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Melbourne Renegades vs Brisbane Heat, BBLT20, Today Match Prediction 15 December 2025

The current prediction is outdated. Please visit TODAY’S MATCH PREDICTIONS page for latest updated tips.
GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, Australia

212/5 in 20.0

10.6 Star

198/8 in 20.0

9.9
SCORECARD

MLR vs BH Win Probability

MLR 50%
BH 50%

Toss Winner - Brisbane Heat won the toss and choose to bowl first

Melbourne Renegades won by 14 runs

Brisbane Heat's challenge to overcome last season's disaster

  • Brisbane Heat have lost the last four out of six games against the Renegades
  • Brisbane will miss key players, including their captain, who is with the national team
  • Renegades have a powerful batting lineup with Rizwan, Seifert, and Jewell

Melbourne Renegades to win

Tournament:  Big Bash League, 2025-2026
Format: t20
Venue: GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, Australia
Toss Prediction: To Bowl
Weather: 17.3°C|Sunny

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Name
PS
SS
HH
MS
BH
AS
MR
ST
M
Won
Lost
Tied
NR
PTs
NRR
10
7
3
0
0
14
1.36
10
6
3
0
1
13
0.6
10
6
3
0
1
13
0.33
10
6
4
0
0
12
0.76
10
5
5
0
0
10
-0.43
10
4
6
0
0
8
-0.23
10
3
7
0
0
6
-1.2
10
2
8
0
0
4
-1.21

MLR vs BH Live Prediction

2025-12-15 16:20:22

Brisbane Heat Score Over 135.5 in 15 Overs @ 1.85 (1XBET)

The Heat score at the end of 10 overs is 82/3, a pretty slow going in the last three overs for the Heat, with the required run rate climbing over 13 runs per over, they have no other choice but to up the scoring rate and with Colin Munro out in the middle expect a huge next five overs from the Heat and we predict their score to be over 135 runs at the end of 15 overs.

2025-12-15 14:51:28

Melbourne Renegades Score Over 195.5 in 20 Overs @ 1.85 (1XBET)

Tim Seifert is putting on a show with the bat, absolutely dismantling the Heat bowlers. The Renegades are currently scoring at 10 runs per over and have made full use of the Power Surge overs by taking on Shaheen Afridi and Xavier Bartlett. With six overs to go and seven wickets in hand, the Renegades will be eyeing at least 60 runs in the final six overs, and a total of 200 or more could be a huge score. We predict the Renegades to score over 195 runs in 20 overs.

2025-12-15 14:09:09

Melbourne Renegades Score Over 68.5 in 10 Overs @ 1.85 (1XBET)

The Renegades are off to a sedate start scoring at 7 runs per over. It's been a quite start for them, where the Heat bowlers have kept them under check. But with Siefert out in the middle who can accelerate at any point of time and Rizwan getting his eye in, both batters will look to build on a partnership in the next five overs and we predict the Renegades score to be over 68 runs at the end of 10 overs.

It is the second game of the Big Bash League 2025-26, where the Melbourne Renegades will take on the Brisbane Heat. Both sides had a poor tournament last season and shall look to make a good start and set the tone for the rest of the season. While the Renegades finished 6th on the points table, the Brisbane Heat had to be content with finishing 7th. 

The Melbourne Renegades have enjoyed a good record against the Brisbane Heat in the last four seasons. They have won four out of the last six games between the two teams. The team has a more formidable batting lineup. Brisbane Heat will miss some of its key players who are busy with their national team, and it will be interesting to see if the team has the resources to win here.

MLR vs BH Betting News

Melbourne Renegades Record at GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong

Melbourne Renegades Record at GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong

Melbourne Renegades as a balanced record at GMHBA Stadium, where they won four and lost five matches, out of which two wins came against the Brisbane Heat

Brisbane Heat Record at GMHBA Stadium

Brisbane Heat Record at GMHBA Stadium

Brisbane Heat lost both the matches played at GMHBA Stadium in the BBL and both losses coming against the Melbourne Renegades.

Melbourne Renegades vs Brisbane Heat, 2nd T20 Match, BBL 2025-26 Special Bets

Melbourne Renegades vs Brisbane Heat, 2nd T20 Match, BBL 2025-26 Special Bets

Bet on the Melbourne Renegades vs Brisbane Heat, 2nd T20 Match, BBL 2025-26, with our special bet offers. Expert analysis for the Melbourne Renegades vs Brisbane Heat, betting today.

RECENT PERFORMANCE

Melbourne Renegades MLR
W L L W L
MLR

199/7 in 18.0 11.06

BH

196/4 in 20.0 9.8

HBH

155/6 in 19.4 7.88

MLR

154/7 in 20.0 7.7

MLR

123/10 in 19.5 6.2

MLS

165/10 in 20.0 8.25

PRS

147/8 in 20.0 7.35

MLR

150/6 in 19.4 7.63

MLS

171/5 in 19.4 8.69

MLR

168/7 in 20.0 8.4

Brisbane Heat BH
L L L W L
MLR

199/7 in 18.0 11.06

BH

196/4 in 20.0 9.8

BH

201/6 in 20.0 10.05

HBH

207/5 in 20.0 10.35

ADS

251/5 in 20.0 12.55

BH

195/10 in 20.0 9.75

BH

174/5 in 18.5 9.24

BBLT20

Brisbane Heat won by 5 wkts
SYT

173/8 in 20.0 8.65

BH

149/7 in 20.0 7.45

MLS

153/5 in 18.1 8.42

HEAD TO HEAD

Last 4 Matches

2
MLR Won
2
BH Won
0
No Result
MLR
BBLT20
BH
199/7 in 18.0
196/4 in 20.0
Show More Show Less
MLR

162/8 in 20.0

BH

163/4 in 18.1

MLR

162/5 in 20.0

BBL T20 2022

Brisbane Heat won by 7 wickets

BH

164/3 in 18.5

MLR

139/6 in 19.2

BBL T20 2022

Melbourne Renegades won by 4 wkts

BH

137/8 in 20.0

Melbourne Renegades Preview

Will Sutherland's team saw mixed results last season, finishing mid-table with inconsistent performances. While they showed sparks of form in some cases, they ultimately failed to qualify for the playoffs. They have struggled over the last six seasons, with only one playoff appearance. Sutherland would like to put all that behind them and make a winning start to their campaign.  

Josh Brown will open the batting with his new partner, Caleb Jewell, and will look to deliver a strong start. Mohammad Rizwan will bat at No. 3 and will look to build partnerships with Jake Fraser-McGurk and Tim Seifert, the team's leading run-getter last season. Sutherland and Harry Dixon are powerful hitters and will look to add quick runs in the lower middle order. 

Thomas Rogers was the star bowler for the team last season, and he will look to strike early in the game with Fergus O'Neill. Adam Zampa will look to use the conditions to his advantage in the middle overs with Will Sutherland. The team expects a strong performance from Callum Stow in the supporting role as the Brisbane Heat batters will take him on. 


MR Over/Under Betting Tips

Tim Seifert Total Runs Over 18.5 1.85

Tim Seifert scored 924 runs in 38 matches this year in T20's averaging 26.4. The last time he played at Geelong, Seifert scored 37 runs and this is the first time he will be playing against the Brisbane Heat in BBL. Given his recent run of form, we back Seifert to kickstart his BBL campaign on a high and predict his score over 18 runs.

Melbourne Renegades Predicted Playing XI:

Will Sutherland (c), Josh Brown, Caleb Jewell, Mohammad Rizwan, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Tim Seifert (wk), Harry Dixon, Thomas Stewart Rogers, Fergus O'Neill, Adam Zampa, Callum Stow

Melbourne Renegades Actual Playing XI:

Josh Brown, Jake Fraser McGurk, Hassan Khan, Fergus O’Neill, Ollie Peake, Will Sutherland, Mohammad Rizwan, Tim Seifert, Jason Behrendorff, Gurinder Sandhu, Matthew Spoors

Brisbane Heat Preview

Jimmy Peirson will lead the team in the absence of Usman Khawaja, who is with the national team. The last edition was a disaster for the former champions, who managed to win only three games. They will miss some of their key players in this contest. Their recent record against the Melbourne Renegades doesn't inspire confidence either. Peirson would like his players to show character and set the tone for the rest of the season.  

Tom Alsop will bat at the top, and he will look forward to delivering a good start with Nathan McSweeney. Colin Munro must use his experience well in the middle order and build partnerships with Matt Renshaw and Max Bryant. Jimmy Peirson, Jack Wildermuth, and Michael Neser are good hitters and must take the team to a big total.  

The bowling attack proved ineffective last season, and they will look to put that behind them. Xavier Bartlett and Michael Neser must strike early to put the team in a strong position. Shaheen Afridi adds strength to the bowling, and he will look to do well in the middle order with Spencer Johnson. Matthew Kuhnemann and Wildermuth must deliver in the supporting role.


BH Over/Under Betting Tips

Colin Munro Total Runs Over 20.5 1.85

Colin Munro had one of the most disappointing seasons in BBL 2024/25, where he scored only 46 runs in 6 matches. Despite this, he has scored 656 runs in 23 matches, averaging 29.8 this year in T20's, which is a comeback for him after going into a slump last year. Against the Melbourne Renegades, he has scored 185 runs in 7 matches, averaging 30.8. We expect a good start to his season from Munro and predict his score to be over 20 runs in today's match.

Brisbane Heat Predicted Playing XI:

Jimmy Peirson (c & wk), Tom Alsop, Nathan McSweeney, Colin Munro, Matt Renshaw, Max Bryant, Jack Wildermuth, Michael Neser, Xavier Bartlett, Matthew Kuhnemann, Shaheen Afridi

Brisbane Heat Actual Playing XI:

Max Bryant, Colin Munro, Matt Renshaw, Nathan McSweeney, Hugh Weibgen, Jack Wildermuth, Jimmy Peirson, Shaheen Afridi, Xavier Bartlett, Liam Haskett, Paddy Dooley

HR
Temp
Rain
W. speed
W. direction
Clouds
00h
15
0 mm.
4.7 k/h
From: SSW
100%
03h
18
0 mm.
7.63 k/h
From: S
100%
06h
17
0 mm.
7.24 k/h
From: S
100%
09h
16
0 mm.
5.32 k/h
From: S
32%
12h
11
0 mm.
2.36 k/h
From: SSW
37%
15h
12
0 mm.
2.34 k/h
From: SSW
100%
18h
11
0 mm.
2.95 k/h
From: SSE
100%
21h
12
0 mm.
2.9 k/h
From: SSE
100%

Weather Conditions

Geelong will have some clouds on December 15. We expect to see more challenging batting conditions like in the past. There would be assistance for the bowlers in this game. The average first-innings score is 141 runs, and the side batting first would like to have 170 or more on the board to feel confident.

MLR vs BH Pitch Report

Simonds Stadium in Geelong is a small ground, and there have been high-scoring games in the past. Batting is easy on this track as the ball comes to the bat nicely. Fast bowlers can move the ball in the air and have done well. It is a challenging venue for spinners, as they receive little assistance on this surface.


Total Over/Under Betting Tips

Melbourne Renegades to win the coin toss 1.90

We back Melbourne Renegades to win the coin toss in match 2 of Big Bash League 2025 against Brisbane Heat at GMHBA Stadium.

Toss: To Bowl

The team chasing the score has won the last four out of seven games at this venue. The wicket is good here, allowing batters to play their strokes freely. However, it can be tricky at the start of the game, creating doubts in the batsmen's minds. Hence, the side that wins the toss would have little hesitation in opting to bowl first.

It will be an important game for both teams as they start their campaign. The Brisbane Heat will miss two of their key batters in this game and expect the replacements to fill this void with strong performances. The Melbourne Renegades have a formidable batting lineup this season and more punch in their bowling attack. The two teams have shared a close rivalry in the last few seasons, and based on the current team's strengths, the Melbourne Renegades have an edge.

Melbourne Renegades to win

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Author: S. Bhatarjee