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Kent vs Surrey, T20BLAST, Today Match Prediction
KENT vs SUR Win Probability
Toss Winner - Surrey won the toss and choose to bowl first
Surrey beat Kent by 9 wickets
Can Kent make it difficult for Surrey to qualify for the knockouts?
- Jason Roy scored 103 off 58 for Surrey in the last game with 8 gigantic sixes.
- Sam Billings is Kent’s leading run-scorer with 356 runs in 10 games.
- Surrey has 3 wins in the last 5 games against Kent.
We predict that Surrey will beat Kent.
| Tournament: | Vitality T20 Blast, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | The St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury, United Kingdom, United Kingdom |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 25.1°C|Sunny |
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KENT vs SUR Match Prediction & Analysis
With just two games of the group stage left, Kent will take on Surrey in the South Group of the Vitality Blast 2026. The game will be played at St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury, on 10th July from 11 am onwards. Surrey needs a win to qualify for the knockouts. On the other hand, Kent can spoil Surrey’s race and can set a pre-quarterfinal between Surrey and Essex on Sunday.
Kent are currently fourth in the points table with four wins and six defeats from 10 matches. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with three losses in their last four outings. Their only victory during this period came in a convincing seven-wicket win over Hampshire. The batting unit has lacked firepower, with only two batters maintaining a strike rate above 140 this season. Their bowling attack has also struggled for consistency, accounting for just 53% of the opposition wickets across 10 games. Much of Kent's hopes will rest on captain Sam Billings, who has been in outstanding form with four half-centuries at an impressive strike rate of 173.65.
Surrey are sitting in second place with 6 wins. In the last 4 games, they have managed to beat Sussex twice and Essex once. The return of Josh Philippe has helped them chase the targets with a better NRR. Phillipe has 159 runs in the last 4 games. With two games to go, they still have a chance to topple Hampshire from the top spot.
The two sides have already met once this season, on 31 May, with Kent emerging victorious. Opting to bowl first, Kent bundled Surrey out for just 116, with Tom Curran top-scoring with 32, while Jake Lintott starred with the ball, claiming 3 wickets. In reply, Harry Finch remained unbeaten on 64, and Sam Billings contributed an unbeaten 42 as the duo stitched together an 89-run partnership, guiding Kent to a comfortable eight-wicket victory.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
KENT
L
L
W
L
W
KENT
SUR
W
L
W
W
L
SUR
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 10 Matches
Show More Show Less
173/5 in 20.0
VITALITY T20 BLAST 2023
Surrey won by 5 wickets
174/5 in 20.0
223/5 in 20.0
VITALITY T20 BLAST 2023
Surrey beat Kent by 41 runs
182/7 in 20.0
362/10 in 92.3
CC_2023
Surrey won by 10 wickets
58/0 in 11.3
362/10 in 92.3
CC_2023
Surrey beat Kent by 10 wickets
58/0 in 11.3
TEAMS PREVIEW
Kent Preview
Kent head into this fixture on the back of consecutive defeats against Hampshire and Worcestershire, failing to chase the target on both occasions. Their batting collapsed dramatically against Worcestershire, where they were bowled out for just 59 while chasing 143, suffering a heavy defeat. In their most recent outing against Hampshire, Kent put up a much stronger fight. Chasing 190, Tawanda Muyeye scored a well-made 50, while Zak Crawley provided a blistering start with 33 off just 17 balls. However, their efforts weren't enough as Kent fell 19 runs short.
Tawanda Muyeye will open the innings with Daniel Bell-Drummond. Muyeye scored 50 in the last game. He now has 115 runs in 4 games at a strike rate of 160. Bell-Drummond has 11 runs in the last 2 games. Zak Crawley will come in at number three. Crawley has 218 runs in 10 games at a strike rate of 140. Just 3 half-centuries by the top order have put Kent in a tough spot.
Sam Billings will come in the middle with Harry Finch and Grant Stewart. Billings and Finch had added an unbeaten 89 in Kent’s last game against Surrey. Billings is their leading run-scorer with 356 runs at a strike rate of 174 - the highest among the batters. He has 4 half-centuries and 19 sixes. He will be the batter to watch out for. Finch has 164 runs in 7 games at a strike rate of 120.
Matt Milnes will lead the bowling attack with Jake Lintott, Thomas Stewart Rogers, and Stewart. Milnes is their leading wicket-taker with 14 wickets at an economy of 7.90. He will be the bowler to watch out for. Lintott & Rogers had picked up 7 wickets each, while Stewart had 6 in 10 games. Kent bowlers have picked up just 53% of the available wickets in 10 games.
Key Players: Matt Milnes, Sam Billings, Zak Crawley.
Kent Predicted Playing XI:
Tawanda Muyeye, Daniel Bell-Drummond, Zak Crawley, Sam Billings (c) (wk), Joe Denly, Harry Finch, Grant Stewart, Thomas Stewart Rogers, Jake Lintott, Matt Milnes, Hasan Mahmud.
Kent Key Players From Previous Game Of Vitality T20 Blast, 2026
Kent Actual Playing XI:
Daniel Bell-Drummond, Sam Billings, Zak Crawley, Harry Finch, Matt Milnes, Tawanda Muyeye, Thomas Rogers, Ekansh Singh, Grant Stewart, Jake Lintott, Hasan Mahmud
Surrey Preview
Surrey are eying the top spot after three wins in the last 4 games. In two of these games, they have chased 175 runs twice with 8 wickets in hand while defended 240 in the third one. Jason Roy will open the innings with Laurie Evans. Roy remained unbeaten on 103 in the last game with 6 fours and 8 sixes. He is now their leading run-scorer with 334 runs at a strike rate of 156.
Evans has struggled for consistency this season, managing just 123 runs in 10 matches. Surrey will also be hoping for the return of Will Jacks from national duty, as he has been one of their standout performers with 179 runs in five games, including two half-centuries. Meanwhile, Josh Philippe has been exceptional since joining the side, scoring 159 runs in his last four matches at a remarkable strike rate of 179, providing Surrey with the explosive starts they have been looking for.
Dan Lawrence is expected to bat in the middle order alongside Ollie Pope and Tom Curran. Lawrence contributed 28 runs in the last match, taking his tally to 234 runs in 10 games this season. Pope has also been a key contributor, amassing 193 runs, including two half-centuries. Overall, Surrey's batting lineup has been one of the major reasons behind their impressive run this season, with the middle order providing crucial depth and stability. Their aggressive approach is reflected in a team strike rate of over 150, making them one of the most formidable batting units in the competition.
Reece Topley will lead the bowling attack with Tom Lawes and Tom Curran. Topley is their leading wicket-taker with 18 wickets at an economy of 7.89 - the lowest among the bowlers. He will be the bowler to watch out for. Lawes has played just 5 games and has claimed 9 wickets. He has taken a wicket on every 10th ball he has bowled. The bowlers have taken 62% of the wickets so far.
Key Players: Reece Topley, Josh Philippe, Jason Roy.
Surrey Predicted Playing XI:
Jason Roy, Laurie Evans, Josh Philippe, Dan Lawrence, Ollie Pope (c) (wk), Tom Curran, Jordan Clark, Tom Lawes, Sean Abbott, Chris Jordan, Reece Topley
Surrey Key Players From Previous Game Of Vitality T20 Blast, 2026
Surrey Actual Playing XI:
Chris Jordan, Dan Lawrence, Jason Roy, Jordan Clark, Laurie Evans, Ollie Pope, Reece Topley, Sean Abbott, Tom Curran, Thomas Lawes, Josh Philippe
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The weather in Leicester is expected to be cold and clear on match day, with temperatures ranging from 5 to 18 degrees Celsius. Winds will blow from the southeast at 6-10 km/h.
It is a batting-friendly pitch. Especially in the second innings, it is difficult to bowl. Just 13 wickets have fallen in 4 games in the second innings.
KENT vs SUR Pitch Report
The match will be played at St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury, on 10th July from 11 am onwards. The average first innings score is 148, 10 more than the second innings in this season. Kent has 2 wins and 2 losses at Canterbury in this season.
Toss: To Bowl
This season has favored the team chasing the target at this venue. The teams have managed to chase the target on all 4 occasions. The team winning the toss should bowl first.
KENT vs SUR
Winning Prediction
Surrey batters have scored 5 half-centuries, 1 century, and 592 runs, losing just 9 wickets in their last three wins. Though they had lost the game against Kent earlier, their current form makes them the favorites of the game. Kent has just 1 win in the last 6 games. Surrey needs to make sure Kent doesn’t bat second. Kent has lost just 6 wickets while batting second here.
We predict that Surrey will beat Kent.
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