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CLAIM NOWCan Chelsea extend their dominance at home?
Chelsea to Win (2-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Stamford Bridge, London
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In the final clash of Round 30, Chelsea and Tottenham square off in a high-stakes London Derby, both eager to bounce back from defeats. The Blues fell 1-0 to Arsenal, while Spurs suffered a late 2-0 setback against Fulham. Incidentally, both played their last competitive match on March 16. Meanwhile, their last derby clash was a thriller, with Chelsea edging Spurs 4-3 in a dramatic showdown, with Cole Palmer scoring a brace for the Blues.
Current Standings: Chelsea is currently placed 6th in the league standings with 14 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, whereas Tottenham occupies the 14th position with 10 wins, 4 draws, and 15 defeats.
Head-to-Head Record: With a 36-8 win-loss record in 65 matches, Chelsea has dominated this rivalry.
Chelsea began Matchweek 30 in fourth but have dropped to sixth, now trailing fourth-placed Manchester City by just two points. To reclaim their spot, they must beat the Spurs on Thursday night. Luckily, the odds favor them—Chelsea has been strong at home, while Tottenham has struggled on the road. In addition, Chelsea's squad will be boosted by the return of key players from injury just in time for the London Derby.
Nicolas Jackson’s return from injury is a major boost for Chelsea, especially given his record against Spurs. The Senegalese striker has netted four times against them in the Premier League, with only West Ham matching that tally. Impressively, 47.8% of his league goals have come in London derbies—second only to Manuel Lanzini among players with 20+ goals.
Asides Nicolas Jackson, Cole Palmer and Noni Madueke are set to return from injury, bolstering Chelsea’s attack. With Palmer and Jackson back, Pedro Neto could shift to his natural right-wing role, while Jadon Sancho and Christopher Nkunku vie for a spot on the left.
Key Stats
1. The Blues have won their previous four Premier League matches at Stamford Bridge, the last two with a clean sheet.
2. However, the Blues’ have faced defeat in three of their last five league matches while the two wins were against Southampton and Leicester City.
3. Cole Palmer top scoring charts in the league for Chelsea with 14 goals.
Chelsea Probable XI - Sanchez (GK); James, Fofana, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Neto, Palmer, Sancho; Jackson
Having their 15th Premier League defeat before the International break, Spurs' only hope of salvaging pride may lie in a European triumph especially considering how Ange Postecoglou made the bold pre-season claim—"I always win things in my second year”. Heading into this clash, Postecoglou has plenty to worry about—Spurs’ poor London Derby record and struggles away from home this season don’t inspire confidence.
For Spurs to grab three points, they may need Son Heung-min to break an unwanted record—he’s faced Chelsea 17 times in the league without an assist, the most against any side. However, with nine assists this season, one more would not only end that streak but also tie Christian Eriksen’s club record of four Premier League seasons with double-digit assists. That said, Son has struggled for impact lately, with just one goal—against Ipswich—in his last five league outings.
Tottenham will be without Radu Dragusin due to a season-ending ACL injury, but Postecoglou could be boosted by the possible returns of Lucas Bergvall, Dejan Kulusevski, Kevin Danso, and Richarlison, all set for late fitness tests.
Key Stats
1. No team has earned fewer Premier League points in London derbies this season than Tottenham (10, level with Brentford), who have lost five out of nine such matches.
2. Only Leicester and Southampton have more defeats away from home than Tottenham's 10.
3. James Maddison and Brennan Johnson top goal scoring charts in the league for the Spurs’ with 9 goals each.
Tottenham Hotspur Probable XI - Vicario(GK); Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence; Sarr, Bentancur, Maddison; Johnson, Solanke, Son
Chelsea heads into this clash as clear favorites, having dominated recent meetings. They’ve lost just once in their last 12 Premier League encounters with Spurs and have won the last three by a combined 10-4 scoreline. In addition, with four straight home wins and key players returning, Chelsea’s momentum makes them strong favorites for a victory on Thursday night. Chelsea are favourites to win with odds of 1.68 to Spurs’ 4.50 and 4.50 for a draw.
Chelsea to Win (2-1)
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