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Toss Winner - Brisbane Heat won the toss and choose to bowl first
Sydney Thunder won by 34 runs
Brisbane Heat have dominated Sydney Thunder in their last few meetings, winning four out of the past five games between the two sides.
Brisbane Heat look better placed to win this match.
| Tournament: | Big Bash League, 2025-2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Manuka Oval, Griffith, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 27.2°C|Sunny |
Sydney Thunder take on Brisbane Heat in the ninth fixture of the 2025 Big Bash League in Canberra. Both teams have had different starts to the season, as the Heat have won one and lost one, whereas the Thunder have gone down in back-to-back matches. Given their better head-to-head record against the Thunder and the form they bring into this game, the Heat hold the edge going into this contest.
SYT
181/6 in 19.5 9.13
180/6 in 20.0 9
185/3 in 14.1 13.06
182/7 in 20.0 9.1
135/7 in 19.0 7.11
114/10 in 18.0 6.33
BH
258/2 in 19.5 13.01
257/6 in 20.0 12.85
199/7 in 18.0 11.06
196/4 in 20.0 9.8
201/6 in 20.0 10.05
207/5 in 20.0 10.35
52/1 in 6.5
BBL T20 2022
Brisbane Heat won by 8 runs (DLS Method)
203/5 in 20.0
171/9 in 20.0
BBL T20 2022
Sydney Thunder won by 11 runs
182/6 in 20.0
It’s been a rough start for Sydney Thunder, with back-to-back heavy defeats. They’ll be aiming to tighten things up if they’re to climb up the ladder.
Their batting, though, has been more promising. Cameron Bancroft has made a good start in the middle-order, scoring 68 runs across two matches with a strike rate of 117.24. With his wealth of T20 experience, he’s expected to carry a big share of the load and could turn games their way.
Lower down, Shadab Khan has been impressive and leads the team’s run charts with 75 runs in two games at 137. Meanwhile, Sam Billings and S Matthew Gilkes Ray have added depth with useful knocks. David Warner and Sam Konstas are two others who could offer short bursts of runs at the top if they get going.
With the ball, Reece Topley has picked up three wickets in two games but has gone at 12 an over. Nathan McAndrew has been better controlled, conceding at 10.33 with three wickets. Beyond them, the bowling unit has struggled to contain runs or make breakthroughs. Spinner Shadab Khan has made an impact with two scalps and will be backed to deliver a tidy spell here too.
Sam Billings Total Runs Over 20.5 1.85
After a failure in the first match against the Hobart Hurricanes, Sam Billings smashed a handy half century in the last match against the Sydney Sixers which ended up on the losing side. Heading into today's match he is looking in really good form and we back him to score over 20 runs in today's match.
Sam Konstas, David Warner(c), Matthew Gilkes, Cameron Bancroft, Sam Billings(w), Shadab Khan, Daniel Sams, Chris Green, Nathan McAndrew, Tanveer Sangha, Reece Topley
David Warner, Sam Konstas, Chris Green, Shadab Khan, Daniel Sams, Cameron Bancroft, Matthew Gilkes, Nathan McAndrew, Tanveer Sangha, Sam Billings, Reece Topley
Brisbane Heat have begun their campaign on steady ground, taking one win and one defeat to occupy sixth place on the table. Their latest match was a statement, chasing down a historic 258 against Perth Scorchers in the final over to seal the most sensational 8-wicket victory.
Jack Wildermuth was the standout performer, blasting 110* from 54 deliveries to set the tone of the chase. Matt Renshaw anchored the innings at the other end, finishing with an outstanding 102 from 51 balls.
Their batting order has plenty of stability, with Renshaw and Wildermuth backed up by Colin Munro and Max Bryant in the middle. Both of them are capable of adding 30 runs or more on a regular basis, which gives the side much-needed depth. Jack Wildermuth is another reliable bat who can deliver quick 25-30 runs at the top.
Wildermuth has been the most effective in the bowling attack, taking four wickets across two matches despite conceding at 10.12 per over. Xavier Bartlett (stand-in skipper for the injured Nathan McSweeney) and Shaheen Afridi are strike options, who can break partnerships, while Matthew Kuhnemann has also made his mark with one wicket at 9.25. This attack has looked disciplined and will test opposition lineups.
Matt Renshaw Total Runs Over 22.5 1.85
Renshaw smashed a magnificent 100 in the last match against the Perth Scorchers powering the Heat to a record 258 run chase. Renshaw has scored over 22 runs in each of the last two matches this season and he is also the leading run-scorer for the Heat. Given his good run of form, we back Renshaw to be the top bowler for the Heat in today's match.
Colin Munro, Jack Wildermuth, Matt Renshaw, Tom Alsop, Max Bryant, Hugh Weibgen, Jimmy Peirson(w), Xavier Bartlett(c), Shaheen Afridi, Liam Haskett, Matthew Kuhnemann
Max Bryant, Colin Munro, Matt Renshaw, Hugh Weibgen, Jack Wildermuth, Tom Alsop, Jimmy Peirson, Shaheen Afridi, Xavier Bartlett, Matthew Kuhnemann, Liam Haskett
Short square boundaries bring value for pulls and cuts at Manuka Oval, where T20 games at night often move quickly. The surface tends to stay hard and even, keeping bounce consistent rather than variable. Straight boundaries are longer, so mishits can hold up. Bowlers rely on pace changes and wide lines more than movement.
Canberra will experience windy and cool weather through the day, but chances of rain are minimal.
Totals around 170 are competitive at Manuka Oval, while chasing sides need intent without reckless hitting under lights.
Sydney Thunder to win the coin toss 1.90
We are backing Sydney Thunder to win the coin toss in today's BBL match against the Brisbane Heat at Manuka Oval in Canberra.
16 of the 25 domestic T20 games played at Manuka Oval have been won by the side chasing, showing that batting second is the way to go here.
Sydney Thunder last got the better of Brisbane Heat in the BBL back in December 2022. From that point forward, the Heat have won all four meetings between these sides. After pulling off that record 258-run chase in their previous outing, their belief will be through the roof right now. The Thunder have struggled so far, with two defeats in a row, and it will take something exceptional from their attack to contain the Heat's explosive batting lineup at present.
Brisbane Heat look better placed to win this match.
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