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Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, POTS 2026, Today Match Prediction
Pakistan
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Sri Lanka
PAK vs SL Win Probability
Scheduled
Can Sri Lanka beat host Pakistan in this Tri-Series match?
- Babar Azam averages 59.83 at the Gaddafi Stadium, can bet as a top batter.
- Kusal Mendis to score at least a half-century if batting first.
- Shaheen Afridi has a historical record of taking approx 3 wickets per match at the venue.
Pakistan to Win
| Tournament: | Pakistan ODI Tri-Series, 2026 |
| Format: | odi |
| Venue: | Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore Cantt, Pakistan |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
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PAK vs SL Betting Odds
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PAK vs SL Match Prediction & Analysis
Host Pakistan is set to take on Sri Lanka in match 5 of the ongoing Tri-Series in Pakistan 2026 also involving England. The match will be played at the Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore on Tuesday, October 27.
Pakistan have been flying high so far in the series winning all three of their matches, twice against England and once against Sri Lanka itself. The Lankan Lions on the other hand have played two matches in which they lost to Pakistan in the opening game, but made a record chase in the last game against England, chasing 430.
Expect a much more exciting match-up between the two teams compared to last time. In terms of head-to-head, Pakistan and Sri Lanka have played 158 ODI matches in which Pakistan have won 93 and Sri Lanka won 59 matches.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
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HEAD TO HEAD
Last 4 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Pakistan Preview
Pakistan head into the 5th match of the ODI Tri-Series as the dominant side, sitting unbeaten at the top of the points table with three consecutive victories. They opened with a solid 37 run win over Sri Lanka, followed by an 87 run thrashing of England and a thrilling one wicket victory in the return clash against England.
The batting has been powered by consistent middle-order contributions. Salman Agha has been the standout with 149 runs in three innings, including a fine century against Sri Lanka, while Hasan Nawaz has added 131 runs with aggressive intent. Saad Baig (106 runs) and Babar Azam have provided useful starts, and all-rounder Arafat Minhas has chipped in with both bat and ball.
The bowling unit has been clinical. Arafat Minhas leads the series wicket charts with 8 scalps, including a match-winning six-wicket haul against England in the game prior to the recent one.
Captain Shaheen Shah Afridi has claimed 7 wickets, highlighted by a 4-fer in the latest win, while Haris Rauf has taken five. Naseem Shah and the supporting cast have maintained pressure throughout.
Pakistan Predicted Playing XI:
Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub, Babar Azam, Saad Baig (WK), Salman Ali Agha, Hasan Nawaz, Arafat Minhas, Shadab Khan, Shaheen Afridi (C), Razaullah, Haris Rauf.
Pakistan Key Players From Previous Game Of Pakistan ODI Tri-Series, 2026
Sri Lanka Preview
Sri Lanka arrive for their second meeting with Pakistan after a mixed series that has produced one spectacular high and one disappointment. They suffered a 37 run defeat in the opening match against the hosts but bounced back sensationally by chasing down a record 430 against England to secure a 2 wicket victory with one ball remaining.
That result has kept them in contention with two points from two games. The batting has revolved around Pavan Rathnayake, who tops the series run charts with 209 runs in two innings at an average of 104.50, including a fluent 79 against Pakistan and 130 in the chase against England.
Dasun Shanaka (125 runs) and Janith Liyanage (121 runs) have provided explosive support, while Avishka Fernando and Kamindu Mendis have contributed solid starts.
With the ball, Asitha Fernando and Eshan Malinga have been the most effective, each taking 4 wickets. Fernando claimed three against Pakistan, while Malinga’s 4-for restricted the hosts in the first match. Yet, Sri Lanka will need tighter bowling and continued contributions from their in-form batters if they are to challenge Pakistan.
Sri Lanka Predicted Playing XI:
Kamindu Mendis, Avishka Fernando, Kusal Mendis (C, WK), Pavan Rathnayake, Dasun Shanaka, Janith Liyanage, Sahan Arachchige, Dunith Wellalage, Eshan Malinga, Asitha Fernando, Dilshan Madushanka.
Sri Lanka Key Players From Previous Game Of Pakistan ODI Tri-Series, 2026
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The weather forecast in Lahore on matchday is likely to be clear and sunny skies expected at Gaddafi Stadium. Daytime temperature will reach about 29-30°C, dropping to around 20°C at low. There is only about 5% probability of precipitation, so there is no threat of rain whatsoever.
PAK vs SL Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BattingBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
The pitch at the Gaddafi Stadium is usually good for batting as historically seen. Pacers get some help with the new ball early on, while spinners can come into play later as the surface slows a bit. After the early movement, the ball comes nicely on the bat, allowing for batters to time their shot. The first innings average score at the venue is 280.
Toss: To Bat
The captain who win the toss would want to bat first. It being the batting-friendly surface, it aids the batters, especially in the first innings and as surface wear starts to be visible, spinners can cause trouble in the 2nd inning.
PAK vs SL
Winning Prediction
Pakistan are clear favourites. Unbeaten with three wins, they boast a strong middle order led by Salman Agha’s 149 runs and a potent bowling attack featuring Arafat Minhas (8 wickets) and Shaheen Afridi (7). Sri Lanka showed incredible fight in their record chase against England, powered by Pavan Rathnayake’s 209 runs, but Pakistan’s superior consistency and home advantage should prove decisive once again.
Pakistan to Win
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