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England vs New Zealand, ENG vs NZ 2026, Today Match Prediction
ENG vs NZ Win Probability
Toss Winner - New Zealand won the toss and choose to bowl first
England beat New Zealand by 115 runs
England host New Zealand at Lord's in their first red-ball outing since their latest horror Ashes tour!
- England have won one of their last seven Tests.
- New Zealand have won four of their last five Tests.
- Both teams have won two of the last four head to head Tests.
We are backing New Zealand to win!
| Tournament: | New Zealand tour of England, 2026 |
| Format: | test |
| Venue: | Lord's Cricket Ground, London, United Kingdom |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 18.3°C|Partly cloudy |
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ENG vs NZ Betting Odds
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ENG vs NZ Match Prediction & Analysis
This is an eagerly awaited Test series between England and New Zealand who will lock horns over a three Test series, many would like more, with this opener getting underway on Thursday at Lord's.
For the hosts, this Test gives them the opportunity to re-connect with a very dubious public who are extremely frustrated and angry with how the team approached and then executed their skills during the unsuccessful Ashes tour in the winter.
As for New Zealand, they will be full of confidence after warming up for this Test with a victory by an innings and 79 runs against Ireland in Belfast last week.
This should be an excellent series with this an extremely exciting opening Test.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
ENG
L
W
L
L
L
ENG
152/10 in 45.2 3.35
The Ashes, 2025-26
England beat Australia by 4 wickets178/6 in 32.2 5.51
511/10 in 117.3 4.35
The Ashes, 2025-26
Australia beat England by 8 wickets69/2 in 10.0 6.9
NZ
W
W
W
W
W
NZ
125/10 in 48.5 2.56
0/0 in 0.0 0
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 5 Matches
Show More Show Less
209/10 in 53.2
NZ VS ENG
New Zealand won by 1 run
483/10 in 162.3
306/10 in 82.5
NZ VS ENG
England won by 267 runs
126/10 in 45.3
TEAMS PREVIEW
England Preview
The team management remains the same, somehow saved after a diabolical Ashes tour - probably due to a semi-final appearance at the T20 World Cup - but there will be at least one new face for England when this opening Test of the summer gets underway.
At the top of the order, England's patience with Zak Crawley has finally run its course and he has been replaced by Durham opener Emilio Gay who has previously played associate level cricket for Italy.
Skipper Ben Stokes is likely to drop down a place in the order with keeper-batter Jamie Smith going up a place.
Joe Root and Harry Brook are likely to be the main run scorers for England while Josh Tongue and the recalled Ollie Robinson will share the new ball and are likely to be the main threat for the hosts.
England Predicted Playing XI:
Emilio Gay, Ben Duckett, Jacob Bethell, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Jamie Smith (wk), Ben Stokes (c), Gus Atkinson, Rehan Ahmed, Ollie Robinson, Josh Tongue
England Actual Playing XI:
Gus Atkinson, Jamie Smith, Shoaib Bashir, Ollie Robinson, Josh Tongue, Harry Brook, Ben Duckett, Emilio Gay, Joe Root, Ben Stokes, Jacob Bethell
New Zealand Preview
Despite finding themselves 21/2 and losing three of their top five for scores under four, New Zealand were able to recover and go on to thrash Ireland last week in Belfast.
This will be a much sterner Test for Tom Latham's side though and he brings a formidable side to Lord's who should be boosted by the return of pace-bowling lead Matt Henry.
Rachin Ravindra and Tom Blundell both come into this match off the back of centuries against Ireland while Devon Conway has an excellent record in the UK and Kane Williamson has plenty of experience of batting at Lord's.
With the ball, Henry will lead the attack alongside Zak Foulkes and Blair Tickner.
New Zealand Predicted Playing XI:
Tom Latham (c), Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Blundell (wk), Dean Foxcroft, Nathan Smith, Zak Foulkes, Blair Tickner, Matt Henry
New Zealand Actual Playing XI:
Kane Williamson, Daryl Mitchell, Rachin Ravindra, Nathan Smith, Tom Latham, Tom Blundell, Devon Conway, Glenn Phillips, Kyle Jamieson, William O'Rourke, Matt Henry
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The weather forecast is for a humid five days in north London although days two, three, four and five are all expected to be dry. The top temperature will be in the region of 22 degrees.
ENG vs NZ Pitch Report
As ever, Lord's will have a fast outfield, particularly for balls racing down the slope. Although there will be assistance for the bowlers, a par first innings score will be in the region of 350.
Toss: To Bowl
With the forecast for four dry days but Thursday, day one, to be stop start with plenty of cloud cover and occasional showers, we predict that both sides will want to bowl first.
ENG vs NZ
Winning Prediction
This looks like being a very exciting game with New Zealand playing some excellent cricket in advance while England are under plenty of pressure and have an inexperienced bowling attack. Our prediction is for an away win to start the series.
We are backing New Zealand to win!
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