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Middlesex vs Durham, CC2026, Today Match Prediction
MID vs DUR Win Probability
Toss Winner - Middlesex won the toss and choose to bat first
Match Drawn
Durham have only beaten Middlesex once in the last five county championship games. Can they turn the trend in their favor?
- Leus du Plooy has been the star batter for Middlesex, averaging 82 this season, with two fifties in the last game.
- Middlesex’s Toby Roland-Jones and Ryan Higgins have taken 25 wickets between them.
- Durham’s batting has been their main strength, with three batters accumulating over 300 runs.
Back Durham as the winners of this match.
| Tournament: | County Championship Division Two 2026 |
| Format: | test |
| Venue: | Lord's Cricket Ground, London, United Kingdom |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 19.1°C|Sunny |
MID vs DUR Betting Odds
| Bookie | MiddlesexMID | DurhamDUR |
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MID vs DUR Match Prediction & Analysis
Middlesex will take on Durham in match number 16 of the 2026 County Championship Division Two at Lord’s. Middlesex have made a steady start, recording one win, one loss, and one draw, which places them fifth in the standings with 38 points. Durham, in comparison, have looked the better side so far, with two wins and a draw, putting them in second place with 57 points. Based on current form, Durham hold the upper hand in this clash, though Middlesex are capable of putting up a strong challenge in this contest.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
MID
L
W
W
W
W
MID
387/4 in 50.0 7.74
RLODC
Middlesex beat Durham by 5 wickets
390/5 in 48.0 8.12
DUR
W
L
L
L
W
DUR
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 2 Matches
Middlesex beat Durham by 5 wickets
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RLODC
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Middlesex Preview
Three matches into the season, Middlesex sit fifth in County Championship Division Two, with one win, one draw, and one loss so far. Their most recent outing ended in a draw against Northamptonshire, where they scored 341 and 353-3 across their two innings, while bowling the opposition out for 409 in their only innings.
Captain Leus du Plooy has been a major positive this season. The middle-order batter has scored 328 runs in five innings at an average of 82, including one hundred and two fifties, both coming in the last game against Northamptonshire.
Sam Robson and Joe Cracknell have also made useful contributions, scoring 245 and 226 runs respectively in three matches. Robson comes into this game after a superb 162 in the second innings of the previous match, and he looks set for another solid outing, with a 40+ score very much on the cards.
Max Holden and Zafar Gohar have also chipped in, with both players crossing the 160-run mark so far this season.
The bowling unit has looked good as well, with Toby Roland-Jones leading the attack. He has taken 13 wickets in five innings at an average of 17.92. Ryan Higgins and Naavya Sharma have supported him well, picking up 21 wickets between them and giving the side reliable options.
Key Players: Leus du Plooy, Toby Roland-Jones, Sam Robson
Middlesex Predicted Playing XI:
Sam Robson, Joshua De Caires, Max Holden, Leus du Plooy (c), Ben Geddes, Ryan Higgins, Joe Cracknell (wk), Zafar Gohar, Toby Roland-Jones, Tom Helm, Naavya Sharma
Middlesex Key Players From Previous Game Of County Championship Division Two 2026
Middlesex Actual Playing XI:
Sebastian Morgan, Sam Robson, Joshua De Caires, Max Holden, Leus du Plooy, Ben Geddes, Ryan Higgins, Joe Cracknell, Zafar Gohar, Toby Roland-Jones, Eathan Bosch
Durham Preview
Durham have made a strong start in County Championship Division Two, picking up two wins from three matches along with a draw to sit second on the table. Their latest outing saw them beat Lancashire by eight wickets, chasing down 336 comfortably in the fourth innings without much trouble. Emilio Gay and David Bedingham both scored unbeaten hundreds in that chase to guide the side home.
The batting unit has worked well so far, with Gay and Bedingham leading the scoring charts with more than 320 runs each. Opener Ben McKinney has also impressed, scoring 312 runs at an average of 62.40, including one hundred. He has looked in good touch and could once again get into the 40–50 range in one of the innings here.
Outside of these three, though, the rest of the batting has not done much, which could become an issue if two of them fail in the same match. In that case, captain Alex Lees will need to step in. He has scored 182 runs in five innings at an average of 36.50. With over 12,000 First-Class runs, he brings plenty of experience and could end up averaging in the 30–40 range in this game.
The bowling attack has relied heavily on Ben Raine, who has taken 16 wickets, and Matthew Potts, who has 15 wickets so far. Kasey Aldridge has also chipped in with six wickets at an average of 37.66. Durham may look to bring back experienced fast bowler Kemar Roach to add more depth to their attack.
Key Players: Emilio Gay, David Bedingham, Ben Raine
Durham Predicted Playing XI:
Alex Lees (c), Ben McKinney, Emilio Gay, David Bedingham, Graham Clark, Oliver Robinson (wk), Kasey Aldridge, Ben Raine, Matthew Potts, Kemar Roach/Samuel Conners, Callum Parkinson
Durham Key Players From Previous Game Of County Championship Division Two 2026
Durham Actual Playing XI:
Alex Lees, Emilio Gay, David Bedingham, Graham Clark, Oliver Robinson, Kasey Aldridge, Ben Raine, Kemar Roach, Ben McKinney, Matthew Potts, Callum Parkinson, Luke Robinson
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Expect generally mild conditions in London, with temperatures hovering in the mid-to-high teens during the day and cooler evenings. The outlook suggests a largely dry start with some sunny spells, though intermittent cloud cover and the outside chance of brief showers could develop as the match progresses. Overall, conditions should remain fairly settled, with temperatures around or slightly above seasonal norms for early May.
MID vs DUR Pitch Report
In the two games played at Lord’s in this county championship division two, the first innings scores have been was 445-9 (dec), 191 and 183. This venue generally offers a true wicket, with the second and third days being the best for batting. Seamers will find help in the morning sessions, and the first day will be challenging for the batters. A score of around 320-350 in the first innings will keep the team in a healthy position.
Toss: To Bowl
In both the County Championship Division Two matches played at Lord’s this season, the captain winning the toss has elected to field first. Expect the same to happen in this game as the first day might help the seam bowlers the most and both captains would like to maximize that advantage.
MID vs DUR
Winning Prediction
Middlesex head into this game hoping to turn things around after picking up a loss and a draw in their previous two matches. Their record against Durham offers some encouragement, with three wins from the last five county meetings between the sides. Even then, Durham have not lost a game this season and have looked in strong form throughout.
A lot will depend on how Middlesex deal with Emilio Gay, David Bedingham, and Ben McKinney. If the bowling unit can restrict this top-order trio, they will stay in the hunt. But if at least two of them find form and build solid innings, Durham will have the upper hand and will have a great chance of victory.
Back Durham as the winners of this match.
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