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Karnali Yaks vs Kathmandu Gurkhas, NPL, Today Match Prediction 30 November 2025
KNY vs KMG Win Probability
Toss Winner - Karnali Yaks won the toss and choose to bat first
Kathmandu Gurkhas beat Karnali Yaks by 5 wickets
Karnali Yaks vs Kathmandu Ghorkhas – Battle for Momentum in Crunch Phase
- Points table Standings: Ghorkhas 2nd (4 pts, NRR +0.59), Karnali 5th (2 pts, NRR -0.34)
- Current form: Ghorkhas on 2 consecutive wins; Karnali lost their last match.
- Karnali Yaks beat Kathmandu Gorkhas by 3 wickets in their last season encounter.
Kathmandu Ghorkhas to win in a closely fought contest.
| Tournament: | Nepal Premier League, 2025 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Nepal, Nepal |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 15.3°C|Partly cloudy |
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KNY vs KMG Live Prediction
KNY vs KMG Match Prediction & Analysis
The Nepal Premier League 2025 has entered a crucial phase, with teams now eyeing the top-four spots for playoff qualification. Karnali Yaks have had a fluctuating campaign, securing one win and two losses, with their last match resulting in a narrow 8-run defeat while chasing 155. Kathmandu Ghorkhas, on the other hand, have been one of the consistent sides this season, currently second in the table with two wins and one loss, including a dominant 32-run victory in their most recent outing where they defended 168 successfully. Given the tightly packed points table, this clash holds valuable importance – Karnali need a win to stay in qualification contention while Ghorkhas aim to solidify a top-two spot. Both teams rely heavily on their top orders, with Karnali dependent on explosive starts, while Ghorkhas have a more balanced middle order and superior death bowling. With spinners playing a key role at this venue so far in the tournament, expect a tactical battle between bat and ball. Momentum and consistency favor Ghorkhas, but Karnali’s unpredictability makes them dangerous if their top three click.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
KNY
L
L
W
L
L
KNY
KMG
W
W
L
L
W
KMG
118/10 in 16.5 7.01
147/10 in 20.0 7.35
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 1 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Karnali Yaks Preview
Karnali’s performance this season has been inconsistent, predominantly due to over-reliance on their top order. In their last game, Kiran KC smashed 47 (31) but lacked support, while Bipin Rawal managed 29 (24). Their star all-rounder Sushant Magar has taken 4 wickets in the last 3 matches, maintaining an economy under 7.5. However, death bowling remains a concern, with the team conceding over 40 runs in the final 4 overs in two consecutive games. Their only win came when the top three scored 120+ runs collectively. Karnali’s strategy should focus on powerplay maximization and using spin in the middle overs, where Kamal Singh Airee (3 wickets last match) has been effective.
Key Players: Kiran KC, Sushant Magar, Kamal Singh Airee
Karnali Yaks Predicted Playing XI:
1. Kiran KC, 2. Bipin Rawal, 3. Rohan Kunwar, 4. Sushant Magar, 5. Arun Kumar, 6. Milan Chaudhary, 7. Rahul BK, 8. Kamal Singh Airee, 9. Prakash Yadav, 10. Saurav Jha, 11. Manoj Dhital
Karnali Yaks Key Players From Previous Game Of Nepal Premier League, 2025
Karnali Yaks Actual Playing XI:
Gulsan Jha, Pawan Sarraf, Sompal Kami, Mark Watt, Nandan Yadav, William Bosisto, Deepak Dumre, Yubraj Khatri, Bipin Prasad Sharma, Najibullah Zadran, Priyank Panchal
Kathmandu Gurkhas Preview
Kathmandu Ghorkhas look well-balanced and confident. In their last match, Skipper Aadil Khan led from the front with a brilliant 62 (38), while Dipesh Karki supported with a steady 34 (29). Their bowling lineup has been impressive, with Rajeev Thapa bagging 3/19 and Manoj Pandey maintaining an economy of 6.2 across the tournament. They have chased successfully once and defended twice, highlighting their adaptability. A notable stat – their top five have contributed 75% of the team’s total runs this season. Fielding has also been exceptional, with 4 run-outs in 3 matches. Ghorkhas tend to accelerate between overs 10-15, averaging 52 runs.
Key Players: Aadil Khan, Rajeev Thapa, Dipesh Karki
Kathmandu Gurkhas Predicted Playing XI:
1. Aadil Khan, 2. Dipesh Karki, 3. Anil Thapa, 4. Santosh Giri, 5. Pawan BK, 6. Rohit Poudel, 7. Arjun Bahadur, 8. Rajeev Thapa, 9. Manoj Pandey, 10. Krishna Rana, 11. Deepak Saud
Kathmandu Gurkhas Key Players From Previous Game Of Nepal Premier League, 2025
Kathmandu Gurkhas Actual Playing XI:
Bhim Sharki, John Simpson, Gerhard Erasmus, Karan KC, Milind Kumar, Aadil Ansari, Shahab Alam, Rashid Khan, Santosh Yadav, Aakash Tripathi, Ben Charlesworth
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Weather is expected to be clear with temperatures ranging between 26-29°C and humidity around 55%. No rain interruption is forecasted, and mild breeze in the evening could aid swing bowling early on. Dew is likely to form after 8 PM, favoring the chasing side slightly. Ideal playing conditions are expected with minimal wind variation.
KNY vs KMG Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
High Turn
The surface has shown signs of slowing down as matches progress. The average first innings score here is 157, while teams batting second have averaged 149. Spin has dominated in overs 7-15, with left-arm spinners picking up most wickets. Boundary size is moderate, favoring wrist spinners who slow pace. Pace bowlers using cutters have been successful in death overs. Expect a score around 155-165 to be competitive.
Toss: To Bat
In the last 10 matches at this venue, 6 teams opting to bat first have gone on to win. Teams defending totals have enjoyed success due to spin-assisted slow pitches under the sun. Hence, the captain winning the toss is likely to bat first and aim for a target upwards of 160, which has been the par score.
KNY vs KMG
Winning Prediction
Kathmandu Ghorkhas enter this contest as slight favorites given their tactical balance and current form. Their recent consistency with both bat and ball, especially in high-pressure situations, gives them an edge. Karnali’s batting relies heavily on the top order, and unless they fire collectively, chasing targets beyond 160 may prove difficult. Ghorkhas' better bowling depth and stronger middle-order resilience add to their advantage. If Ghorkhas bat first and set 160+, they are likely to defend successfully. Karnali’s hope lies in early breakthroughs and aggressive batting strategy.
Kathmandu Ghorkhas to win in a closely fought contest.
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