.41

NZ

W W L W W

IND

296/10 in 46.0 6.43

NZ vs IND 2026

New Zealand won by 41 runs 18 Jan 2026

NZ

337/8 in 50.0 6.74

IND

284/7 in 50.0 5.68

NZ vs IND 2026

New Zealand won by 7 wickets 14 Jan 2026

NZ

286/3 in 47.3 6.02

IND

306/6 in 49.0 6.24

NZ vs IND 2026

India beat New Zealand by 4 wickets 11 Jan 2026

NZ

300/8 in 50.0 6

NZ

162/6 in 30.3 5.31

NZ vs WI

New Zealand beat West Indies by 4 wickets 22 Nov 2025

WI

161/10 in 36.2 4.43

NZ

248/5 in 33.3 7.4

NZ vs WI

New Zealand beat West Indies by 5 wickets (D/L) method 19 Nov 2025

WI

247/9 in 34.0 7.26

HEAD TO HEAD

TEAMS PREVIEW

Bangladesh Preview

A 2-1 win over Pakistan in the home series played in Dhaka will boost their confidence as they look to end New Zealand’s dominance. In the head-to-head encounters since 2021, Bangladesh have won just one match and lost 8.

That win came at McLean Park on their tour of New Zealand, after they bowled out the hosts for 98 runs. Shoriful Islam was one of the key performers in the bowling attack in that win. He will be one to watch out for in the opening game of this series.

Taskin Ahmed and Nahid Rana will lead the pace attack for Bangladesh. The two were quite impressive against Pakistan in the recent ODI series. Rana was exceptional in delivering early breakthroughs and will be expected to go after the New Zealand top order in this game.

Mustafizur Rahman is also a frontrunner to be Bangladesh's top bowler, with odds of 2.50 at 4rabet. However, we reckon Taskin Ahmed or Shoriful Islam are better picks at 2.75 and 2.60, respectively. 

The captain, Mehidy Hasan Miraz, is the most economical bowler in the mix and will play a key role in creating pressure on the batters at the crease. The batting lineup looks solid with in-form batter Tanzid Hasan at the top, followed by Najmul Hossain Shanto and Liton Das in the middle order.

There is depth in this batting lineup, with experienced players like Soumya Sarkar and Towhid Hridoy coming in at 5 and 6. We expect some major partnerships in the middle order that will put Bangladesh on track to a big total.

Interesting Stats

Opening batter Tanzid Hasan scored a hundred and a fifty in the recent Pakistan series

Bangladesh had a 105-run opening stand in the last game while scoring 82 runs for the second wicket in the 1st ODI against Pakistan

Tanzid Hasan and Nahid Rana were awarded the player of the series

Bangladesh Predicted Playing XI:

Saif Hassan, Tanzid Hasan Tamim, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das (wk), Towhid Hridoy, Afif Hossain, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (c), Rishad Hossain, Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, Nahid Rana

Bangladesh Actual Playing XI:

Saif Hassan, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das, Towhid Hridoy, Afif Hossain, Mehidy Hasan Miraz, Taskin Ahmed, Tanzid Hasan, Rishad Hossain, Shoriful Islam, Nahid Rana

New Zealand Preview

The Blackcaps are fielding a new-look side on this tour. Many of the players who helped them win their 2-0 series against Bangladesh in 2023 are missing from the squad. Led by Tom Latham, NZ has retained a few players from that squad, including William O'Rourke and Will Young.

Can New Zealand still continue their dominance against Bangladesh without Williamson, Conway, and Glenn Phillips in the batting department? They are missing a lot in the bowling department as well. There is no Mitchell Santner, Kyle Jamieson, or Matt Henry.

Michael Bracewell was a very handy all-rounder, who is also not part of this squad. As such, a lot depends on Tom Latham, Will Young, and Henry Nicholls in the batting lineup. These three must come good to get New Zealand to a competitive total.

Batting all-rounder Muhammad Abbas is a rising talent to watch out for in this batting lineup. The right-hand batter debuted against Pakistan at home and scored 52 off 26 balls at number 6. Nick Kelly is another key player for New Zealand in the middle order.

In the bowling department, Ben Sears, Ben Lister, and Blair Tickner are all promising names. Sears has picked up 10 wickets in 4 ODIs and will be high in the running to be the team's top bowler at 2.55 odds with 4rabet. Right-arm legbreak bowler Aditya Ashok is another up-and-coming player with just 2 wickets to his name from 3 ODIs so far.

Interesting Stats

New Zealand have played 22 ODIs since 2025 and lost only 4. Three of these losses came against India.

William O’Rourke picked up 5 wickets against Bangladesh in the home series

New Zealand Predicted Playing XI:

Will Young, Henry Nicholls, Tom Latham (c & wk), Dane Cleaver, Muhammad Abbas, Josh Clarkson, Nathan Smith, William O’Rourke, Ben Sears, Aditya Ashok, Blair Tickner

New Zealand Actual Playing XI:

Henry Nicholls, Will Young, Muhammad Arslan Abbas, William O'Rourke, Josh Clarkson, Nick Kelly, Dean Foxcroft, Nathan Smith, Tom Latham, Jayden Lennox, Blair Tickner

PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS

Weather Conditions

It will be partly sunny early in the morning and will get clear as the day progresses, with a high of 34 degrees Celsius in Dhaka. It looks like a great day for cricket, with no rain interruptions and no clouds to further complicate things for batters. The humidity is much higher in the evening, and that could make for good bowling conditions, allowing the pacers to swing the new ball during the power play.

BAN vs NZ Pitch Report

It is a bowling-friendly wicket at the Shere Bangla Stadium in Dhaka. The average first innings score in the last 10 matches here is 188 runs. The recent games have been pretty low-scoring, and some of these 10 matches also include Women’s games. In the last 5 men’s ODIs played at this venue, only twice did a team cross the 250-run mark. The team batting first in this match should aim for something over 265-270 runs to be in a winning position.

Toss: To Bowl

There hasn’t been any particular advantage to batting first or second in recent matches here. However, considering the help on offer for the bowlers on this wicket, bowling first should be the go-to choice for both captains. Teams bowling first have won 4 of the last 8 ODIs played on this ground. New Zealand, in particular, will need time for the players to understand the pitch, and bowling first would be ideal for them.