Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Chelsea, riding high on Nicolas Jackson's form, look to solidify their Premier League position against Leicester. The Blues have been impressive, with Jackson's goals and tactical awareness key to their success. Meanwhile, Aston Villa, after a thrilling draw with Crystal Palace, aim to bounce back and regain their momentum. Emery's side, despite their recent struggles, will be eager to prove their worth in the Premier League.

Stats That Matter 

Chelsea are ranked 14th in ball possession with 45.7% averaging 13.6 shots per game. The Hammers score an average of 1.25 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 34%. Tomas Soucek and Jarrod Bowen are the top scorers with 3 goals each this season. The team has an average of 2.9 saves per game, the 12th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.58 goals per match.

Aston Villa are ranked 10th in ball possession with 51.6% averaging 14.2 shots per game. The Gunners score an average of 1.75 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 36%. Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz are the top scorers with 4 goals each this season. Gabriel Martinelli has also scored 3 goals this season. The team has an average of 2.8 saves per game, the 15th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1 goal per match.

Head to Head Record - Both teams have played each other 156 times. The Blues have won 65 of those affairs, Villa has won 55, with 36 have ended in a draw. 

Standings - Chelsea are third with 23 points. Aston Villa are 8th with 19 points. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Chelsea FC Preview

Nicolas Jackson and Enzo Fernandez goals secured a dominant away victory for Chelsea at Leicester. Jackson, 23, scored his fifth goal in four consecutive away games as he outbattled defender Wout Faes to win a long punt up field, which he finished well after Fernandez played him into position in the 15th minute. But the Blues were dominant on a cold, wet afternoon at the King Power stadium, with over 66% possession throughout the 90 minutes. 

Jackson has gone from an inconsistent enigma of a striker to one of the best in the Premier League. The Senegal international scored 17 goals last season, more than Didier Drogba in his maiden season at Stamford Bridge, but he was third in the rankings for big chances missed, behind Erling Haaland and Darwin Nunez. Not only is he scoring regularly this term, he is so effective tactically for Chelsea, with an impressive work rate, pressing ability and link-up play with Palmer. 

Only Manchester City's Haaland has scored more than Jackson's 11 league goals since May last season, with seven goals and three assists in 12 league matches this season. Twenty games into Maresca's reign and Chelsea sit at the top of the Conference League after a 2-0 win against Heidenheim, while they could finish this weekend second in the Premier League if results go their way.

Chelsea are winless in their last three Premier League meetings with Aston Villa (D1 L2),Just 41% of Chelsea’s Premier League points this season have come in home games (9/22), the lowest ratio of any side so far this term. Chelsea have conceded at least once in all six of their Premier League home games this season. Five of Nicolas Jackson’s seven Premier League goals this season have put Chelsea 1-0 ahead in the match – coming into this weekend’s games, only Chris Wood (6) has scored the opening goal in more different games this term.

Player to watch out for

No player has created more chances from open play in the Premier League this season than Chelsea’s Cole Palmer (28). Aston Villa are one of just three sides he’s failed to score or assist against in the league since joining the Blues (2 appearances), along with Liverpool (2 apps) and Leicester (1).

Injury - Kellyman, Reece James and Gusto are all ruled out. 

Chelsea FC probable line up : Sanchez (GK), Fofana, Colwill, Badiashile, Cucurella (DEF), Caicedo, Lavia, Enzo, Palmer, Madueke (MID) Jackson (FWD).

Aston Villa FC Preview

Aston Villa twice came from behind in a thrilling Premier League contest against Crystal Palace to earn a draw and end their losing run. It was a mixed afternoon for Aston Villa boss Emery, who took positives and negatives from the performance. 

Villa showed great character to twice come from behind, while in the second half their attacking play looked much more like what fans saw last season. Emery avoided losing five consecutive matches for the first time in his career, but there is plenty of room for improvement. Aston Villa were unfortunate to be denied victory over Juventus in the Champions League as Morgan Rogers' stoppage-time goal was ruled out. Villa have struggled to replicate the form they enjoyed last season when finishing fourth in the Premier League and qualifying for the Champions League. Before this match Emery insisted his side are enjoying their time in Europe's top club competition, the first time they have featured in it for more than 40 years.

Aston Villa have won their last two Premier League away games against Chelsea, as many as in their previous 21 visits to Stamford Bridge (D4 L15). Aston Villa are winless in their last four Premier League games (D2 L2). Aston Villa have scored both a league high total (6) and share (32%) of their Premier League goals via headers this season. 

As it stands, it’s their highest share of headed goals in a single top-flight campaign. Just 31% of Aston Villa’s shots in the Premier League this season have been on target (48/153), with only Everton having a lower percentage so far (30%). However, Aston Villa have found the net with 40% of these attempts on target, the highest ratio in the division so far this term.

Player to watch out for

Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins has scored in his last two Premier League away games against Chelsea, with both ending up being the winning goal in the match. No visiting player has ever scored three match-winning goals at Stamford Bridge in the competition. 

Injury - Onana and Ramsey are in the treatment room and will therefore miss out. 

Aston Villa FC Probable  Starting Line up : Martinez (GK), Cash, Carlos, Torres, Digne (DEF), Kamara, Tielemans, Bailey, McGinn, Rogers (MID) Watkins (FWD).

CHELSEA FC vs ASTON VILLA FC
Winning Prediction

Chelsea have been on a rampant run. The cogs in the Maresca machine are working just fine. Villa, have experienced a slight slump and were unlucky not to extract 3 points out of Juventus. That was sure to keep Sunday’s fixture alive and hot. The demands of Champions League football and Premier League are tricky to balance. Chelsea has had the opportunity of experiencing the easier side of things and home support should be the trump card. 

Chelsea FC to Win (2-1)

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