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Victoria vs New South Wales, MOC, Today Match Prediction 20 October 2025
VAC vs NSW Win Probability
Toss Winner - New South Wales won the toss and choose to bowl first
Victoria beat New South Wales by 5 runs
Sixth placed Victoria host second placed New South Wales on Monday.
- Victoria have lost their last four games in this format.
- New South Wales have won two in a row before this game.
- Both sides have won two of the last four head to heads in this format.
We are backing New South Wales to win!
| Tournament: | Marsh One Day Cup, 2025-26 |
| Format: | odi |
| Venue: | Junction Oval, St Kilda, Melbourne, Australia, Australia |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 13.1°C|Light rain |
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VAC vs NSW Match Prediction & Analysis
The One-Day Cup is always an exciting competition at this stage of the season in Australia and provides a tiny bit of a distraction from the red ball coverage and build up to the Ashes which is starting to dominate!
New South Wales will certainly be confident of continuing their strong form in this competition when they visit Melbourne on Monday, not least because their opposition have been in such poor form in 50-over cricket.
The Junction Oval will be the venue for this game and although it is New South Wales who have the stronger numbers and points on the board, expect a big home crowd to get behind the hosts in an exciting contest.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
VAC
W
L
W
L
L
VAC
NSW
L
W
W
L
L
NSW
244/10 in 45.3 5.36
331/10 in 50.0 6.62
310/10 in 49.5 6.22
MODC2024-25
Victoria beat New South Wales by 8 wickets311/2 in 37.4 8.26
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 9 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Victoria Preview
Victoria were well beaten by South Australia in their last One-Day Cup game earlier this month and Matthew Short as well as the team management will be hoping for a reaction in this game.
The bowling unit put in a decent showing in that defeat, taking eight wickets and restricting South Australia to 273 runs but the batters never looked like chasing the total down.
In this match, expect Xavier Crone to be the main bowling threat with Short and spinner Todd Murphy being able to keep the runs down from an economy perspective.
With the bat, there are plenty of white ball specialists in the team but Short needs to go big at the top of the order to make a platform for Peter Handscomb and Sam Harper.
Victoria Predicted Playing XI:
Matthew Short (c), Campbell Kellaway, Thomas Rogers, Peter Handscomb, Oliver Peake, Sam Harper (wk), Blake Macdonald, Xavier Crone, Todd Murphy, Cameron McClure, Austin Anlezark
Victoria Key Players From Previous Game Of Marsh One Day Cup, 2025-26
Victoria Actual Playing XI:
Harry Dixon, Sam Elliott, Peter Handscomb, Sam Harper, Campbell Kellaway, Cameron McClure, Todd Murphy, Thomas Rogers, Will Sutherland, Ollie Peake, Austin Anlezark
New South Wales Preview
It's two wins from two for New South Wales across their last two matches in this format and confidence will be high in the camp as they look to make it three in three!
The top of the batting order, as well as the higher middle order, all come into this game in decent form. Josh Philippe was the only member of the top four not to make a score of 37+ in the last game but he still managed to hit four fours of his own.
With the ball, Sean Abbott will always be a massive threat at this level and Chris Green hass been around the block enough times to always make an impact.
New South Wales also have a glut of all-rounders, ready to contribute in either innings.
New South Wales Predicted Playing XI:
Sam Konstas, Josh Philippe (wk), Kurtis Patterson, Matthew Gilkes, Moises Henriques, Jack Edwards (c), Chris Green, Sean Abbott, Charlie Stobo, Tanveer Sangha, Ryan Hadley
New South Wales Key Players From Previous Game Of Marsh One Day Cup, 2025-26
New South Wales Actual Playing XI:
Ryan Hadley, Liam Hatcher, Kurtis Patterson, Tanveer Sangha, Lachlan Shaw, Charlie Stobo, Matthew Gilkes, Jack Edwards, Sam Konstas, Moises Henriques, Chris Green
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
There is a slight chance of rain throughout this game in Melbourne on a cool day which will be overcast from start to finish. The temperature will get no higher than 18.
VAC vs NSW Pitch Report
The Junction Oval is a venue where the ball will turn and the pitch will offer good carry. With the overheads taken into consideration, we expect a par total to be around 260.
Toss: To Bowl
With overhead conditions likely to favour the bowling sides, we expect both teams to want to put pressure on the other early and choose to bowl first should they win the toss.
VAC vs NSW
Winning Prediction
New South Wales are by no means the perfect 50 over side but they have some seriously strong players at domestic level. Victoria can't currently get themselves going so we expect an away victory.
We are backing New South Wales to win!
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